2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNEW NBC/WSJ NATIONAL POLL: CLINTON 50, SANDERS 48, DEAD HEAT: CLINTON - 9 In 1 Month, Ap. 18
NBC/WSJ Poll: Clinton's National Lead Down to Two Points*, NBC News, April 18, 2016.
Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders nationally by just two points in the Democratic presidential race, according to results from a brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
Clinton gets support from 50 percent of Democratic primary voters, while Sanders gets support from 48 percent. That's DOWN from Clinton's nine-point advantage a month ago, 53 percent to 44 percent.
The national poll, however, comes as Clinton is viewed as the favorite in Tuesday's Democratic primary in New York -- and as Clinton leads Sanders in the delegate race and in popular votes.
Indeed, more than half of the country has already voted in Democratic and Republican primary races.
In the current NBC/WSJ poll, Clinton leads Sanders by 15 points among women (57 percent to 42 percent), though that's DOWN from her 20-point-plus edge earlier this year.
She's also ahead of Sanders among minorities, 59 percent to 41 percent, but that's a DECLINE of her 30-point advantage here in past NBC/WSJ surveys.
And among those 50 and older, Clinton is up 62 percent to 35 percent -- again DOWN from her past leads among this demographic group.
By contrast, Sanders LEADS among men by 17 points (58 percent to 41 percent), whites (53 percent to 44 percent) and those ages 18 to 49 (66 percent to 34 percent).
The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted April 10-14, and the margin of error among the 339 Democratic primary voters surveyed is plus-minus 5.3 percentage points.
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-clinton-s-national-lead-down-two-points-n557671
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*Sanders Nearly Catches Up to Clinton in New Poll*, TPM/Talking Points Memo, April 18, 2016
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's lead over rival Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) has SHRUNK to just two points, according to a NBC News/WSJ national poll released Monday.
Clinton had 50 percent support and Sanders had 48 percent support among the Democratic primary voters surveyed. Clinton had a nine point lead over Sanders in last month's NBC/WSJ poll, 53 percent to 44 percent.
The poll comes in the midst of a winning streak for Sanders in a string of caucus and primaries. Clinton and Sanders will next face for the New York primary on Tuesday, with the former secretary of state favored to win.
The survey was conducted from April 10-14 among 339 Democratic primary voters. The margin of error was 5.3 percentage points.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/sanders-catching-up-clinton-nbc-wsj-poll
onehandle
(51,122 posts)National polls are meaningless until late Summer.
appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)And, "REAL Democrats won't vote for him".
appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)his supporters and voters are: 1. Republicans, 2. Tea Partiers, 3. Radicals, 4. Anarchists....
New Memo/Script Desperately Needed!!
appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)kstewart33
(6,551 posts)appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)Raster
(20,998 posts)"I did not have relations with the vocal magnifying device just outside of a polling place."
appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)hack89
(39,171 posts)a tie nationally means they have equal support. If they split the remaining delegates then Hillary still wins big.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)hack89
(39,171 posts)he has to starting doing things he has so far failed to do like winning primaries in large diverse states.
appalachiablue
(41,142 posts)hack89
(39,171 posts)this would have helped Bernie before two thirds of the country had voted. Hillary's lead is too large now.
senz
(11,945 posts)Could be interesting ...
hack89
(39,171 posts)especially with only two candidates. The person with the most pledged delegates will win the first vote - just like 2008.
amborin
(16,631 posts)the nomination