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2016 Postmortem

Godhumor

(6,437 posts) Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:43 PM Apr 2016

8

From preliminary exit poll data, it looks like we're heading for a fairly early call tonight

Not Republican side quick, but this isn't going to be dragged out into the wee hours.

42 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

From preliminary exit poll data, it looks like we're heading for a fairly early call tonight (Original Post) Godhumor Apr 2016 OP

Good. I need time to celebrate Gomez163 Apr 2016 #1

It's looking like a narrow win for Bernie. NWCorona Apr 2016 #2

Sure n/t Godhumor Apr 2016 #3

We will find out soon enough. nt NWCorona Apr 2016 #9

This message was self-deleted by its author OilemFirchen Apr 2016 #33

Keep in mind that anything less than a ten percent loss is a virtual tie. OilemFirchen Apr 2016 #35

You like making stuff up, don't you? Zynx Apr 2016 #15

Not really. NWCorona Apr 2016 #18

The racial make-up of the exit polls make it clear he won't win. Zynx Apr 2016 #21

Do you know anyone in Harlem or Brooklyn? NWCorona Apr 2016 #23

He is up by like 18% right now! Watch the news! snooper2 Apr 2016 #20

I'll wait until the polls close. NWCorona Apr 2016 #24

so you are making shit up too then... snooper2 Apr 2016 #25

Nope! That was in reference to watching the news. NWCorona Apr 2016 #26

Are you watching the TZNN? snooper2 Apr 2016 #30

Really cool! I'm stuck at work, appreciate the tip Mudcat Apr 2016 #29

NY generally has all the info in by 11PM Renew Deal Apr 2016 #4

Yeah, but not a blowout. DCBob Apr 2016 #5

A win will do just fine. kstewart33 Apr 2016 #7

No, I think we're trending higher Godhumor Apr 2016 #12

I really hope so.. that would be great. DCBob Apr 2016 #13

Yes, good enough in NY JoeOtterbein Apr 2016 #28

Good, I'm already exhausted and I know I won't be able to sleep auntpurl Apr 2016 #6

reminder: unadjusted first wave that doesn't include much upstate nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #8

Oh crap...I got to go get some party supplies quick! workinclasszero Apr 2016 #10

"Preliminary exit polls" -- so, this person is a liar? Mike__M Apr 2016 #11

This isn't match up exit polls. This is demographic Godhumor Apr 2016 #14

The seminal poster is making inferences from the available data. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #16

Just fyi: Your malapropisms never fail to amuse. Romulox Apr 2016 #36

Dictionary. Look into it. MineralMan Apr 2016 #37

OK. Which of these did he mean? Romulox Apr 2016 #40

Well, I am a Johnnie Come Lately Godhumor Apr 2016 #42

"Please don't fall for early exit poll nonsense." winter is coming Apr 2016 #17

These are the demographic releases not match up releases Godhumor Apr 2016 #19

The millennial vote is soaring, Bernie landslide aspirant Apr 2016 #22

is this snark? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #27

Under 30 is only 16% redstateblues Apr 2016 #34

Shouldn't be called early, elleng Apr 2016 #31

Doesn't work that way Godhumor Apr 2016 #32

Oh please workinclasszero Apr 2016 #38

'Oh please' yourself. elleng Apr 2016 #39

I do believe this counts as nailing it n/t Godhumor Apr 2016 #41

Gomez163

(2,039 posts)

1. Good. I need time to celebrate

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:44 PM

Apr 2016

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

2. It's looking like a narrow win for Bernie.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:44 PM

Apr 2016

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

3. Sure n/t

Reply to NWCorona (Reply #2)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:46 PM

Apr 2016

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

9. We will find out soon enough. nt

Reply to Godhumor (Reply #3)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:49 PM

Apr 2016

Response to NWCorona (Reply #9)

OilemFirchen This message was self-deleted by its author.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)

35. Keep in mind that anything less than a ten percent loss is a virtual tie.

Reply to Godhumor (Reply #3)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:39 PM

Apr 2016

So eleven to twenty or so is "narrow". Twenty-one to thirty is "close". Thirty-one and up is "competitive".

#berniemath

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

15. You like making stuff up, don't you?

Reply to NWCorona (Reply #2)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:53 PM

Apr 2016

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

18. Not really.

Reply to Zynx (Reply #15)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:56 PM

Apr 2016

How am I wrong tho?

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

21. The racial make-up of the exit polls make it clear he won't win.

Reply to NWCorona (Reply #18)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:58 PM

Apr 2016

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

23. Do you know anyone in Harlem or Brooklyn?

Reply to Zynx (Reply #21)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:04 PM

Apr 2016

I do and it's not going to be like other elections. I'm not saying he will pull more than Hillary but he doesn't need to.

snooper2

(30,151 posts)

20. He is up by like 18% right now! Watch the news!

Reply to NWCorona (Reply #2)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:57 PM

Apr 2016

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

24. I'll wait until the polls close.

Reply to snooper2 (Reply #20)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:05 PM

Apr 2016

snooper2

(30,151 posts)

25. so you are making shit up too then...

Reply to NWCorona (Reply #24)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:13 PM

Apr 2016

NWCorona

(8,541 posts)

26. Nope! That was in reference to watching the news.

Reply to snooper2 (Reply #25)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:16 PM

Apr 2016

How's that saying go when you assume?

snooper2

(30,151 posts)

30. Are you watching the TZNN?

Reply to NWCorona (Reply #26)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:25 PM

Apr 2016

Mudcat

(179 posts)

29. Really cool! I'm stuck at work, appreciate the tip

Reply to snooper2 (Reply #20)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:24 PM

Apr 2016

Renew Deal

(81,859 posts)

4. NY generally has all the info in by 11PM

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:46 PM

Apr 2016

Midnight if it's close

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

5. Yeah, but not a blowout.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:46 PM

Apr 2016

Looks like 8-10 point win for Hillary.. which is good enough.

kstewart33

(6,551 posts)

7. A win will do just fine.

Reply to DCBob (Reply #5)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:47 PM

Apr 2016

Let's get those votes counted!

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

12. No, I think we're trending higher

Reply to DCBob (Reply #5)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:53 PM

Apr 2016

Black vote is up significantly from 2008. Statistically, that only favors one candidate.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

13. I really hope so.. that would be great.

Reply to Godhumor (Reply #12)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:53 PM

Apr 2016

JoeOtterbein

(7,702 posts)

28. Yes, good enough in NY

Reply to DCBob (Reply #5)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:20 PM

Apr 2016

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)

6. Good, I'm already exhausted and I know I won't be able to sleep

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:47 PM

Apr 2016

until I see SOME results. Damned pesky Atlantic Ocean!

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

8. reminder: unadjusted first wave that doesn't include much upstate nt

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:47 PM

Apr 2016

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

10. Oh crap...I got to go get some party supplies quick!

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:50 PM

Apr 2016

Mike__M

(1,052 posts)

11. "Preliminary exit polls" -- so, this person is a liar?

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:52 PM

Apr 2016

Please don't fall for early exit poll nonsense
Actual "voters prefer candidate a over candidate b exit polls" are never released until after polls close.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511777829

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

14. This isn't match up exit polls. This is demographic

Reply to Mike__M (Reply #11)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:53 PM

Apr 2016

Those get released first. Match up not until 9:00 PM.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

16. The seminal poster is making inferences from the available data.

Reply to Mike__M (Reply #11)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:54 PM

Apr 2016

He could be wrong. He could be right.

Romulox

(25,960 posts)

36. Just fyi: Your malapropisms never fail to amuse.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #16)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:46 PM

Apr 2016

"seminal poster"

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)

37. Dictionary. Look into it.

Reply to Romulox (Reply #36)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 07:58 PM

Apr 2016

...

Romulox

(25,960 posts)

40. OK. Which of these did he mean?

Reply to MineralMan (Reply #37)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 09:05 PM

Apr 2016

Definition of seminal in English:

seminal
Pronunciation: /ˈsemənl

1 (Of a work, event, moment, or figure) strongly influencing later developments:
his seminal work on chaos theory

2 Relating to or denoting semen.

2.1 Botany Relating to or derived from the seed of a plant.

http://www.oxforddictionaries.com/us/definition/american_english/seminal

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

42. Well, I am a Johnnie Come Lately

Reply to Romulox (Reply #40)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 09:46 PM

Apr 2016

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)

17. "Please don't fall for early exit poll nonsense."

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:55 PM

Apr 2016

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1777829

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

19. These are the demographic releases not match up releases

Reply to winter is coming (Reply #17)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 05:57 PM

Apr 2016

Those won't release until 9 (The Hillary 58% Bernie 42% kind).

Demographic turnout exits are released early.

aspirant

(3,533 posts)

22. The millennial vote is soaring, Bernie landslide

Reply to Godhumor (Reply #19)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:03 PM

Apr 2016

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

27. is this snark? nt

Reply to aspirant (Reply #22)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:17 PM

Apr 2016

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

34. Under 30 is only 16%

Reply to aspirant (Reply #22)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:38 PM

Apr 2016

elleng

(130,920 posts)

31. Shouldn't be called early,

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:27 PM

Apr 2016

if affidavit ballots haven't been tallied.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

32. Doesn't work that way

Reply to elleng (Reply #31)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 06:30 PM

Apr 2016

Last edited Tue Apr 19, 2016, 08:05 PM - Edit history (1)

They will call it without affidavits or absentees (Those get counted 9 days from now).

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

38. Oh please

Reply to elleng (Reply #31)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 08:03 PM

Apr 2016

They are not going to leave this primary hanging for weeks for a few affidavit ballots!

Jeez talk about obstructing the will of the people!

elleng

(130,920 posts)

39. 'Oh please' yourself.

Reply to workinclasszero (Reply #38)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 08:06 PM

Apr 2016

Of course they wouldn't wait for 'a few affidavit ballots.' I had hoped they could be read and tallied quickly.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

41. I do believe this counts as nailing it n/t

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Tue Apr 19, 2016, 09:41 PM

Apr 2016

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