Particularly monolithic ones.

New York is a huge and diverse one.

I could just as easily say that it's telling that he got blown out of the water in a big diverse state like Florida, which is neutral ground for both of them.

On home turf with a monolithic electorate, yeah, he does just fine. Vermont isn't very representative of much.

That you can't see the logic in that is kind of striking. I guess we want to extrapolate from a 97% white state with 0.2% of the U.S. population how these candidates will do. That's madness.

for him thanks

For example, there are small general fund tax sources in Wisconsin where periodically we'll have 800% increases over the prior year because the underlying base is in the hundreds of thousands.

Meanwhile, if we have a 1% decline in individual income taxes, that means a lot more because the base is much bigger.

Vermont is a pathetically small state with 300,000 fewer people than Milwaukee County, Wisconsin and it is a monolithic state, too. It's not unheard of to see outcomes like what we saw in Vermont.

Sorry to disappoint you, but I work with numbers as a living. I'm allergic to selective BS like what you're spewing.

to salvage her campaign's legitimacy; she lost the last 7 out of 8 primaries; her campaign is teetering on the brink of disaster.

any win less than 20% means she's still in big trouble

demographics and caucuses. I predicted long in advance that he'd win all of the states he won in this streak.

When he lost 5/5 on the 15th after getting blown out on the 1st, I don't recall seeing you say, "Well, that's it for Bernie." Those 5 states had more people, by the way, than all of the states he's won so far.

She's fuckin' TROUNCING him! He's miles and miles behind with a near-zero probability of catching up.

It's formalities and proceduralism at this point.

I see that kind of logic happening too.

We'll see. When will the first numbers start trickling in?

Probably in around an hour.

The way they do statistics in the Netherlands is different from how we do them here, plus Netherlands is a far smaller country. LOL

Makes em easier to move at will.

second prize for sure! unless write-ins for Webb and O'malley don't put him in fourth place.