to keep away the boogie man..

a good source on this, your not looking at reality. It is going to be close and we need to GOTV.

Anyone who has been paying attention knows that 4 years of dog whistling and in many cases overt racism would have a cumulative effect on minority voters. To put it simply: they are fucking pissed and they will take their anger out at the polls.

You are a fool.

Well, I guess it is possible, simply because the GOP is willing to try anything in the book to steal Obama's thunder, by hook or by crook, and in order to succeed, we need to keep GOTVing as if our lives depended on it, in any way we can.

but OH is going well due to the auto bailout. WI is doing relatively well.

The SW is strong due to Latino support (NV) especially...

And that is ALL Obama needs beyond the usual states (PA, MI) which I'm not worried about losing.

And that's not even including other potential states like IA, NH, CO, VA and less critical but awesome to have - FL and NC.

Romney campaign has internal polling operations. If Romney campaign thought they had a chance in either they'd be sending Romney there. The fact that he's largely left Nevada now means that they're basically conceding NV to Obama as well. So we're down to 8 swing states with the following current statuses in my opinion:

Colorado: Toss-up
Wisconsin: Likely Obama
Ohio: Leans Obama
Iowa: Leans Obama
Virginia: Toss-up
North Carolina: Leans Romney
Florida: Leans Romney

I think that the O-mentum will bring us CO and VA in the end as well as the lean Obama states.

That is what you have to do at this stage of the game in a national campaign.

If the candidate looks too worried about losing, he's going to kill repugs in the downticket races by supressing repug turnout.

I'm staying focused on what we can control this election cycle, and that's turnout, not voting machines.

the low information voter. I saw a web ad for Romney the other day that said "Recovery not dependency" That needs to be countered not with he is extreme but with a sound bite. That saying resonates with some. I know the Dem's message has been good lately but it really needs to be hounding on the reason things are stalling...showing how republicans are voting no to getting jobs back, how the republicans are for tax cuts but then raise the cost of everything else...has your license fee gone up? Your registration fees? etc.
Even the "socialism" thing...capitalism can't work with out the investment given to them by the government in bond ratings, tax breaks etc.

It is still too close for comfort and I am tired of hearing my coworkers smug remarks. Thank god for the ipod.

Lots of AA turnout and younger people. And Obama has the superior GOTV operation. I mean, David Gergen would not have put the Romney operation down if he thought it was better then Obama's. Rachel Maddow made a great point last night. In OH there is a ground game just from the Dems and liberals there that fought Kasich on cutting early voting and the the restrictive collective bargaining law. Ohio is probably one of the best run ground games of the swing states for the Obama people.

Especially campaigns that are losing.

They have Joementum.

I hear that's the latest way to wipe out over 5 million votes.

Vigilance...

I think the efforts to suppress the vote have so seriously backfired in their faces. Think about it. All the calls for people to vote and all the various persuasive techniques that have been used to convince Americans to vote have left us with an electorate that simply does not show up on election day. What the republicans did with their efforts to suppress the vote is radically change the perception of voting. They made it into a scarcity, something that is being threatened, a precious commodity. That threat so enhanced the value of voting. Essentially, any commodity that is scarce is likely to be viewed as valuable. So, their efforts to suppress the vote may be the best way to get people to actual value their own franchise. I don't see the nonwhite vote declining off 2008. People have argued that it would drop off because of the historic significance of an African-American president having lost its appeal. First, those who voted in 2008 for "historic reasons" are just as motivated to have this historic president not be limited to one term. Second, having voted once, it makes no sense not to vote again. In fact, those first time voters in 2008 had an experience that many first time voters do not: Their candidate actually won. Third, again, the attempts to take the vote away have enhanced the perceived value of voting.