2016 Postmortem

GreydeeThos

(958 posts) Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:17 AM Apr 2016

A group of people is having a Sad

Bernie is now losing by 241 delegates.

The clear path to victory is now so steep it will take 67% of the remaining delegates to be nominated.

EDIT: percent remaining changed from 84 to 67

12 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A group of people is having a Sad (Original Post) GreydeeThos Apr 2016 OP

I've been on the losing side a time or two 72DejaVu Apr 2016 #1

With that, you are off ignore. JimDandy Apr 2016 #4

Ditto Arneoker Apr 2016 #10

941/1400 = 67% pat_k Apr 2016 #2

You are right, 67% - But who is counting now anyway GreydeeThos Apr 2016 #5

OMG JimDandy Apr 2016 #3

While you're rolling on the floor pretending to be amused at your candidate's thrashing... Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #6

I am firebrand80 Apr 2016 #7

pointless shit-stirring gloating thread PaulaFarrell Apr 2016 #8

Yes it really is sad that a potentially transformative election Warren Stupidity Apr 2016 #9

An impossible task for Bernie. Quit now! NurseJackie Apr 2016 #11

GDP is overrun with sore winners I've never seen before Capt. Obvious Apr 2016 #12

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)

1. I've been on the losing side a time or two

Reply to GreydeeThos (Original post)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:27 AM

Apr 2016

or three or four...

It hurts. I won't gloat.

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)

4. With that, you are off ignore.

Reply to 72DejaVu (Reply #1)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:41 AM

Apr 2016

Arneoker

(375 posts)

10. Ditto

Reply to 72DejaVu (Reply #1)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 07:47 AM

Apr 2016

Winning this time, but if fortunes had been just a tad different.

pat_k

(9,313 posts)

2. 941/1400 = 67%

Reply to GreydeeThos (Original post)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:36 AM

Apr 2016

Sure, it's steep. But 67% is not 84%.

What, the truth doesn't look bad enough? You have to inflate it?

GreydeeThos

(958 posts)

5. You are right, 67% - But who is counting now anyway

Reply to pat_k (Reply #2)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:44 AM

Apr 2016

Bernie is not going to reach 84%, 67% or even 54% of the remaining delegates. It was over back at March 15.

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)

3. OMG

Reply to GreydeeThos (Original post)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:38 AM

Apr 2016

Is that all that Hillary netted from her prized home state of NY? I didn't realize until now that it was so few.

Got to catch my breath...

Ok, ok. Now, what percent of the remaining pledged delegates must Clinton get to win a majority of the pledged delegates?

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)

6. While you're rolling on the floor pretending to be amused at your candidate's thrashing...

Reply to JimDandy (Reply #3)

Wed Apr 20, 2016, 07:03 AM

Apr 2016

... consider this:

Sanders trails by 241 delegates (pledged), needing 59% of the remaining pledged to win
Sanders trails by 679 unpledged delegates and needs over 70% of the remaining delegates to win

To make this happen, Sanders must:

Next week, win in CT, DE, and RI and eliminate double digit deficits in PA and MD to lose by only 1%
Win in IN, WV, MT, ND, SD with at 75% and NM with 65%
Win KY, OR, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico with 10% victories
Win CA with an 8% margin

That's the path. Still laughing?

If Sanders is able to reduce the deficits indicated by the polls in the states for next week down to one quarter, he still needs to do everything above plus win CA 65%-35%.

Still laughing?