2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFFT: The NY Polls showing people will vote for Hillary DO NOT include independents & disenfranchised
voters. Amazing how NON of the geniuses have pointed that out. But then again, that doesn't feed their bogus narrative.
It is also a POLL of her home state.
FFT: Food for thought.
Response to Skwmom (Original post)
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notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)Her surrogates- especially here at DU, have stated that more than once.
If HRC does happen to secure for herself the Democratic nomination- she's going to lose the GE and when they point their crooked little index fingers and blame Sanders supporters, they're going to have three other fingers pointing right back at themselves.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Registered Dems are only 29% of voters. Independants are 43%. Republicans about 26%. Polls show Clinton gets only 1/3 of Independants in the GE, Sanders 2/3.
Clinton's GE vote is 1/3 of 43% - 14%, and about 80% of Dems .80 X 29% - 23%. No republicans will crossover for her. She'll get about 40% of popular vote.
Sanders GE vote is 2/3 of Independants, 28%, plus 90% of Dems, 26%, and about 10% crossover from Republicans, 2.5%. 28 + 26 + 2.5 = 56.5% of the GE popular vote.
Although Clinton will still carry the solidly blue states, she will lose every single swing state Obama won by 5 points or less...maybe more. That's not a formula that will win the GE, nor capture down-ticket races.