People just don't care enough to vote.

Why? Heck, look at all the calls on DU wanting to ban people that are active, and do vote but don't vote for H. Not like a party at all, more like a plantation with the H people as lords.

Turnout is always low in primaries, always lower for Dems, and is low when people are basically satisfied with either choice.

Our contentious little bubble isn't really reflective of the world.

That's how Clinton has built her lead. It's why she won New York by better than 200,000 voters and better than 10% of the available pledged delegates. Because more voters are voting for her than for Sanders.

The voters didn't vote and anyone proud of that I don't even need to be around. You are now on ignore.

you seem so concerned about the Party then I'm sure you are on-board to vote for party nominee

Same goes for Delaware. It's about 22% African American. It looks like he won't do well in PA.

Also, he trails in CT, though that's fairly close.

I think he wins RI, but that's a pitifully small delegate prize.

Also, have you seen the polls?

He's not close in PA, and he's going to get crushed in MD.

I heard on Monday that New York was a dead heat.

Just so you know

the nxt powerball numbers if you are so inclined....

be the usual she cheated comments.

and coin tosses seem to benefit only one candidate, something smells.

hopefully these states will handle things a bit better, although it looks like iowa did straighten it out in the end.

please no polls. but if you have any thoughts about demographics, etc i would be curious.

will be strong in Philly and Pgh. Allegheny County (where Pgh is) has the second highest senior citizen population in the U.S. The minority population in Pgh. is about 29 %. Not sure about Philly demographics.

as well as the older folks. but pa also hit hard and her tpp and free trade position could hurt her with working class and those who lost their jobs

guess we will find out soon enough..

oh and thanks for responding!

male and pale.... a nd then all these months.

Fuckin' ...... Triumph.

And you know. That really says a hell of a lot. we can be proud.

unsure about the number in DE and RI.

my predictions
pa toss up
ct lean clinton will be close
ri bernie
md lean clinton
de lean bernie

Even the most optimistic delegates targets for Bernie to come back have him losing MD by ten.

Even ignoring the closed primary thing to start. MD has the 4th largest black population in the country. DE is 8th. Those are very confident early calls for Hillary.

You can check out my super accurate state predictor below. It has a 100% accuracy rate through 6 contests so far.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511576498

esp as it relates to md. i suspected that anyway because of the demos. i suppose ri and de may cancel each other out in terms of delegates. so if md goes clinton, bernie will need pa. gonna go look at your link now.

and ri is a very liberal state with no primary deadline to switch parties. i think 7.5% bernie is low. UNLESS a lot of ri indys grab a gop ballot to vote trump. then that screws it.

for some reason i spaced that out. i do think ri has the best shot of being a big win for bernie unless trump scoops up a lot of indy vote.

Bernie will have some favorable territory again in May, but he is going to have to suck it up next Tuesday. I will be shocked, as an analyst and not a Clinton supporter mind you, if the spread doesn't get close to 300 delegates after all is said and done on the 26th.

i am sure he has people doing lots of calculating right now. they have a target for tuesday i am sure. if he doesn't meet it, then he has to consider whether to focus exclusively on polls of him vs gop candidates and the supers. but if he doesn't grab some big wins it will be hard to tilt the supers. i do think he wants to see what happens in the dakotas, oregon, ca and nm. those could all be very good states for him.

Those states need to do more than lean. They need to fall all over him.

but i don't pay close enough attention to the details to predict the spread. hence the lean part.

Bernie is going to have his clock cleaned in Maryland. He is likely to lose at least PA and CT as well.

but in states where they are able to participate and there are not draconian deadlines like ny, he tends to do well.
but yes, the dem input will matter as well

Good God!

They're gonna be worse! :-D

For mostly the same reason.

for pa and ri then.

And remember he still has MT and OR coming up, which should be blowouts for him.

Not a good state for him to put it mildly

WV and KY are hard to predict based on 2008. We know they reky dislike Obama, so Bernie has a real chance there.