2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIn a recent CBS poll, Hillary beats Trump with Indies 51-33
50-40 Overall. She isnt going to have a problem with Independent support.
https://www.scribd.com/doc/308687713/Toplines-General-Election-poll-4-14-16
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Hillary will trounce trump.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Unfortunately Sanders doesn't do very well against Kasich either; OTOH he does beat outpoll Cruz head to head more often than Clinton does.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)there doesn't seem to be much sentiment coalescing behind him.
I almost hope that Trump wins the primary, but to have such an idiot that close to the presidency is a horrible and dangerous thing.
dflprincess
(28,079 posts)Hillary has a habit of starting with a big lead and then it's all down hill. If she and Trump are the nominees and if this poll is correct we can only hope the General Election comes before that 18 point lead drops to "within the margin of error".
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)People learned about the others and liked them. People know about Trump. He is a known commodity, and a lot of people don't like him either.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)unknown candidate?
Are you guys ALL new to this?
dflprincess
(28,079 posts)Leads narrow, sometimes they go up and down, but I can't think of anyone who blows big leads the way Hillary has done so often.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)Because this ALWAYS happens.
dflprincess
(28,079 posts)the most dramatic being Wellstone's race in 1990. But as a rule the unknowns don't over take and beat the well known candidate.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)because the unknown did not beat the well known.
And second, there are plenty of cases where the relatively unknown underdog has gone on to beat the known. I believe one of them was named Obama.
griffi94
(3,733 posts)The majority of Trump supporters are angry and hateful to the point of being inhinged.
They've had a couple of deades now of listening to hate media
and they've finally gone rabid.
They don't even care if they win. They just want to want to get even with somebody. It doesn't matter who.
Now national polls matter
Squinch
(50,950 posts)can't source this because I can't remember exactly who said it) talking about exit polls at the Republican primary in which a high percentage of Republicans were frightened of a Trump presidency. I think those will be a good chunk more votes for Hillary.
She'll do just fine in the GE.
Stallion
(6,474 posts)nm