2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTad Devine explained Sanders' campaign strategy on Rachel Maddow tonight.
Devine said that the campaign will work to convert Hillary delegates to Bernie delegates at the state conventions. He cited Nevada as an example.
Devine also said that whomever gets the most popular votes by the beginning of the nominating convention does not matter. The popular vote is not relevant.
Let me put that in bold. No, just reread it to let it sink in.
Next, Tad said that the number of delegates is what matters. Why is the total number of popular votes received not meaningful?
Tad says that's because caucuses (which have been Bernie's strength), are not democratic. He specifically said that if all state contests were primaries, then who has the most popular votes would be the best way to determine the nominee. But that's not the case.
Let me put that in bold. Tad said that's because caucuses (which have been Bernie's strength), are not democratic.
You should have seen his face when he said it.
The Bernie Sanders campaign leadership has gone crazy.
Renew Deal
(81,859 posts)He basically said that he wants to overturn the will of the voters
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)SFnomad
(3,473 posts)In other words ... winning the contest.
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)amborin
(16,631 posts)delegate; in the Dem primaries, a candidate can win a larger share of the popular vote yet still get fewer pledged delegates:
http://www.bustle.com/articles/139315-how-do-delegates-work-these-candidate-representatives-play-a-huge-role-in-who-gets-nominated
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)Your article is sad and was done by someone who has never read the Democratic Party Rules. Devine cannot flip delegates at the state convention. That is not how the Democratic Party rules work
amborin
(16,631 posts)Gothmog
(145,288 posts)Do you know any super delegates? I know a dozen or so. Good luck on flipping any of these delegates. I would love to watch a bernie bro try with any of the super delegates who I know. It would be fun to watch.
still_one
(92,202 posts)delegates. That is the way it is done. Those who have the most votes, which translates to pledged delegates win
Anything else would be literally disenfranchising the candidate and the candidate's supporters that had the most pledged delegates
After next weeks primaries, unless Bernie wins significantly, it will be over
Renew Deal
(81,859 posts)They are stolen. Blah blah etc
Squinch
(50,950 posts)nc4bo
(17,651 posts)Squinch
(50,950 posts)nc4bo
(17,651 posts)Squinch
(50,950 posts)said up to now about what constitutes a fair election.
nc4bo
(17,651 posts)It made sense and was not exactly the wack-a-doodle crap described by Camp Clinton. Go figure.
Here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1798074
Squinch
(50,950 posts)extract more money from their followers.
They are irrelevant. Not worth the time.
nc4bo
(17,651 posts)When supporters can't donate anymore they stop.
I mean, it's nice you care and all but we got this and will continue until his campaign says otherwise.
Btw, I love the idea that his supporters are donating like they are.
Bernie's working hard to keep OUR issues, issues important to us, always at the forefront.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)Bernie supports donation = Extration
Hillary wall street donation= Whatevs
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)And Bernie's campaign manager says that almost all of his victories were not democratic?
Bernie should fire the guy.
nc4bo
(17,651 posts)Not surprised. Not even even a little disappointed.
Typical.
amborin
(16,631 posts)Part of the reason delegates matter so much is that unpledged delegates can vote however they want. The other reason has to do with the number of delegates in each state; since there are far fewer delegates than voters in each state, each voter is not represented on a perfect one-to-one basis. This means that someone could win the popular vote while getting fewer delegates. For example, two states can have the same number of delegates, but their populations can vary by thousands of people. Remember how Al Gore got more votes than George W. Bush in 2000, but lost the election because Bush got more electoral votes? Similar situation.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)That something is that Hillary is cleaning Sanders clock in pledged delegates, the popular vote AND super delegates.
Really, put your mind at ease here. There is no way in hell that Sanders can catch upon the popular vote or the pledged delegates.
So this is nothing like Gore v. Bush
Yet what YOUR candidate is advocating, though it is really very stupid and will never come to pass, is that when Hillary comes to the convention with a commanding lead in popular vote and pledged delegates, the super delegates should contravene the will of the people (you know, that We the People you guys are always referring to?) and toss their support to him. What YOUR candidate wants is a Gore v. Bush situation.
Thank goodness no one has any intention of playing along with him.
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)His plan will only work under GOP rules and will not work under Democratic Party rules
nc4bo
(17,651 posts)"We" = Democratic party.
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)These plans are on each state party's website. There is no way under these plans to steal a delegate. You can do that under the GOP rules which are very different from the Democratic Party Rules. Here is a link to the Texas Democratic Party Delegate Selection Plan http://texasdemocraticconvention.com/convention_info/
think
(11,641 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)TMontoya
(369 posts)snowy owl
(2,145 posts)Tad and Weaver have always been professional.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)Tad, with a sick, smiling look on his face, essentially said that almost all of Bernie's victories were not democratic.
He should be fired. Unless this absurd position was Bernie's idea. And that is very difficult to believe.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts).... is pure bullshit.
The needle on the Sanders hypocrisy meter just bent.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)He can pretend to take the high road while achieving jack shit. All the while complaining other people are not perfect.
He should have never gone down this road after taking super pac money himself. If TARP had not been passed, we would be in a deep worldwide recession- but punitive measures are better, right? Self righteous bullshit.
Beacool
(30,249 posts)The super delegates will laugh in their face if they attempt to convince them to switch from the candidate who has the pledged delegate and popular vote advantage.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Maryland
Delaware
Pennsylvania
Connecticut
This ad will destroy Sanders in Connecticut:
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Greater love has no one than this: to lay down one's life for one's friends.
-John 15:13
still_one
(92,202 posts)nolawarlock
(1,729 posts)Blue Meany
(1,947 posts)It is exploitive and is deceptive about the existing law, her own positions over time, and Sanders position. There's not actually much difference between them and she's been campaigning on this issue knowing full well that she won't be able to change the law, and, frankly, I don't think it would make much difference if it were passed.
Now, if Sanders fought the same kind of campaign, he would be firing back with ads showing her waffling on various gun positions, taking money from gun companies and NRA lobbyists, and acting virtually as a sales agent for arms manufacturers during her tenure as Sec. of State, all the while raking in money both from the defense industry and the countries to whom she approved arm sales. Sanders, of course, won't do this, but it all be done in the general elections.
Sad that we couldn't have had a primary based on actual idea and positions, rather than distortions of them, but I guess that's how you win in politics.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)While Hillary Clinton was fighting for the passage of the Brady Bill Senator Sanders voted against five iterations of it. He also supported the one piece of legislation the NRA deemed their number one priority: gun manufacturer immunity.
He put the desire of his rural constituency above the national good and is reaping the whirlwind, This is his burden.
Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #70)
Blue Meany This message was self-deleted by its author.
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)Chezboo
(230 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)dinkytron
(568 posts)death and misery in this world than Sandy Hook. Your candidate has no shame. She will never win a general election.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)My favorite
"She will never win a general election."
Talk is cheap. Loser eats dirt...I'll take the Hill...
Think I am fake... I will meet you at MacArthur Park in Westlake the day after the election. It's a park so finding dirt shouldn't be difficult.
DemocratSinceBirth
A man of infinite conviction
dinkytron
(568 posts)Funny how you didn't say jack shit about all the innocents killed on her watch.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)A dance off???
If you are so cocksure Hillary is a general election loser:
-dinkytron
you would take up my challenge.
Dirt is too extreme. I'll wager my ring finger.
DemocratSinceBirth
Infinitely confident
dinkytron
(568 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)-dinkytron
I demur from your assessment and to that end I am willing to wager it is incorrect. The loser of the wager eats dirt.
dinkytron
(568 posts)pardoned by President Sanders and released from jail.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I couldn't be less surprised.
dinkytron
(568 posts)If you really want to meet someone in the park... try match.com. I pass.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Okay.
How about a $100.00 donation to the charity of the other's choice ?
I will ignore your ad hominem attacks. I knew the character of my interlocutor from the jump, dinkytron.
dinkytron
(568 posts)on edit... why do you give a shit about what I say? To the extent that you want to challenge me to a bet or dirt eating. I don't get it. Plus I don't have a hundred dollars.
on edit... this sure ain't the old DU.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)-dinkytron
If you are so cocksure of your prediction you should be able to make a $100.00 donation if you are wrong. I will even donate $100.00 to charity, win or lose. I have never been motivated by pecuniary gain or filthy lucre.
dinkytron
(568 posts)I better put you on ignore before I lose my mind and ask for your #. See ya!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Demsrule86
(68,578 posts)haha...there will be no President Sanders. Heck if by some act of God (only way) he got the nomination, he would lose the general the second coming of Stalin-after being swiftboated by the GOP...they want him as the nominee for a reason.
oasis
(49,388 posts)A lot of green has disappeared since it was featured in the Sidney Portier movie, "Patch of Blue" in the sixties.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)oasis
(49,388 posts)Loudestlib
(980 posts)[link::large|
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I stand with the daughter of the brave woman who threw herself between a lunatic with a gun and the children who were in her charge:
Loudestlib
(980 posts)The more you know.
[link:
|
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)If you believe advocating for sensible gun laws is tantamount to "exploiting the deaths of children" there is nothing I can do to disabuse you of that notion.
The enormous image is a nice touch though. It distracts readers from the paucity of thought in your arguments.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)The idea that she is some kind of gun control advocate is repugnant.
Hillary Clinton Oversaw US Arms Deals to Clinton Foundation Donors
An investigation finds that countries that gave to the foundation saw an increase in State Department-approved arms sales.
IBT found that between October 2010 and September 2012, State approved $165 billion in commercial arms sales to 20 nations that had donated to the foundation, plus another $151 billion worth of Pentagon-brokered arms deals to 16 of those countriesa 143 percent increase over the same time frame under the Bush Administration.
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/05/hillary-clinton-foundation-state-arms-deals
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)The U.S. is an arms merchant. It was an arms merchant prior to Hillary Clinton being Secretary Of State and is still an arms merchant.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)When she was SOS, she traded arms deals for donations. A 143 percent increase in arms. She's a lord of war.
17 out of 20 countries that have donated to the Clinton Foundation saw increases in arms exports authorized by Hillary Clinton's State Department.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Honorable Loretta Lynch
Attorney General
U.S. Department of Justice
950 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20530-0001
You're welcome.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)People can be immoral without committing a crime. Again, the idea that Hillary is a gun control advocate is repugnant.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Loudestlib
(980 posts)There is a plain to see correlation that shows a quid pro quo. It's unlikely that someone with Hillary's political connections that is running for president will be investigated. Nixon was never convicted of a crime. What is irrefutable is that under her watch arm sells increased 143%.
Judging by her fierce pursuit of a $29 billion arms sale to Saudi Arabia, a country which Human Rights Watch criticizes for violently oppressing women, it seems unlikely. According to the same International Business Times report, the Saudi deals success was personal to Clinton.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dieter-holger/hillary-clinton-is-pro-gu_b_8736298.html
YouDig
(2,280 posts)his strategy is to use political maneuvering to overcome the will of the people? It's just totally contrary to what he is supposed to be about.
Zorro
(15,740 posts)I heard that somewhere before.
unc70
(6,114 posts)I replayed it before posting this. Believe what you like.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)That is exactly what he said.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)It is disorganized and inconsistent. It is arbitrary and far from democratic.
1. Not all votes are equal. One person's vote carries greater weight than others depending on the state's delegate allocation process.
2. Caucuses are undemocratic. They are not one person one vote, they require commitment and not secret votes.
3. Super delegates are undemocratic and/or irrelevant but make up 15% of the delegates at the convention!
4. Some states primaries are open, some semi-open, some closed.
5. Some states allow same day registration, other require registration six months out.
6. Etc etc etc.
It is not a "fine" process. It is rife with error and inconsistencies. It is not based on the popular vote. It is an imperfect and shifting process to chose the nominee. It is what it is.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)And that's because of his integrity- right?
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Playing the rules is playing within the rules.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Not going to happen, but pretty amusing to watch.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)But I do enjoy playing the process out and drawing attention to some of the absurdities.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)than that from the futile exercise.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)It's not like Bernie is or ever was loved by the Democratic Party. And it went both ways.
I think the DNC regretted welcoming him to the race when he did as well as he did. He has little to lose by playing it out. His supporters will stay invested and hopefully be noticed and welcomed by the party.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)of thwarting the will of the people and cheating and general evilness. I guess things are different for Bernie.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)She was criticized for having the supers line up early, "clearing the field." But yes, it was totally within the rules.
But not one super delegate has cast a vote in this primary. Nor do they have to.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)And that includes the supers. Because Bernie will need them to win. So they are better than the popular vote.
Don't you honestly find this tack a bit stunning. Bernie's caucus victories weren't democratic? He is their candidate, for geez sake!
If Bernie is as honest and good as his supporters think, he couldn't have approved this. Could he?
Does not make sense.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)That is the delegate majority and it includes the supers.
Either candidate will need the supers to win. Hillary will need them to reach 2,383 as will Bernie. Only one will. But the winner will be determined by the super delegates at the conevention.
The process is not "pure democracy" not even close. It is undemocratic for many reasons. Caucuses and super delegates are a couple.
Squinch
(50,950 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)She used them early and fairly to position herself in the race.
She will need them to secure the nomination. As would Bernie. Everyone is within the rules, as silly as the rules are.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)The popular vote does not matter. Yet the popular vote is the basis of our democracy.
No way to spin Tad's view to make it less palatable. It's something that I would expect Fidel Castro to say.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)The popular vote may be the basis of our general election, but it is NOT the basis of our nomination process.
It is conceivable for one candidate to secure more pledged delegates than another while the other candidate had a much higher popular vote tally. Then what? The undemocratic super delegates would decide and they would like nominate the delegate leader rather than the popular vote leader.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)He said that caucuses - the bulk of Bernie's victories - are not democratic. So, who has the most votes does not matter.
Clearly stated. With a sick, smiling look on his face.
What campaign manager in their right mind would say that? Unless the only hope they have is to steal delegates at the convention?
They know they cannot get the most votes so this is the only approach they can take, which demeans their victories!
morningfog
(18,115 posts)And what do you mean "stealing" votes at the convention? No one is stealing anything.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)measures of legitimacy. A candidate with neither will not have a legitimate claim to make and would be seen as illegitimate and unprincipled if trying to flip superdelegates to that end.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)They are either part of the process or not. They have the power to "legitimize" whomever they want.
It's stupid and undemocratic for 15% of the nominating power to go to individuals unbound to any criteria.
We know the supers won't break from the pledged delegate winner and they certainly won't break from the pledged delegate and popular vote winner. Unless something earth shattering happened. Regardless, there is value in playing the process out and hearing for a month that neither candidate has secured the nomination through pledged delegates. The super delegate's votes will be needed to secure the nomination at the convention.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)directions scorn and condemnation and contempt would rain down on Sanders if he were to try that.
2000 is a very fresh wound in our psyche.
He would become public enemy #1 in the party and his own supporters would desert him.
You think Grijalva and Ellison would have his back on that?
morningfog
(18,115 posts)He's not going to run third party.
And the plan is doomed to fail. I can only assume that the effort is for reasons other than securing the nomination. I can think of many which are not nefarious, including leverage for agreements and concessions.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)If he takes that off the table, no leverage.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)His funding mechanism is an endless spigot that could be used to benefit many Dems running.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)TM99
(8,352 posts)an apparently straight face.
Clinton has used Citizens United and the grey area of the internet to skirt FEC rules coordinating with David Brock's SuperPAC. Yet, y'all say, them's the breaks! Those are the way the rules are so she is doing nothing wrong.
Clinton entered the race with her machine already tying up hundreds of Super Delegate pledges to vote for her. When challenged, y'all say, them's the breaks! Those are the way the rules are so she is doing nothing wrong.
If the Sanders campaign manages to win by playing by the rules and forcing a change, then sorry y'all don't have a leg to stand on in complaint. Them's the breaks! Those are the way the rules are so his campaign is doing nothing wrong.
ChisolmTrailDem
(9,463 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)that is why Bush became president without the majority in 2000
Read this and weep
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/about.html
This is what the delegate system apes by the way.
And I agree, it needs changing, but getting rid of the electoral college will require a constitutional amendment,
The american electoral system would not (and does not) meet any clean election election standards, And I consider it a joke, undemocratic, and I pretend to vote. It is also archaic, and should be reformed (and will be reformed, after a crisis that I suspect you cannot imagine, I can), becuase it will fail sooner or later. It already is actually.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)this is civics 101 again, for the elector at the presidential level. that elector should vote the way you and thousands of your friends instruct him or her to do. That said, they are not pledged. Yes an Elector could vote for Mickey mouse for all I care, and if they all do, all hail to President Mouse. The College was put in place (like the Senate originally, since Senators were not directly elected but appointed, until 1917, to guard against the passions of the people. For the record the Supers, serve the same role in the Democratic Party, to guard against a populist candidate.
The same happens with the delegates at the conventions, since they ape the Electoral college. Both parties have delegates pledged to candidates on the first round of votes If you cannot achieve a nomination in the first round, they become free agents to vote for whoever is on the slate of candidates[ still running, For the Dems it would be Clinton and Sanders. This is why Sanders is not dropping, silly that this has to be explained, but hey whatever. By the third round, if neither is elected or achieves the number of necessary votes to gain nomination, this opens the floor to any party member, for republicans it would be the 4th round, (this could be the janitor for all I care) that meets the requirements under the United States Constitution and is a party member of course, but theoretically anybody present could.
There is a reason I laugh every time I hear, now both Trump and Clinton bandy about popular vote. They both know better. Or at least I hope they do. Some of the things at times politicians tell you make you go wait a damn second, and you are in the legislature? REALLY.
Weird bug...
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)the Katherine Harris of 2016?
That won't have lasting consequences.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)the fantasy that the popular vote matters in the American system is just that, fantasy. Indirect electoral systems do not require you to have a majority of the popular vote, I do not care how many ways to Sunday you pretend they do. This is civics 101, and it used to amaze me that people did not know this basic shit.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)A candidate who loses both the popular vote and pledged delegates will not have a legitimate claim to lead the party. As a moral issue.
Trying to install himself (with absolutely zero chance of success mind you) in the absence of a moral, legitimate claim to the nomination would earn him comparisons to Don Quixote, George W. Bush, and Pinochet.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)I do not think the AMERICAN ELECTORAL SYSTEM is clean or transparent. Deduce what you want from there.
And added all the issues with voter suppression and caging, even less so now. So you are barking up the wrong tree. As to your party, do whatever the hell you want... but if you want closed primaries, I do not want to pay for them. And I will start advocating for precisely that in my state.
Blue Meany
(1,947 posts)to make it more democratic, hopefully something less traumatic than 1968.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)... HRC taking "big" money ang having a super PAC is not okay, and she is disqualified because dhe particates in the system
But Sanders engaging in blatantly undemocratic behavior is okay, because the system "is what it is."
There's a word for that.... Oh yeah... Hypocrisy.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)This isn't news. He can play out the rules while following them.
The simple fact is neither candidate will secure the nomination without the super delegates.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)He just decides when it's okay to play the system and when it's not.
Sorry, but a blatant attempt to win the nomination despite being behind in both the pledged delegates and popular vote is pretty freaking egregious in my book.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)That is a startegy I thought Bernie would never approve of.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)The DNC won't want him to do it, he has every right to do it. And as doomed as it is, the argument holds together. He has a bargaining chip. He now has something of value to give in addition to his supporters and their funding.
Today he also made it known he will remain a Dem and support the nominee.
amborin
(16,631 posts)http://www.bustle.com/articles/139315-how-do-delegates-work-these-candidate-representatives-play-a-huge-role-in-who-gets-nominated
revmclaren
(2,524 posts)Sorry, but the S.S. Loonie Toon sailed a long time ago! A little bird told me.
Note to alert-er...alert while you can. YOUR ship is sailing soon. Do it while you'er here and able.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,913 posts)You probably don't like caucuses and I don't either, but Davine was simply saying that if the past holds true for the future Bernie will add delegates in the caucus states because the Sanders team shows up where they are supposed to when they are supposed to, while the Clinton team has a poorer record of following through. Actions matter. If Clinton delegates are no shows at low level conventions they will not be able to elect as many delegates on to the next higher level as anticipated. This has nothing to do with converting anyone, it is simply the way the system is set up.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)And please address what Tad said - the popular vote does not matter.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,913 posts)What he actually said is that if all of the contests had been primaries, then it would be a pretty relevant figure. But a mix of caucuses and primaries doesn't provide a level playing filed for comparisons. I did write about this point already
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/04/01/1509058/-About-Hillary-s-boast-of-being-2-5-million-popular-votes-ahead-of-Bernie
YouDig
(2,280 posts)is to gain delegates through bureaucratic means that don't represent the will of the voters. I get that this is the system, but just the fact that they're having to resort to that, and admitting it, is pretty sad. It's like, well, no, we're not going get more votes, but you know, the system isn't really entirely democratic, so maybe we can win anyway even though the people chose the other candidate.
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)Each state has a delegate selection plan that are all very similar. There is no way for sanders to steal any delegates at the state convention. That trick works under the GOP party rules but not the Democratic Party rules.
In each and every state, the candidate has approval rights over their delegates and I know that in Texas the Clinton campaign is vetting applicants to be national delegates. There is no way to steal delegates at the state convention under Democratic Party rules.
I am amused that Sanders people do not know or understand the democratic party rules.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,913 posts)what he was talking about are fluctuations that are built into the system for a state caucus, because the ultimate delegates to the national convention are not chosen until votes get taken at several layers. Caucus night simply elected delegates who are authorized to vote at the next level up, for example a county convention. If delegates empowered to attend the county convention with voting rights due to the results on caucus night do not show up, those vote are thrown away in effect. Percentages of eligible voters present at each level determine the proportion of delegates sent on to the next level up. It is a stupid and crazy system, but there are no National delegates selected directly by the vote on caucus night, just delegates who get to vote for delegates who choose the final delegates etc., but only if they show up at the appropriate conventions.
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)kstewart33
(6,551 posts)The popular vote does not matter. The basis of our democracy does not matter.
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)Not going to repeat all this, I posted it earlier...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017359247#post40
With many states having caucuses (I wish they didn't), there is no real way to properly weight those in any popular vote total. You can attempt to extrapolate to the state's voting population using ratios from the caucuses, but that isn't accurate, you don't know how many would vote in a non-caucus election nor do you know if they would vote proportionately to the caucus results.
It is even less accurate to only use the caucus totals, since caucus totals are far less than popular vote totals, given the nature of caucuses, so a win in a popular vote state would get weighted far heavier than a win in a similar-sized caucus state.
It's the Democratic Party itself that laughs at the popular vote. Hence the super-delegates. The one thing the party gets right, IMO, is proportionately allocating delegates, rather than the winner-takes-all model.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)And by "poor things" I'm ridiculing them, not expressing sympathy.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Funny that, huh? Whoda thunk?
jfern
(5,204 posts)JeffHead
(1,186 posts)Even in the general, the popular vote is meaningless. The Electoral College decides. He has a point about that.
Samantha
(9,314 posts)thinks is in the best interests of the party, despite other factors. Dean is of course from Vermont where Sanders received 86 percent of the vote and all of the delegates (Hillary failed to meet the 15 percent minimum standard). So if those are the rules the Democratic Party has outlined, of course the Sanders campaign must note it and play its hand accordingly.
Sam
Gothmog
(145,288 posts)Devine is wrong in that it is impossible to steal delegates at the state convention under democratic rules. For primary states the delegates have to be allocated in accordance with the results of the primary and there is not way to steal delegates. It does not matter how many people show up at the state convention, you can not vary the allocation of delegates under the Delegate Selection Plans that I have read (each state has a plan and they are very similar.
In addition, under Democratic rules the candidate has approval rights over their national delegates. I have no idea if the Sanders campaign is vetting delegates but in Texas I know that the Clinton campaign is. The people who will be Clinton delegates are going to be people who have been vetted by the campaign. Good luck in trying to flip these delegates. I am considering trying to be a national delegate and it may help that I am a maxed out Clinton primary contributor.
Devine is lying to the Sanders supporters because his plan can not work under Democratic party rules. Devine's plan might work under Republican party rules. Anyone who gives sanders money based on Devine's plan is throwing their money away.
passiveporcupine
(8,175 posts)He specifically said that if all state contests were primaries, then who has the most popular votes would be the best way to determine the nominee. But that's not the case.
He is saying that if it were up to popular vote, it would be an easy decision, but because caucuses are not based on popular vote, we don't have a fair system.
He's saying lets have a fair system, based on primaries, not caucuses, and you are having a problem with that?
Jesus...sometimes the fog is thick around here.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)That the vast majority of the American citizenry would argue very strongly that the votes matter the most, regardless of the system's shortcomings.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)But caucuses they admit are undemocratic are fine because Bernie wins them.
The hypocrisy is stunning.
Triana
(22,666 posts)in several states (NY's AG, NYC Mayor and NY Comptroller all endorsed Hillary, for instance), then faking outrage and promising to "investigate" (yea. right) AFTER the primary is over and nothing can be done about it -- isn't democratic either. But that's what has been done.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)All primaries are caucuses, since they are. Can you link the video please?
Beacool
(30,249 posts)Although, he can't be delusional enough to believe his prattle.
Unicorn
(424 posts)evenly. Some states it's more fair than others. Another example is how people can't vote in some states unless they register nearly a year in advance, while in other states can vote the same day they register.
quaker bill
(8,224 posts)These are two very different processes. It is well understood that voting depends on mass turnout, caucus processes depend on the turnout of committed activists who will sit for hours.
Adding the two together to claim a "popular vote win" is disingenuous. It is like a candidate claiming support for a $15 minimum wage when only $12 is proposed.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I expect MASSIVE protest from Bernie followers following this stinking anti-democratic assault against the will of the people and the votes already cast by Americans!!
Of course there will be none because Bernie followers will all be good with the Sanders team stealing the votes of Clinton voters, I have no doubt about that at all!
Devine also said that whomever gets the most popular votes by the beginning of the nominating convention does not matter. The popular vote is not relevant.
The Sanders campaign is a ***king joke. Anti democratic to the bone after the statement made above!