2016 Postmortem

MadBadger

(24,089 posts) Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:07 PM Oct 2012

CNN Ohio Poll: Obama 50 (-1), Romney 46 (-1)

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/26/cnn-poll-obama-50-romney-46-in-ohio/

No change in Margin since the last poll

Obama has a 59-38 lead in early voting.

Obama has a 49-44 lead among Independents

27 replies

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CNN Ohio Poll: Obama 50 (-1), Romney 46 (-1) (Original Post) MadBadger Oct 2012 OP

Game! Set! Match! aaaaaa5a Oct 2012 #1

Why oh why do people watch cnn or faux...faux is cnn on steroids... movonne Oct 2012 #14

How is CNN going to pimp that for Romney? Call it a tie? Blaukraut Oct 2012 #2

That's exactly what they did. Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #6

OMG, they're not even trying anymore, are they? n/t Blaukraut Oct 2012 #10

OMG. I hope to hell Jon Stewart sees this. fugop Oct 2012 #11

Another post states Wolf says OH is a tie. democrat_patriot Oct 2012 #9

But what about the "Romney surge???" barnabas63 Oct 2012 #3

Nice to see OH holding sharp_stick Oct 2012 #4

I expect CNN to discredit their own poll. fugop Oct 2012 #5

So basically, Romney has a slight lead in OH Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #7

Chuck Tood head explosion in 3,2,1 . . . powergirl Oct 2012 #8

i wish! nt barnabas63 Oct 2012 #12

Oh man do I wanna see that! ermasdaughter Oct 2012 #13

I'm Telling You Guys... JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #15

Nevada's already out of reach. fugop Oct 2012 #18

He's already begun. Next week is too late. Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #21

Yes, stick a fork in Mittens. He is basically done. Jennicut Oct 2012 #23

he is in Ohio tonight, though scheming daemons Oct 2012 #26

What percentage have early voted in OH? VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #16

The President has a comfortable 7-point lead among registered voters. n/t ProSense Oct 2012 #17

Virginia JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #19

Margin of error electionwatcher Oct 2012 #20

Good! All the Ohio polls are holding. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #22

But unskewed RandySF Oct 2012 #24

Yet Blitzer says it is tied. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #25

In Blitzerland he is. LisaL Oct 2012 #27

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)

1. Game! Set! Match!

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:08 PM

Oct 2012

How is CNN going to report this in wake of their GOP propaganda which ran yesterday afternoon?

movonne

(9,623 posts)

14. Why oh why do people watch cnn or faux...faux is cnn on steroids...

Reply to aaaaaa5a (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:12 PM

Oct 2012

Blaukraut

(5,695 posts)

2. How is CNN going to pimp that for Romney? Call it a tie?

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:08 PM

Oct 2012

Good poll for Obama, and bears out every other Ohio poll - steady lead.

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

6. That's exactly what they did.

Reply to Blaukraut (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:09 PM

Oct 2012

Blaukraut

(5,695 posts)

10. OMG, they're not even trying anymore, are they? n/t

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #6)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:11 PM

Oct 2012

fugop

(1,828 posts)

11. OMG. I hope to hell Jon Stewart sees this.

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #6)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:11 PM

Oct 2012

Seriously, what the eff is WRONG with them? Does it not bother them to be such a joke?

democrat_patriot

(2,774 posts)

9. Another post states Wolf says OH is a tie.

Reply to Blaukraut (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:10 PM

Oct 2012

So there's your answer. It boggles the mind sometimes. CNN needs viewers I guess.

barnabas63

(1,214 posts)

3. But what about the "Romney surge???"

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:08 PM

Oct 2012

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)

4. Nice to see OH holding

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:09 PM

Oct 2012

Romney is betting it all on that State, he knows that if he loses Ohio he's finished.

fugop

(1,828 posts)

5. I expect CNN to discredit their own poll.

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:09 PM

Oct 2012

Because, you know, ROMENTUM!

Alekei_Firebird

(320 posts)

7. So basically, Romney has a slight lead in OH

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:09 PM

Oct 2012

powergirl

(2,393 posts)

8. Chuck Tood head explosion in 3,2,1 . . .

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:10 PM

Oct 2012

KABOOM!

barnabas63

(1,214 posts)

12. i wish! nt

Reply to powergirl (Reply #8)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:12 PM

Oct 2012

ermasdaughter

(85 posts)

13. Oh man do I wanna see that!

Reply to powergirl (Reply #8)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:12 PM

Oct 2012

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)

15. I'm Telling You Guys...

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:15 PM

Oct 2012

i know a lot of you laughed when i started a thread saying this a couple of days ago, but if by middle of next week Romney is still showing 3-4 points down in Ohio (consensus) then he is going to initiate a very discrete withdrawal of Ohio to concentrate on states he can still win. it is absolutely stupid for him not to. perception be damned.

if he doesn't win Ohio he then needs: Nevada (he's close), CO (he's leading or close), VA (close), Florida (leading or close), and WI (now uncomfortably close for us Dems). if he starts redirecting resources to these states then he can make it a race otherwise he's gonna lose this thing BIG. i know many of you don't agree with me but mathematically, IF Ohio remains the same middle of next week its his only shot at winning.

fugop

(1,828 posts)

18. Nevada's already out of reach.

Reply to JiminyJominy (Reply #15)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:24 PM

Oct 2012

Mitt's going all in on Ohio while the president is wooing nonessential swings.

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)

21. He's already begun. Next week is too late.

Reply to JiminyJominy (Reply #15)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:26 PM

Oct 2012

He was in NV recently and is making the rounds in IA and FL this week. Ohio is gone. He knows this. He can not win it. Not possible. The polls have been too overwhelming. But he will leverage the media through Bain as much as he can for a Hail Mary.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

23. Yes, stick a fork in Mittens. He is basically done.

Reply to Maximumnegro (Reply #21)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:31 PM

Oct 2012

He really, really needs to be up in VA and CO, not tied. He needs to be closing the gap and OH and only one poll really shows that and it is the ever lovely Rasmussen.

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)

26. he is in Ohio tonight, though

Reply to JiminyJominy (Reply #15)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:46 PM

Oct 2012

VirginiaTarheel

(823 posts)

16. What percentage have early voted in OH?

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:16 PM

Oct 2012

ProSense

(116,464 posts)

17. The President has a comfortable 7-point lead among registered voters. n/t

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:20 PM

Oct 2012

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)

19. Virginia

Reply to MadBadger (Original post)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 04:25 PM

Oct 2012

3 days ago it was at about 20% so I'm guessing at least 25% by now.

but keep in mind, most polling firms have the question "have you voted already?" in their polling and if someone responds "yes" then that person's response goes into the Likely Voter category.

i know some people are under the misconception that well if we got such a heavy lead in the early votes, AND we're ahead 5 in the polls now there is no way we can lose....but that not how it really works.