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JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:34 PM Apr 2016

This year, Hillary only got 1,054,083 votes. She actually got 14,413 fewer than she got in '08.

Bernie won 763,469 which is 12,450 more than Obama received in 2008.

Altogether, Democrats received 1,817,552 votes.

https://www.google.com/webhp#q=New+York+primary+results&eob=m.059rby/D/2/short/m.059rby/

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/NY.html

Hillary's share of the votes DECREASED SLIGHTLY THIS YEAR.

If Hillary were really a strong candidate, the candidate we need, she would have won by a much larger margin in her "home state," the state she has represented in Congress.

Fact is, Hillary did not do that well.


Democrats are still way ahead in New York, but Hillary is not as popular among Democrats as she was in 2008.

And Bernie is more popular in New York than Obama was -- both in raw numbers and in percentages. The differences are not uuuge, but they are there. There were more candidates in the contest, but still, Obama only won 40.3% of the votes, 751,019 raw votes to Bernie's 42% or 763,469 raw votes

Bernie is a very, very strong candidate. No one should underestimate him.

Hillary is weaker than she was in 2008, and she was not popular enough then.

And thanks to New York's disenfranchising election laws, Hillary probably did better than she would have had more people who were not registered as Democrats by the October deadline been able to change and join the Democratic Party before election day.

Feel the Bern!

Cause from these numbers, I'd say that voters in New York are feeling it much more than the election numbers show. And more than they felt the Obama fever.

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This year, Hillary only got 1,054,083 votes. She actually got 14,413 fewer than she got in '08. (Original Post) JDPriestly Apr 2016 OP
Every time you paint Hillary as a bad candidate, it makes Bernie look evern worse for losing to her. CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #1
+1000! IamMab Apr 2016 #12
Voter suppression helps her a lot. basselope Apr 2016 #14
In Hillary's "home state?" JDPriestly Apr 2016 #24
It was Bernie's home state, so he said. Keep telling yourself a 16 point loss is a win. CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #33
Bernie's home state in that it was his birth state, but Hillary's state in that she represented JDPriestly Apr 2016 #37
Why not spin it as Bernie is a better candidate than Obama? Oh, that's right, he's not. CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #42
Facts are facts. Bernie did better in New York than Obama did. It's the numbers, not my opinion. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #45
The numbers aren't wrong. They just don't mean very much. CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #50
And yet, unlike Obama woolldog Apr 2016 #54
She has artificial "advantages" while he has authentic populist strength. senz Apr 2016 #57
Yeah, the "artificial" advantage of being Secretary Of State, and the single most respected woman. CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #60
SOS via post-election deal. Clumsy, reckless, disastrous results. "Respected" via power. senz Apr 2016 #61
Interesting! 👍 WhaTHellsgoingonhere Apr 2016 #2
A lot of voters were caught in the registration dump -- at least 20,000. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #3
Well hell, in that case Jackie Wilson Said Apr 2016 #4
Sanders outspent Clinton by several million dollars. Obama didn't spend any money on ads here. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #5
It's Clinton's home state. She had a huge advantage supposedly from the get-go. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #17
58-42 in the state with the second most delegates. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #30
Yeah, that's one difference between now and then. Orsino Apr 2016 #48
So its Bernies home state and he outspent her 2-1 MattP Apr 2016 #6
He hasn't lived there for 50 years... Human101948 Apr 2016 #43
So 2008 Hillary will get to be Prez? JoePhilly Apr 2016 #7
Mediocre rationalization impresses nobody. onehandle Apr 2016 #8
Almighty straws I grasp at thee!!! nt Codeine Apr 2016 #9
Facts are facts. Numbers are numbers. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #22
A 1.35% decrease is meaningful to you? Codeine Apr 2016 #59
Let's agree for the sake of argument that it is "noise." JDPriestly Apr 2016 #62
And we can always count on the Peanut Gallery for some nutty rejoinder... Human101948 Apr 2016 #44
He was brilliant because he lost. I don't think he can afford much more brilliance... LanternWaste Apr 2016 #10
This is not about his "losing." It's about her "winning" with fewer votes than she received in 2008 JDPriestly Apr 2016 #63
Give her time. kstewart33 Apr 2016 #11
HRC can't win the general -- that's the bottom line. nashville_brook Apr 2016 #13
They don't understand that. basselope Apr 2016 #15
they will. nashville_brook Apr 2016 #19
Hopefully they will learn... basselope Apr 2016 #23
after their gloating over election fraud/suppression in NY, they're unfortunately not going nashville_brook Apr 2016 #34
A nice little sub-thread of "Democrats" hoping the Democratic nominee loses the General Election. JoePhilly Apr 2016 #40
a nice little post that disingenuously misrepresents the sub-thread nashville_brook Apr 2016 #49
Looks like you'd like Hillary to lose so we all "learn our lesson". JoePhilly Apr 2016 #53
It's not a matter of hope, it is a matter of, there is no way for her to win. basselope Apr 2016 #55
She will win. JoePhilly Apr 2016 #56
That's the point! JDPriestly Apr 2016 #18
precisely! and i lurve how nashville_brook Apr 2016 #21
Lol, what a sad, sad number-wrangling exercise that was Tarc Apr 2016 #16
Fact is, Hillary's numbers went DOWN this year, not up. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #20
Poor l'il poppet Tarc Apr 2016 #25
The drop in the bucket, and I agree the margins are small, shows that Hillary, in her home JDPriestly Apr 2016 #29
Contrast a white, rural open primary state with a multicultural closed one? Ok... Tarc Apr 2016 #32
There are a lot of white, rural states in America. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #64
The MSM is reporting a blowout win Skink Apr 2016 #47
In other words statistical noise mythology Apr 2016 #26
In other words, voting trends. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #27
+ 1 JoePhilly Apr 2016 #41
K/R! So Sanders is tracking better than Obama, who won!!! CentralCoaster Apr 2016 #28
It's good news that we can talk about in the states that are yet to vote. JDPriestly Apr 2016 #31
If you compare all states, he's way in the hole compared to Obama last time Zynx Apr 2016 #36
None of this matters very much because Bernie lost Texas and Florida 2-1. Zynx Apr 2016 #35
#berniemath!...nt SidDithers Apr 2016 #38
Damn. Arizona and Brooklyn! WhiteTara Apr 2016 #39
60 precincts in areas that went heavily for Hillary seem to be unreported still Dem2 Apr 2016 #46
You didn't include Hillary's vote percent LiberalFighter Apr 2016 #51
People ignored this. northernsouthern Apr 2016 #52
Thanks, JD. Hill supporters are trying to psyche us out. We should ignore their lies senz Apr 2016 #58

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
24. In Hillary's "home state?"
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:05 PM
Apr 2016

And after she served 4 years in the very public position of Sec. of State?

And after Bernie won 86% of the vote in his home state?

Hillary did not do well. It wasn't terrible, but she should have had a bump and did not. This is especially true since it was a closed primary in a state that did not allow re-registration to change party affiliation after a date in October.

This is not a good sign for Hillary.

I'll bet her campaign is thinking about the facts in the OP.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
37. Bernie's home state in that it was his birth state, but Hillary's state in that she represented
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:31 PM
Apr 2016

it. She should have increased her percentage and her vote totals.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
57. She has artificial "advantages" while he has authentic populist strength.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:28 PM
Apr 2016

She has money, spousal fame, political clout and a hit list.

Bernie has himself and his message.

He's doing great.


 

CrowCityDem

(2,348 posts)
60. Yeah, the "artificial" advantage of being Secretary Of State, and the single most respected woman.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:42 PM
Apr 2016
 

senz

(11,945 posts)
61. SOS via post-election deal. Clumsy, reckless, disastrous results. "Respected" via power.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 03:25 PM
Apr 2016

You gotta be good at what you do.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
3. A lot of voters were caught in the registration dump -- at least 20,000.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:37 PM
Apr 2016

But, you stay with that narrative.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
5. Sanders outspent Clinton by several million dollars. Obama didn't spend any money on ads here.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:38 PM
Apr 2016

Sanders campaigned here for almost two straight weeks. Had a debate here.

And still got his ass kicked so hard he had to fly to Vermont to curl up in a fetal position.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
17. It's Clinton's home state. She had a huge advantage supposedly from the get-go.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:59 PM
Apr 2016

That's why Bernie figured he would have to spend more.

But Bernie did better in New York than Obama did in 2008. And Obama was a super-popular candidate.

Feel the Bern!

The numbers speak for themselves.

Bernie did better than Obama did in New York.

Voters do not really like Hillary. Hillary gets lots of free positive reports in the media while Bernie's media coverage is at best lukewarm.

Don't underestimate Bernie. He is the strong candidate here -- especially when he gets the name recognition.

I understand that Hillary supporters don't want to face what these numbers really mean, but . . . . Bernie is much stronger and Hillary much weaker as candidates that Hillary's fans want to admit.

Feel the Bern!

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
30. 58-42 in the state with the second most delegates.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:13 PM
Apr 2016

That's a brutal beat down, and it ended any illusion of hope of Sanders winning.

Lame spin won't change that.

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
48. Yeah, that's one difference between now and then.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:57 PM
Apr 2016

I don't understand all the hyperbole. NY is such a prize at this stage that of course Sanders had to spend big or not at all. It wasn't enough to knock off the more recent resident of the state, who has always been favored to win. No amount of new money was going to outdo the old money behind Clinton, or the name-recognition she's had for decades, and the same may turn out to be true for the entire primary.

Time has been on Sanders' side, and he has made steady inroads on default Clinton support, but maybe there just wasn't time for voters to get to know him like they do his opponent.

 

Human101948

(3,457 posts)
43. He hasn't lived there for 50 years...
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:46 PM
Apr 2016

And he was never Senator for New York.

Hillary was busy paying people to post here.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
22. Facts are facts. Numbers are numbers.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:03 PM
Apr 2016

I'm not making anything up.

Hillary won but by fewer votes than she received in 2008. And after four years as secretary of state.

That's not a good sign.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
59. A 1.35% decrease is meaningful to you?
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:38 PM
Apr 2016

Seriously, as someone pointed out that's statistical noise.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
62. Let's agree for the sake of argument that it is "noise."
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 05:43 PM
Apr 2016

It's noise going in the wrong direction. It's the train driving away from the station, not toward it.

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
10. He was brilliant because he lost. I don't think he can afford much more brilliance...
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:46 PM
Apr 2016

In essence, the 'analysis' is she did crappy because she won, he was brilliant because he lost. I don't think he can afford much more brilliance...

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
63. This is not about his "losing." It's about her "winning" with fewer votes than she received in 2008
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 05:45 PM
Apr 2016

That is a bad sign.

Bernie started out with nothing, hasn't campaigned but for maybe an eighth at most of the time that Hillary has campaigned. Bernie was just a senator that most people never heard of, but he got more votes than Obama in New York in a contest with Hillary.

That does not say anything good about Hillary's chances nationally as a candidate.

 

basselope

(2,565 posts)
23. Hopefully they will learn...
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:05 PM
Apr 2016

But, I am not sure they are smart enough to understand.

They will "blame" voter ID laws and the like and will be only partially correct.

What they will fail to understand is that the 1-2% of votes they lost to voter suppression and voter ID laws, etc. wouldn't have meant ANYTHING if we had massive voter turnout with strong Independent appeal for our candidate.

nashville_brook

(20,958 posts)
34. after their gloating over election fraud/suppression in NY, they're unfortunately not going
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:23 PM
Apr 2016

to have a strong case during/after the general.

 

basselope

(2,565 posts)
55. It's not a matter of hope, it is a matter of, there is no way for her to win.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:11 PM
Apr 2016

I know I would never vote for her and HOPES she loses, because I can't think of a worse president.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
56. She will win.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:12 PM
Apr 2016

And if you can't think of anyone worse, you need to broaden your sources of political information.

nashville_brook

(20,958 posts)
21. precisely! and i lurve how
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:03 PM
Apr 2016

the believers think that the facts will just go away with some bullying and horse laughs.

they won't...and she can't win the general.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
16. Lol, what a sad, sad number-wrangling exercise that was
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 12:57 PM
Apr 2016

After the big buildup of "this is really Sanders hometown!", "feel the Bern in NY!!!" and assortments, I guess it's everything and the kitchen sink to try to save some face here.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
20. Fact is, Hillary's numbers went DOWN this year, not up.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:02 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie did better than Obama did in 2008, and he won the general election.

Hillary's numbers went DOWN. They should have gone up. They did not.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
25. Poor l'il poppet
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:06 PM
Apr 2016

We're talking a drop-in-a-bucket 15k. If that's the argument that you want to hang your hat on, by all means...

What does this accomplish, though? Who does it sway to your side?

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
29. The drop in the bucket, and I agree the margins are small, shows that Hillary, in her home
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:12 PM
Apr 2016

state, has actually not gained much ground if any even after four years as Secretary of State.

That is a very bad sign.

It is a question of momentum and enthusiasm. And Hillary does not attract that. Not even in her home state.

Her campaign is very negative. Her ideas are humdrum. She is not that strong a candidate.

Her supporters need to understand that she should have done really, really well in New York, the state she represented in Congress. She did not.

Bernie won 86% of the vote in his home state of Vermont.

Contrast. It's startling.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
64. There are a lot of white, rural states in America.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 05:49 PM
Apr 2016

California is very diverse, but New York is probably more diverse even upstate than many parts of America.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
26. In other words statistical noise
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:07 PM
Apr 2016

I'm sorry that your preferred candidate is losing, but this is just sad.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
27. In other words, voting trends.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:09 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary was Secretary of State for four years between 2008 and 2012.

These numbers are not good for her. Not terrible, in that you are right.

But they are not good for Hillary.

She is not gaining momentum over 2008.

And Bernie was preferred to Hillary in better numbers and percentages than Obama was.

That is also reason for concern in the Hillary camp.

Hillary should have done much, much better than she did.

Bernie is still the one gaining momentum.

 

CentralCoaster

(1,163 posts)
28. K/R! So Sanders is tracking better than Obama, who won!!!
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:11 PM
Apr 2016

I haven't seen a side to side comparison over the two seasons, state by state, but this is pretty big news!

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
31. It's good news that we can talk about in the states that are yet to vote.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:13 PM
Apr 2016

Her position as Secretary of State should have given her at least a little boost. But as we see, there is no real lift-off. Not at all.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
36. If you compare all states, he's way in the hole compared to Obama last time
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:31 PM
Apr 2016

You're deluding yourself if you think differently.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
35. None of this matters very much because Bernie lost Texas and Florida 2-1.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:29 PM
Apr 2016

Obama actually won more delegates in Texas than Hillary. Hillary also flipped the South and will win Maryland this time.

Obama won because his coalition was diverse. Sanders will lose because his coalition is very narrow.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
46. 60 precincts in areas that went heavily for Hillary seem to be unreported still
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 01:48 PM
Apr 2016

I don't know if this is real or just some weird artifact on the NY Times site, but those numbers could approach parity if they come in at the rates they were reporting at.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/new-york , click on "Show Estimated Remaining Votes" below the map.

LiberalFighter

(50,942 posts)
51. You didn't include Hillary's vote percent
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:00 PM
Apr 2016

2008 - 56.5%
2016 - 58.0%

There were fewer voters in 2016. 67,773 fewer voters.

Hillary will win New York in the general election even if Trump is their nominee. Considering that Obama won New York by 2 million votes over the Republican nominee in 2008 and 2012 it shouldn't be a problem.

 

northernsouthern

(1,511 posts)
52. People ignored this.
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:03 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie did better than Obama, she got her same base from before (they said they made their minds up months ago), independents were locked out. Voter turn out was repressed which is the one thing that has determined his win more than anything else.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
58. Thanks, JD. Hill supporters are trying to psyche us out. We should ignore their lies
Thu Apr 21, 2016, 02:33 PM
Apr 2016

and get on with the important job of electing the only candidate worth electing in 2016.

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