2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMost Democratic voters are women, and Hillary is winning among them by double digits
from Daily Beast:
Hillarys Army of Women Conquers New York, Occupies the Democratic Party
The obvious is important here: Most Democratic voters are women, and Clinton is winning among them by double digits in most states.
We talk endlessly about the youth vote in the Democratic primaries, as Bernie Sanders wins young voters four- and five-to-one. But young voters are typically around one-fifth of electorate; under 30s were 17 percent in New York, according to the exit polls.
But we talk less about the womens vote, which made up an eye-popping 59 percent of the Democratic vote. Thats three out of five voters, with Clinton winning more than three out of five of those votes (63-37). But hey, theyre not an interesting story line.
Actually that 59 percent number isnt eye-popping if youve done any homework. Women were 58 percent of the Democratic primary vote in New York in 2008, when Clinton beat Barack Obama by one point more than the 16 she topped Sanders by yesterday. And it tracks with other results this year. Women were 58 percent in Florida, 56 percent in Ohio, and 55 percent even in Michigan, which Clinton lost (although she carried women by 51-44 percent). Theres hardly a state where women werent at least 55 percent of the vote (in primaries; caucuses dont have gender breakdowns), and there arent many states where Clinton didnt win among women by double digits...
As for ramifications, the results tell us a little something about how a general election might play out against Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. It should be pointed out that Trump crushed it among women in New York on the Republican side, since after all as we know he cherishes women and will be the best president for women in history, forget about it. He got 57 percent to John Kasichs 28 percent and Cruzs 15 percent. But there, women were only 44 percent of the vote. And in terms of raw vote totals, Clinton hauled in almost exactly twice the number of votes Trump did1.037 million to 518,000. That means about 665,000 women voted for Clinton, while just 215,000 voted for Trump.
The story has been similar in most contests. In Florida, Trumps best big state outside of New York, Clinton got 675,000 votes from women, and Trump 464,000. It adds up...
read: http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/04/20/hillary-s-army-of-women-conquers-new-york-occupies-the-democratic-party.html?via=twitter_page
Hillary Clinton @HillaryClinton
Thank you, New York. You put your faith in me 16 years ago and again tonight. I'll never stop fighting for you. -H
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)people talk about Trump's crossover appeal to men (ha!) but very little about Clinton's crossover appeal to women.
it's like there's some kind of institutional bias in our political and media institutions or something
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)web) that isn't going to be liked by women voters (in fact, REALLY not liked), those numbers are going to go DOWN.
I know Camp Clinton thinks they are the masters of playing women for their votes. Well get ready for the other side to enter the game (and with the ammo they have) I'd get the fainting couches ready.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)See, I can do pointless cherry-picking, too.
bigtree
(85,996 posts)"the womens vote... made up an eye-popping 59 percent of the Democratic vote. Thats three out of five voters, with Clinton winning more than three out of five of those votes (63-37)"
How tragic that you're reduced to dismissing these important realities.
nolawarlock
(1,729 posts)so I guess we'll just have to look at the results. Oh wait, yeah, Hillary's got this.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)And I love this picture! Hillary has been talking about Mikey's and what a great story it is about turning your life around. She mentioned him in todays gun violence forum in Hartford CT, and has him featured on her website too.
https://www.hillaryclinton.com/feed/mikeys-ice-cream/
Love that photo!
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)The lowest turnout of any primary second only to Louisiana.
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2016/04/20/new-york-had-second-lowest-voter-turnout-so-far-this-election-cycle/
Vote suppression works. A lesson she'll take to the White House, if given the opportunity.
FSogol
(45,487 posts)bigtree
(85,996 posts)Stopped by an old @HillaryClinton favorite, @MikeyLikesItNY in the #EastVillage. Read this: https://www.hillaryclinton.com/feed/mikeys-ice-cream/
Tamara Gitt ?@tamaragitt 1h1 hour ago
@HillaryClinton stops by East Village ice cream shop where owner Mikey made a sundae named Victory for her