2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPennsylvania: (Obama+6) Obama 49%, Romney 43% (Philadelphia Inquirer)
Pennsylvania: (Philadelphia Inquirer)
Obama 49%
Romney 43%
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Sat, Oct. 27, 2012, 7:00 AM
President Obama holds a six-point lead over Mitt Romney in a new Inquirer Pennsylvania Poll with just over nine full days of campaigning left for the Republican nominee to make a play for the state.
Obama was the choice of 49 percent of likely voters, to 43 percent who backed Romney in the survey conducted for the newspaper by a bipartisan team of pollsters.
The new numbers came out as one Republican group made a television ad buy on Friday that might signal a last-minute Romney push in Pennsylvania.
The poll's margin represents a net swing of two percentage points in Romney's favor since the last Inquirer survey, which found the president ahead 50 percent to 42 percent in the first week of October.
http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/poll/20121026_Poll__Obama_still_ahead__but_Romney_up.html
modrepub
(3,500 posts)especially in SE PA and Pittsburgh. That's the only way this race will be close enough to possibly win. Lots of Smith ads on the radio as of late, nothing from Casey.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)He had a big lead earlier in the year, but was slow to fight back against Smith and seems to have declined lately.
Anyway, although the poll above says this is a decrease of 2 points for Obama since the last poll, it's actually a better PA poll for Obama compared to several other recent pollsters.
Cosmocat
(14,567 posts)BO simply is not at his high water mark he was at pre-first debate, but the Romney momentum has given way to a bit of President Obama momentum.
I think practically speaking, Romney failed to fully make his case.
MgtPA
(1,022 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Isn't Smith a billionaire who's been spending a huge amount of money like Linda McMahon in Connecticut?
MgtPA
(1,022 posts)modrepub
(3,500 posts)He's been running from office to office and I really don't know what he's done other than being the son of a former (popular) governor. People have always said he wants to be the Gov of PA; we'll see about that in a couple of years.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)I'm in NJ and this state has been controlled by the democrats for years and I have no idea why the States Legislators and State Senators don't propose early voting up here.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)Women: Obama 52, Romney 40
Men: Obama 46, Romney 47
Favorable/Unfavorable
Obama 55/43 (five county: 65/32)
Romney 46/50 (five county: 38/58)
TroyD
(4,551 posts)How so?
ProSense
(116,464 posts)OldDem2012
(3,526 posts)Yeah thats about right, Obama will win my state by that mush which is a landslide..
DCBob
(24,689 posts)funny PA tends to be called a swing state but in reality it seldom is.
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)I think Romney's late fundraising push is to enable him to make a late play for PA. Remember, nobody there has voted yet, and Southwest PA is as racist as Southeast OH. And the auto bailout is not as big a factor in PA as OH. And the Republican voter suppression efforts there were at least partially successful. I think PA could be the sleeper that ends up becoming competitive in the end, and we need to be prepared for it.