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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:13 AM Oct 2012

Pennsylvania: (Obama+6) Obama 49%, Romney 43% (Philadelphia Inquirer)

Pennsylvania: (Philadelphia Inquirer)

Obama 49%

Romney 43%

--

Sat, Oct. 27, 2012, 7:00 AM

President Obama holds a six-point lead over Mitt Romney in a new Inquirer Pennsylvania Poll with just over nine full days of campaigning left for the Republican nominee to make a play for the state.

Obama was the choice of 49 percent of likely voters, to 43 percent who backed Romney in the survey conducted for the newspaper by a bipartisan team of pollsters.

The new numbers came out as one Republican group made a television ad buy on Friday that might signal a last-minute Romney push in Pennsylvania.

The poll's margin represents a net swing of two percentage points in Romney's favor since the last Inquirer survey, which found the president ahead 50 percent to 42 percent in the first week of October.

http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/poll/20121026_Poll__Obama_still_ahead__but_Romney_up.html

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Pennsylvania: (Obama+6) Obama 49%, Romney 43% (Philadelphia Inquirer) (Original Post) TroyD Oct 2012 OP
Repubs hoping for rain on Nov 6th modrepub Oct 2012 #1
Has Casey taken the race for granted? TroyD Oct 2012 #2
I think this tracks with the overall state of the race Cosmocat Oct 2012 #4
Casey has been running TV ads here. I only recently saw my first Smith ad. MgtPA Oct 2012 #5
From what I've heard TroyD Oct 2012 #6
Frankly, I have no idea. All I know about Smith is what I heard in the Casey ad - he's a tea bagger. MgtPA Oct 2012 #12
I'm not a big Casey fan modrepub Oct 2012 #13
All these North east states with no early voting bigdarryl Oct 2012 #3
Key numbers: ProSense Oct 2012 #7
Kerry numbers? TroyD Oct 2012 #8
Oops! Key. n/t ProSense Oct 2012 #10
Wolfie and the other good folks at CNN would call this a tie. nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #9
Yep CloneClinton Oct 2012 #11
That should be big enough to win even with GOP cheating. DCBob Oct 2012 #14
We need to keep our eyes on PA democrattotheend Oct 2012 #15
Put PA in the Dem column and leave it alone! ellisonz Oct 2012 #16

modrepub

(3,500 posts)
1. Repubs hoping for rain on Nov 6th
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:26 AM
Oct 2012

especially in SE PA and Pittsburgh. That's the only way this race will be close enough to possibly win. Lots of Smith ads on the radio as of late, nothing from Casey.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
2. Has Casey taken the race for granted?
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:28 AM
Oct 2012

He had a big lead earlier in the year, but was slow to fight back against Smith and seems to have declined lately.

Anyway, although the poll above says this is a decrease of 2 points for Obama since the last poll, it's actually a better PA poll for Obama compared to several other recent pollsters.

Cosmocat

(14,567 posts)
4. I think this tracks with the overall state of the race
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:35 AM
Oct 2012

BO simply is not at his high water mark he was at pre-first debate, but the Romney momentum has given way to a bit of President Obama momentum.

I think practically speaking, Romney failed to fully make his case.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
6. From what I've heard
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:50 AM
Oct 2012

Isn't Smith a billionaire who's been spending a huge amount of money like Linda McMahon in Connecticut?

MgtPA

(1,022 posts)
12. Frankly, I have no idea. All I know about Smith is what I heard in the Casey ad - he's a tea bagger.
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 10:13 AM
Oct 2012

modrepub

(3,500 posts)
13. I'm not a big Casey fan
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 11:03 AM
Oct 2012

He's been running from office to office and I really don't know what he's done other than being the son of a former (popular) governor. People have always said he wants to be the Gov of PA; we'll see about that in a couple of years.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
3. All these North east states with no early voting
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:31 AM
Oct 2012

I'm in NJ and this state has been controlled by the democrats for years and I have no idea why the States Legislators and State Senators don't propose early voting up here.

ProSense

(116,464 posts)
7. Key numbers:
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 09:21 AM
Oct 2012

Women: Obama 52, Romney 40
Men: Obama 46, Romney 47

Favorable/Unfavorable

Obama 55/43 (five county: 65/32)

Romney 46/50 (five county: 38/58)




DCBob

(24,689 posts)
14. That should be big enough to win even with GOP cheating.
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 11:18 AM
Oct 2012

funny PA tends to be called a swing state but in reality it seldom is.

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)
15. We need to keep our eyes on PA
Sat Oct 27, 2012, 11:40 AM
Oct 2012

I think Romney's late fundraising push is to enable him to make a late play for PA. Remember, nobody there has voted yet, and Southwest PA is as racist as Southeast OH. And the auto bailout is not as big a factor in PA as OH. And the Republican voter suppression efforts there were at least partially successful. I think PA could be the sleeper that ends up becoming competitive in the end, and we need to be prepared for it.

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