2016 Postmortem

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts) Sat Oct 27, 2012, 02:43 PM Oct 2012

Your Prediction for Today's 538 Numbers

Slow saturday afternoon, I need some mild entertainment. So tell me, where do you think the numbers will be after then 538 update this evening?

Current Numbers:

Electoral vote: Obama 295.4 and Romney 242.6

Odds of Winning: Obama 74.4% and Romney 25.6%

Popular Vote: Obama 50.3% and Romney 48.6%

My prediction:

Electoral Vote: Obama 297 and Romney 241

Odds of Winning: Obama 76% and Romney 24%

Popular Vote: Obama 50.5% and Romney 48.4%

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Your Prediction for Today's 538 Numbers (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2012 OP

static, or close to it krawhitham Oct 2012 #1

Post removed Post removed Oct 2012 #3

I thought the early numbers were good for POi LukeFL Oct 2012 #4

Post removed Post removed Oct 2012 #5

I agree that the margin will increase BootinUp Oct 2012 #2

krawhitham

(4,645 posts)

1. static, or close to it

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 27, 2012, 03:12 PM

Oct 2012

The polls so far today are just more of the same

Solid in Pennsylvania, Minnesota, New Jersey, California
Losing Missouri

Only outliner I see is North Carolina down by 6, we might be losing NC but not by 6 points (1-3 max)