2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTwo types of voters can account for the early exit poll discrepancy in NY.
First, absentee voters were not included in the exit polls. Absentee voters are usually older voters and older voters strongly preferred Hillary.
Second, the voters who voted on provisional ballots. Provisional votes would only be counted if the voter turned out to be a registered Democrat. Independents were being encouraged to vote with provisional ballots, in case an emergency lawsuit resulted in an opened primary; and up to 20% of those exit polled said they were Independents. Since the injunction wasn't granted, the votes of non-Democrats would not be counted.
So the absentee votes, which favored Hillary, were not included in the exit polls; but the votes of Independents, which favored Bernie, were.
The 126,000 purged voters were not concentrated in neighborhoods known to have high support for Bernie, but spread throughout the borough, so they're less likely to be a factor.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)The margin of error in an electronic voting machine is 0.
Wilms
(26,795 posts):yowzer:
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Paranoia. It will eat you up.
Wilms
(26,795 posts)You're made for one another.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)pnwmom
(108,980 posts)For example, when the ballots are run through the machine two ballots could stick together and one might not register.
I'm sure electronic machines have a margin of error, as well. The advantage of paper is that it can always be recounted by hand, if necessary.
LiberalFighter
(50,994 posts)How many early voted by mail or in person. How many vote on election day. Also how many voted provisionally and those that were denied. And the reasons.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)pnwmom
(108,980 posts)a group that strongly favored Hillary throughout the state -- so if the problems hurt anyone, it was probably Hillary.
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)In a primary election marked by confusion, inaccessibility, and blatant voter suppression, Tuesday nights fiasco in Maricopa County, Arizona marked a new low.
Thanks to a decision by county election officials to slash the number of polling places from 200 to 60, some voters waited up to five hours to cast a ballot. Some polling places ran out of ballots. Reports surfaced of voters giving up and leaving without voting, and even fainting after waiting for hours in the Arizona heat. Thousands of provisional ballots still havent been counted.
The Arizona Republic found that most counties in the state provided, on average, a polling place for every 2,500 eligible voters per polling site. In Maricopa County, which has a large Latino and Native American population, it was one site per every 21,000 voters.
After first laying blame on the countys voters for showing up in droves on election day, Maricopa County election administrator Helen Purcell took responsibility, arguing that her department had incorrectly assumed almost all residents would vote by mail and was trying to be cost-effective.
SNIP
Wilms
(26,795 posts)I misread and thought you had data on where the NY voters suffered purges. Would like to see that.
brooklynite
(94,635 posts)would have had no impact on the reported results.