2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum****Breaking Indiana Poll**** Clinton -54% Sanders 41%
The survey, commissioned by IPFWs Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics, found that while 93 percent of Clintons supporters said their preference for the former secretary of state is strong, only 75 percent of Sanders backers said the same thing about the Vermont senator.
The relative lack of strong support for Sanders, who typically draws large crowds to his campaign rallies, is a little bit surprising and opposite of what conventional wisdom would be, IPFW political scientist Michael Wolf said Wednesday.
Wolf said the most frequent answer to the question of why a respondent favors Sanders was not sure, and the next most common response was a negative opinion of Clinton. Clintons supporters most often cited her experience and qualifications.
Wolf and Downs Center director Andy Downs presented preliminary poll results at a panel discussion at the Honors Center in the Walter E. Helmke Library. They said the telephone survey of 400 likely voters, nearly all of them Democrats, was conducted April 18-23 and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.
http://www.journalgazette.net/news/local/local-politics/IPFW-poll--Hoosiers-like-Clinton-12787113
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)LiberalFighter
(50,928 posts)It stated it did mostly Democrats and Indiana is an open primary.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)MadBadger
(24,089 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)LiberalFighter
(50,928 posts)Has elected Democratic Senators, Governors, Secretary of States, Superintendent of Public Instruction, Attorney General in the last 30 years.
There is one Democratic Senator and a Superintendent of Public Instruction right now.
The reason why Indiana appears so conservative is because the Republicans rigged the election districts to favor them.
Indiana went for Obama in 2008.
still_one
(92,190 posts)Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)but I see two things happening:
1) Bernie's support will begin to wane, now that he's signaling that he can't actually win.
2) Even a close win won't get him good press. It will be (rightly) spun as him falling even further behind when he doesn't get 65% of the delegates.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)And he needs to convince a majority of unpledged delegates to switch.
Won't happen
DCBob
(24,689 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)state. We'll see who wins.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Indianapolis has a high black population and the Democratic electorate will almost certainly be mostly black there.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)okasha
(11,573 posts)in this poll is that so many Sanders supporters don't know why they're supporting him.
And I think I'll leave it right there, without further comment.