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moriah

(8,311 posts)
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:40 AM May 2016

An honest criticism of Paul Thompson's email scandal thesis.

First, I do admire efforts to vet our candidates. I am glad that someone decided to attempt to analyze this to make sure it really wasn't as big of a deal as the GOP wants it to be (because we all know they won't be satisfied until she's burned at the stake).

1) The statement she made under oath very carefully avoided any charge of perjury. Hillary was always a much better lawyer than Bill.

"I have directed that all my emails on clintonemail.com in my custody that were or potentially were federal records be provided to the Department of State, and on information and belief, this has been done."


2) Being in IT, my biggest concerns over this issue, from the beginning, was why it was ever allowed at all, how it was approved, and if there is any evidence Hillary used undue pressure against State Department IT personnel. Because, see, as was pointed out, using private servers was nothing new, and if regulations had not yet been passed forbidding them, it's entirely possible that she simply asked, IT *STUPIDLY* signed off on it without question, and then it was already there. If so, then the breaches of security are at least as much IT's fault as anyone else's. I would rather hear the truth from any involved under immunity, even if they were *STUPID*, so the fact a tech involed is testifying under immunity doesn't disturb me. I would love to hear what he has to say.

Jumping to conclusions that the request was made nefariously, however, is premature. And undoubtedly while traveling, which the Secretary did a lot of, her BlackBerry was crucial. Since emails on OpenNet, the only kind Hillary could access at all via her BlackBerry, were not supposed to ever contain classified information, yet apparently enough has been found retroactively classified from multiple sources, not just Clinton aides, that suggest either a wide problem with discussion of classified information over OpenNet itself, a breach of the current policies itself, or that many documents have been retroactively classified unnecessary.

3) As an IT person, the difference between a format of a server and a dedicated "wipe" (obvious attempts to sanitize a server) and the ease at which the FBI has been able to retrieve all emails suggests any "wipe" done by Clinton was probably the type designed to simply make the data inaccessible to anyone who attempted to boot the matchine.

One is much less suggestive of malfeasance than the other, even if the best solution had been to *not have the farking server in the first place*.

4) The reason I have to come down on IT is that it's IT's duty to enforce security rules on every luser, even the boss. Many times I've been in the unhappy position, as a contractor so no job security, dealing with district managers for a Fortune 10 retailer in my state, of saying that a certain request couldn't be done because it was an IT security violation, even if it had been that way for years. Usually it was something that had involved sharing his password with his secretary for certain uses/applications, and only discovered when the upgrade I was doing made it clear passwords were being shared.

I carefully explained that the rules didn't permit sharing of passwords, but I was sure there was a way to accommodate their needs within security rules, and tried to work with them. I only got pushback once, at which time I said, "Sir, if you'll pardon me, I need to call my supervisor for guidance on this. Thanks!" Stepped out, called the project leader who was an actual employee of said retailer, explained the situation. He said to go ahead and move on to the next person, and that he would take care of it, for me to come back after about an hour.

I was profusely apologized to, and we found an alternative. Later my boss told me that I had absolutely done the right thing, and that if I hadn't it would have been my job, not the usrrs.... not because they were permanent employees, but knowing the details of IT security wasn't their job -- it was mine.

My boss had my back, and IT security trumps even supervisors, even Secretaries of State. Wherever that chain broke, I want to know. And then hear ther testimony with immunity granted from the start so no undue pressure not to simply tell the truth.

I want to hear from the techs, most of whom probably were left over from the Bush Administration. So may have been rules.

5) Sid Blumenthal's "intelligence" has been described to be very shoddy and questionable. Still, it was the Republicans who refused to let us hear his deposition. Why?

This has all been, admittedly, become a talking point as a direct result of a vendetta against Hillary.

Vetting is good, and yes, the FBI knows it all.

But I, personally, want to wait (kneeling on broken glass as I do praying that if anything substantial had been found earlier that a Democratic-run Administration would have not let the Primary process continue, so hoping there is nothing and revealing that is the October Surprise this year) until they make official statements.
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An honest criticism of Paul Thompson's email scandal thesis. (Original Post) moriah May 2016 OP
so you are placing your trust in Obama.. grasswire May 2016 #1
I want to understand too. Can I wait here with you ? agracie May 2016 #2
:-) nt grasswire May 2016 #23
I'm saying, they would have already indicted if they knew.... moriah May 2016 #3
The FBI hasn't finished their investigation yet, and only the AG can indict riderinthestorm May 2016 #6
I have a lot of criticisms TM99 May 2016 #18
totally agree on all these points you make here... 2banon May 2016 #20
Carter and Obama are good men TM99 May 2016 #22
Look at her disrespect of him!! grasswire May 2016 #24
She will never be forgiven for disprecting Obama and putting his legacy at risk. 2banon May 2016 #35
and yet she has the chutzpah to holler this: grasswire May 2016 #37
Incredibly true! TM99 May 2016 #45
I don't have expectations she will be held to account vis a vis indictments etc 2banon May 2016 #34
"I cannot for the life of me figure out why the party establishment didn't insist she stand down" hootinholler May 2016 #38
Yeah.. good point 2banon May 2016 #40
With the current FBI head TM99 May 2016 #46
from your lips to someones ears. 2banon May 2016 #49
Sometimes all I feel I have left TM99 May 2016 #50
I'm with you! Count me in on this long hard fought struggle 2banon May 2016 #51
My first election was 1988. TM99 May 2016 #52
Yes. And all the non-partisan, non-book selling legal analysts who have explained pnwmom May 2016 #15
I wasn't asking you. The question was for the author. nt grasswire May 2016 #25
Question - ebayfool May 2016 #4
The recently discussed article, by Paul Thompson... moriah May 2016 #5
Your link doesn't indicate that Bushco set up their own private server riderinthestorm May 2016 #7
BushCo. ran a lot of emails through the Republican party server. pnwmom May 2016 #17
Thank you for your memory. :) moriah May 2016 #19
In the case of the Bush server scandal TM99 May 2016 #8
Again... if this was so unprecedented, you surely understand why my first concern... moriah May 2016 #13
She does not need special knowledge TM99 May 2016 #16
HRC's agreement with Obama allowed her unusual ability to bring in many people karynnj May 2016 #39
yes, SD business was conducted on the server... grasswire May 2016 #26
And that alone is a violation to the agreement Hillary signed nt NWCorona May 2016 #36
All three are incredibly damning TM99 May 2016 #42
I see nothing of that. Even did a word search. Can you do a copy-paste? ebayfool May 2016 #10
Here is what I was referring to: moriah May 2016 #14
TY, I see it now. But that's apples to oranges. ebayfool May 2016 #21
That is true paulthompson May 2016 #29
Let's not forget that TM99 May 2016 #9
Yup. He was HER go-to-IT-guy! ebayfool May 2016 #11
Exactly! TM99 May 2016 #12
Well, it is not necessary to prove intent in mishandling classified documents. grasswire May 2016 #27
Yes, absolutely correct here TM99 May 2016 #41
Some on the right... grasswire May 2016 #53
Nah, more likely she was TM99 May 2016 #55
Thanks paulthompson May 2016 #28
One really wonders why they gave him immunity Bob41213 May 2016 #43
"IT security trumps even supervisors, even Secretaries of State. " ucrdem May 2016 #30
reply paulthompson May 2016 #31
Interfering in election seems a fine reason for Barack to ask for his resignation. ucrdem May 2016 #32
He? paulthompson May 2016 #44
He'll do as much as thinks he can get away with. He's already done plenty. ucrdem May 2016 #47
Comey paulthompson May 2016 #48
OpenSecrets.Org: "Comey's Conservative Chops" ucrdem May 2016 #54
GOOGLE Frank Giustra... Octafish May 2016 #33

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
1. so you are placing your trust in Obama..
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:49 AM
May 2016

...but you don't explain exactly how he or his administration could have stopped this primary process from continuing. What do you have in mind there? I'm following you, wanting to understand more.

moriah

(8,311 posts)
3. I'm saying, they would have already indicted if they knew....
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:53 AM
May 2016

.. and let Bernie be the Nominee.

Or, at least, I want to believe that

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
6. The FBI hasn't finished their investigation yet, and only the AG can indict
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:09 AM
May 2016

FBI chief Comey is a Republican.



I'm deeply suspicious of the timing here while acknowledging Hillary dragged this out by not producing her emails for almost 2 years in defiance of the FOIA requests.

Sucks.

Thanks for looking at Paul's timeline. Its a masterpiece.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
18. I have a lot of criticisms
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:37 AM
May 2016

of Obama given his neoliberalism and being a New Dem who used a lot of shall we say loose campaign rhetoric that progressives desperately wanted to hear, but he is a solid and ethical man.

He will not jeopardize that honor by intervening in an investigation even if the outcome is bad for the Party. He may not have wanted an investigation but once it got under way, that became a different matter all together.

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
20. totally agree on all these points you make here...
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:49 AM
May 2016

like minds.. I do believe Obama to be solid, ethical and clean. One of the few I can remember in my lifetime, with the exception of Carter, I believe he too was of equal character.

I really, really hope and pray she doesn't fling this shite on him.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
22. Carter and Obama are good men
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:57 AM
May 2016

even if they are conservative and centrists Democrats, so I truly hope she doesn't fling this shit at Obama either!

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
24. Look at her disrespect of him!!
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:17 AM
May 2016

It is so callous and cynical. She thought so little of him, or so highly of herself, that she ran a rogue foreign policy right under his nose, out of sight. She used Blumenthal, who had explicitly been banned from advising her by Obama because Blumenthal had savaged Obama during the 2008 primary.

AND......drum roll..........she has risked Obama's reputation and legacy.

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
35. She will never be forgiven for disprecting Obama and putting his legacy at risk.
Tue May 3, 2016, 11:30 AM
May 2016

So many unforgivable actions she's taken, if this happens...



grasswire

(50,130 posts)
37. and yet she has the chutzpah to holler this:
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:33 PM
May 2016

"We can't let President Obama's legacy end up in Donald Trump's hands"!!!!

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
45. Incredibly true!
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:57 PM
May 2016

She is a narcissist. She only gives a shit about her and those she considers to be objects of convenience as long as you are useful. After that, to fuck with you, I am doing what I want.

Yes, she has. I just hope Obama remains the honorable man and does nothing to screw with this just to protect now his reputation and legacy.

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
34. I don't have expectations she will be held to account vis a vis indictments etc
Tue May 3, 2016, 11:20 AM
May 2016

However what I do expect is a shitstorm scandal if Trumps (or other republican front group) opposition research comes into play and works her campaign over making Kerry's swiftboating, Fast and Furious, and Benghazi look like child's play.

It's soooo predictable, I cannot for the life of me figure out why the party establishment didn't insist she stand down on this run. Despite promises to support her (back in 2008) this should have immediately given them cause to make a different decision.

And oh, the selection of DWS as chair was insanely stupid.

Very easy to draw conclusions.

But as some would like to say, don't conclude conspiracy when stupidity is more likely the source of the problem.





hootinholler

(26,449 posts)
38. "I cannot for the life of me figure out why the party establishment didn't insist she stand down"
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:51 PM
May 2016

That one's easy, she *is* the party establishment viewed by many as the rain maker.

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
40. Yeah.. good point
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:07 PM
May 2016

It's just a little over a month to go when all Bernie Supporters will be banned from DU.

They can't say they haven't been forewarned. We have done everything to inform them of the very predictable outcome of the general election with HRC as their nom. We'll all lose, but it won't be because we didn't give it a damn good effort to avoid that loss.

.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
46. With the current FBI head
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:58 PM
May 2016

I have some faith that there will be a proper comeuppance for her actions. But I won't hold my breath either.

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
49. from your lips to someones ears.
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:47 PM
May 2016

I think after Fitzmas, my faith withered pretty quickly.

We're all painfully aware that Justice in Amurika has been woefully absent with regard to race and class, that way for centuries.

In our lifetimes we rarely see Justice served when it comes to the TPTB.

But... for a glimmer of hope, may it be so..

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
50. Sometimes all I feel I have left
Tue May 3, 2016, 09:05 PM
May 2016

is that tiny glimmer of hope.

Nothing is constant, everything changes, and this neoliberalism will soon pass as well. I truly hope it is in my lifetime, but I will work hard so that whenever it is, it does occur!

 

2banon

(7,321 posts)
51. I'm with you! Count me in on this long hard fought struggle
Tue May 3, 2016, 09:09 PM
May 2016

It's been a long one, since 1968 for me.

But I'm still strong, and still fighting!

In solidarity, yes. La Lucha!

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
52. My first election was 1988.
Tue May 3, 2016, 09:24 PM
May 2016

I worked and voted for Jesse Jackson. When he was defeated, I couldn't join the Democratic Party. I saw the rise of Clintonism, and I knew where it was headed. And it was away from the Rainbow Coalition New Deal/Great Society to a twisted corporate loving neoliberalism with faux progressive rhetoric. With Hillary we can now add a horrid neocon foreign policy cred.

Lucha a muerte, my friend!

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
15. Yes. And all the non-partisan, non-book selling legal analysts who have explained
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:32 AM
May 2016

at length why it is extremely unlikely that she did anything that will be prosecuted.

ebayfool

(3,411 posts)
4. Question -
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:02 AM
May 2016

"Because, see, as was pointed out, using private servers was nothing new ..."

Do you have a link for that? Because that's not what I've been seeing. Powell and Rice were found to have (Powell) a very few emails on private accounts (think Hotmail . But not private-in-your-house-servers. I've been off the net a lot this week, so if I've missed some new revelations I like to see them.

"... State Department IT personnel."

Not just any personnel. He was her IT guy from her 2008 campaign. Clinton brought him to State Dept. He wasn't just some schmuck that wasn't paying attention. I'd venture he probably followed orders. From her. YMMV.

https://www.gwu.edu/~action/2008/clinton/clintonorg.html

Director of IT Bryan Pagliano
Prior to joining the Clinton team, Pagliano was infrastructure team lead at Community IT Innovators for over seven years through to Aug. 2006. University of Maryland - Robert H. Smith School of Business, 2007. B.A. in political science from Emory University, 1998.

moriah

(8,311 posts)
5. The recently discussed article, by Paul Thompson...
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:06 AM
May 2016
http://thompsontimeline.com/IS_CLINTON%27S_EMAIL_SCANDAL_FOR_REAL%3F

Points out that the Bush administration used private servers, as did some governors, etc, that made FOIA compliance questionable. And those were all true statements. Sarah Palin used Yahoo, I think, befitting her yahoo status if memory serves.

This was a talking point used against those officials in 2008.
 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
7. Your link doesn't indicate that Bushco set up their own private server
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:13 AM
May 2016

I might have missed it. Its late and I'm tired. Can you highlight that?

Sarah Palin using Yahoo isn't analagous fyi.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
8. In the case of the Bush server scandal
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:14 AM
May 2016

it was not setup or used by governmental officials, only aides. Now that doesn't make it right, but it is different.

A comparable thing would be as if Huma Abedin had worked with the DNC to setup a private server for communication among the various aides and support staff at the SD.

What happened here has never happened before. Clinton hired her own IT guy to setup an insecure server on her private property through which she conducted affairs of state with not only aides but also foreigners and other government officials.

moriah

(8,311 posts)
13. Again... if this was so unprecedented, you surely understand why my first concern...
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:27 AM
May 2016

.. regarding her leadership ability is abuse of power in getting the server in the first place, rather thsn a 67-year-old woman's IT knowledge of all the various ways of attack.

If Bryan Pagliano was the only person who signed off on the server besides Clinton, I have a hard time believing at least someone didn't question it.

Still, I look forward to everything he has to say being made public.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
16. She does not need special knowledge
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:34 AM
May 2016

to know that a private server helps her thwart FOIA and classified documents protocol.

He was her server admin. It doesn't mean that others were not aware of what he was doing.

I don't know about you but I have worked in large enough bureaucratic structures including both military and civilian that I know that communication and awareness of what other divisions or departments are doing can be grossly negligent and even non-existent. Peter literally doesn't always know what Paul is doing.

Look at cases like Arthur Anderson and Enron and Tailhook for pertinent examples.

karynnj

(59,504 posts)
39. HRC's agreement with Obama allowed her unusual ability to bring in many people
Tue May 3, 2016, 12:51 PM
May 2016

alligned with her to run the State Department. It may well be that anyone who was a career professional in IT might have had reported to a Clinton person who reported to Cheryl Mills. If that is the case, a person troubled by this would quickly see that talking to his boss or his boss' boss will do nothing if this is what Clinton wanted.

You would have needed a whistle blower and, until this all blew up two years after she was out of office taking all her emails with her, does this really seem like something to go to the media or the WH with?

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
26. yes, SD business was conducted on the server...
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:21 AM
May 2016

...and it ended up in the care of a server farm with no security clearance, no security at the facility, and then ended up on a cloud that was not secured nor maintained by workers with security clearance.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
42. All three are incredibly damning
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:22 PM
May 2016

pieces of evidence and it does surprise me that so many bury their heads in the sand about this.

ebayfool

(3,411 posts)
10. I see nothing of that. Even did a word search. Can you do a copy-paste?
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:19 AM
May 2016

Palin isn't pertinent to the conversation. That nincompoop never made it close to Washington, thank gawd!

moriah

(8,311 posts)
14. Here is what I was referring to:
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:30 AM
May 2016
Furthermore, Clinton already had an example to follow. In 2007 and 2008, Democrats wanted to investigate Karl Rove and other Republican officials to see if those officials had illegally put political pressure on certain US attorneys. It was hoped that emails would be the key evidence, but Rove and the others had stored all their emails on a private server, and millions of emails were deleted before investigators could find them. There was much talk for a while that Rove might get indicted, but that was not possible since there were no emails to look at. It seems likely to me that Clinton’s purpose in setting up her private server in 2008, when Rove’s investigation was in the news, was to keep her emails forever out of reach, just as Rove's were.

Thus, I believe that the evidence we know of so far is only the tip of the iceberg. There may be many thousands of deleted work-related Clinton emails still to be revealed.

ebayfool

(3,411 posts)
21. TY, I see it now. But that's apples to oranges.
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:55 AM
May 2016

See TM99 post #8

In the case of the Bush server scandal

it was not setup or used by governmental officials, only aides. Now that doesn't make it right, but it is different.

A comparable thing would be as if Huma Abedin had worked with the DNC to setup a private server for communication among the various aides and support staff at the SD.

What happened here has never happened before. Clinton hired her own IT guy to setup an insecure server on her private property through which she conducted affairs of state with not only aides but also foreigners and other government officials.
----------------------------------

She was head of State, not an aide. She had been offered a secure comp setup in her office. She turned it down. She demanded a Blackberry- type setup like the Prez had, and was told 'no'. So why on earth would she take that step of having HER IT guy setup a server in her home? Avarice? Ego? Narcissism? See, this is the very essence of the problem a lot of us have with it. In her friggin' home. I'm not the smartest chica in the world and even I know that's the stupidest thing in the world! None, NONE!, of the possible reasons she could have done this for are acceptable in anyone expecting to hold the highest office in the land.

Ya can't say she's the smartest best candidate running, and then lay her poor choices off on the underling. The underling she toted from her campaign to State. If she isn't smart enough to handle SoS, then why the hell should she get a shot at CiC?

paulthompson

(2,398 posts)
29. That is true
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:36 AM
May 2016

Here's a couple of timeline entries about that:

March 2007 - 2008: The Bush Administration gets embroiled in a private email scandal. A Congressional oversight committee investigates allegations that the White House fired US attorneys for political reasons. The committee asks Bush officials to turn over relevant emails, only to find that government work had been conducted on private email addresses. Millions of emails are deleted and permanently lost, preventing the committee from continuing their investigation. Bush officials use email accounts associated with a private gwb43.com server owned and controlled by the Republican National Committee, which is a private political entity not covered by government oversight laws. (The Washington Post, 3/27/2007) (Vox, 3/2/2015) In 2015, shortly after Clinton's use of a private email address will be revealed, Vox will comment, "That [Bush administration email] scandal unfolded well into the final year of Bush's presidency, then overlapped with another email secrecy scandal, over official emails that got improperly logged and then deleted, which itself dragged well into Obama's first year in office. There is simply no way that, when Clinton decided to use her personal email address as secretary of state, she was unaware of the national scandal that Bush officials had created by doing the same." Vox will also note, "Perhaps even more stunning is that the Obama White House, whose top officials were presumably exchanging frequent emails with Clinton, apparently did not insist she adopt an official email account." (Vox, 3/2/2015)


June 20, 2007: Clinton publicly criticizes the Bush administration's use of non-governmental email accounts: While campaigning for president, Clinton says, "Our Constitution is being shredded. We know about the secret wiretaps. We know about secret military tribunals, the secret White House email accounts. ... It's a stunning record of secrecy and corruption, of cronyism run amok." (ABC News, 3/6/2015) (The Hill, 3/5/2015) This is a reference to a scandal that became public earlier in the month, where it was found that White House adviser Karl Rove and other officials had used private email accounts and then deleted all their emails before investigators could get them. (Vox, 3/2/2015)

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
9. Let's not forget that
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:15 AM
May 2016

the SD IT staff has confirmed that they had no idea that Pagliano was running an illicit off-site server. They saw he was on staff but he never reported to them and were not paid by him. She was his boss not them.

ebayfool

(3,411 posts)
11. Yup. He was HER go-to-IT-guy!
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:21 AM
May 2016

She bought him, she brought him, she owns him and anything he built for her.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
12. Exactly!
Tue May 3, 2016, 01:24 AM
May 2016

And this alone promotes a theory of definite intent to subvert FOIA and to get around classified documents protocols in order to allow Blumenthal access that he was denied by Obama.

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
27. Well, it is not necessary to prove intent in mishandling classified documents.
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:23 AM
May 2016

Accidental mishandling or unintentional mishandling are equal crimes to intent.

 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
41. Yes, absolutely correct here
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:21 PM
May 2016

when it comes to classified documents. If it borders into intent, then we may be looking at something like treason, which would be the willful mishandling of classified documents as opposed to accidental or unintentional.

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
53. Some on the right...
Tue May 3, 2016, 10:21 PM
May 2016

....(and I don't think this is likely myself; just reporting what some thing) believe that Hillary was selling secrets to foreign entities by doing government business over unsecured transmission.

paulthompson

(2,398 posts)
28. Thanks
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:28 AM
May 2016

Moriah, thanks for showing a sincere effort to understand all this.

I want to point out though that I don't really have a "thesis." I'm not a legal expert by any means, and the legality of all this is gets into some complicated areas. An important thing to remember is that we, the public, don't fully know what's going on yet. The chances are good that the most damning evidence, if it exists, has not been made public, and may never be made public. For instance, what's in those 22 top secret emails? It could be that the public truly won't know for decades, because if they're really that vital and secret, then they still shouldn't be made public. If there ever was a trial, I imagine a lot of it would have to be held behind closed doors, to keep secrets secret.

I honestly don't know if the FBI will recommend her indictment or not. Frankly, a lot of it depends on the people making the decisions, especially FBI Director Comey. One reason I put all the info in the timeline is so that actual legal experts could look it over and weigh in with their opinions.

But even they won't know. We all can only guess, based on some small percentage of the evidence the FBI has. Sometimes, even "slam dunk" legal cases are never pursued. For instance, if you look at who else has been prosecuted for revealing classified information, it has been quite arbitrary. It seems to me that unwanted whistleblowers have been prosecuted harshly while those who leaked information favorable to the government didn't get prosecuted at all.

However, I do know that what I've seen so far sure looks like some combination of incompetence or illegality to me. (Or perhaps "gross negligence" which is incompetence so severe that it merits punishment.) Others may disagree. Everyone is entitled to their opinion. But I hope people carefully check out all the available evidence before making sweeping statements like this scandal is nothing to worry about at all.

Since your main interest is in the IT aspect, let's look at that. A lot of the facts simply are not known yet. Clinton has not explained some very basic aspects about her server set-up, which is quite suspcious in and of itself. The Hill recently had an article called "Seven Lingering Questions in the Clinton Email Investigation." I could add a lot more than seven! But here's what they say about one of them:

Was the server secure?

Clinton’s camp has refused to outline precisely which digital protections she used to safeguard the information on her private server. Independent cybersecurity analysts have concluded that the server went at least two months without using standard encryption protections that make data inaccessible to hackers.

Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates in January said “the odds are pretty high” that foreign spies in China, Russia or Iran would have gotten access to Clinton’s data. Adm. Michael Rogers, the head of the National Security Agency and the U.S. Cyber Command, testified before Congress that, for foreign intelligence agencies, the server “would represent opportunity.”


http://thehill.com/policy/national-security/275111-seven-lingering-questions-in-clinton-email-investigation

Despite all the lingering mysteries, I feel strongly that something fishy was going on with her sever. It's complicated, and this post is too long already, but here's one thing to consider. We know that Bryan Pagliano, the guy who set up the server and ran it, lied when he joined the State Department in May 2009. He was asked on a government form if he had any paid outside jobs, and he said no, but in fact he was still getting paid to run Clinton's server. He had to fill that form out once a year, and he kept lying on it every year about his job managing Clinton's server. I believe that's why he agreed to an immunity deal, because he was caught red-handed lying on that form, and the punishment for that is up to five years in prison.

Why did he lie like that?! That was a big risk to take. Could it be that Clinton told him to lie, due to her desire to keep her use of the private server as secret as possible? We don't know. But it has been reported that Pagliano has made a "devastating witness."

The whole thing is very murky, especially because so much of this involves classified information that's still classified. But common sense tells me there's more trouble coming, based on both what we know so far and the chances that more information will come out. For instance, if everything was kosher about her server set-up and management, Clinton certainly would have trumpeted that in her lengthy FAQ she put out on the scandal, but she didn't.

The fact that basic questions haven't been answered suggests to me the answers don't make her look good, or even could put her in legal jeopardy. For instance, when were her 31,000 emails deleted, exactly? Was it before or after the State Department asked for all her work emails? Nobody has ever said. And was the data on the server wiped or just deleted? There are conflicting reports, and Clinton dodged answering by making a joke about wiping the server with a cloth. I could point out other important questions like that that have been dodged by Clinton or her lawyer. If someone is a Clinton supporter and isn't bothered by that, I don't know what to say.

I could go on, but that may give you a taste of some of the issues at hand.

Bob41213

(491 posts)
43. One really wonders why they gave him immunity
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:24 PM
May 2016

I mean, the comments about a "devastating witness" sound a bit over the top and I don't really take them for much...

But why give him immunity? You've got him for 5 years on the violations. I wouldn't think it really pays to lie on the form so it seems odd.

The whole wiping thing was pretty amateur it seems. It doesn't take a genius to figure out how to keep the info a whole lot safer than it was. I mean, start by encrypting the disk with some real encryption software. The Feds would have a whole lot tougher time getting in (and by tougher I mean impossible if done well). Would make wiping a whole lot better.

Honestly I think this whole thing blew up in their face. I think she started out thinking she was dealing with a Benghazi committee which she could get rid of backups and then tell them oops, they're gone and that the committee should go f*** themselves. Then someone noticed the classified and the FBI got involved, and she couldn't really tell them to go f*** themselves, and they know how to recover information. And they recovered information.

Really, if the FBI hadn't been involved, this would have been the same old same old. She would have had her private server. She would have decided what to turn over. She would have turned it over. Republicans would have griped that they wanted more and she should give them everything. She would have said no. It would have been a headline for a week and forgotten by all except the hardcore few.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
30. "IT security trumps even supervisors, even Secretaries of State. "
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:56 AM
May 2016

Possibly but the president trumps IT and the FBI. This is where the whole indictment fantasy breaks down. For example in the experience you described the president of the company could have had any one of the players fired or not fired. The authority of the SOS derives from the US president and the NSA and the rest of the intel apparatus serve at the pleasure of the president who is also commander-in-chief. So matters of security that aren't governed by statute, i.e. aren't treasonous or felonious, would ultimately require his authorization for prosecution. And since the Justice Department is an executive function he could also pull the plug on the investigation if he chose to. Of course he could also be impeached forthwith, so he won't, but he does have that authority.

Which is to say that despite his having appointed Inspector Javert -- and keep in mind that getting appointments through Congress is a challenge for him -- it's PBO's call as to what happens to whom on this. That's why there isn't going to be an indictment and also why I can just about guarantee that Javert will be out of a job next January.

paulthompson

(2,398 posts)
31. reply
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:49 AM
May 2016

I agree that you're right, it's highly unlikely Clinton will ever be put on trial, no matter what the evidence is. At some point, politics comes into it, and Obama's comments have shown how he feels.

That said, the key to me is if the FBI recommends an indictment of Clinton or not. If a recommendation were to happen, that would be very damaging to her campaign at the very least. And depending on the charges and evidence presented, that could put the Justice Department in a difficult situation. If Loretta Lynch goes ahead with an indictment, obviously that would be bad for Clinton. But if the FBI recommends an indictment and Lynch decides not to indict, that will be a big controversy in and of itself that the Republicans would definitely pounce on. Lynch might also appoint a special prosecutor to decide or otherwise kick the can down the road after the election, but that wouldn't be good for Clinton either.

So yeah, Obama has the power to weigh in. But only after the FBI makes its decision to recommend an indictment or not. In terms of this election, again, I believe the pivotal question is what the FBI decides to do or not.

And frankly, let's be honest, there are all kinds of potential conflicts of interest here that could affect matters. It's very possible that if Clinton is elected president, she could decide to keep Lynch as the attorney general, so that gives Lynch a strong motive not to indict. But it's also very possible that Comey's job could be hanging in the balance too. Perhaps if a Republican becomes president he stays as FBI director, and he doesn't if Clinton wins. So that gives him a strong motive to recommend an indictment.

I know FBI directors are given 10-year terms in order to try to insulate them from political pressure, so in theory Comey's term is supposed to last until 2023. But it could be that a President Clinton could fire him if she doesn't like him. Or he might be protected like judges are. I'm not sure what the rule is.

It would be nice if this was strictly a non-political case judged solely on its legal merits, but that's not very realistic, given the stakes.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
32. Interfering in election seems a fine reason for Barack to ask for his resignation.
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:32 AM
May 2016

A lot depends on November of course but a strong win and he's out. The only thing that would save him now would be finding evidence of a quid pro quo in Hillary's correspondence and you can bet that's what he's furiously looking for. But otherwise he has nothing and if he pulls anything he'll lose his public reputation as well as his job. And even if he claims he's found a big fat bribe I don't think it will go anywhere and I don't think Hillary should or will withdraw. Seriously, do you?

paulthompson

(2,398 posts)
44. He?
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:50 PM
May 2016

By "he," I take it you mean Comey?

I think it would be great if both Comey and Lynch pledge to resign after their decisions on this, so there could be no possiblity of them making decisions to further or extend their careers. But fat chance of that happening.

A quid pro quo is just one thing that could come out of this. It's a matter of how much of a stickler Comey wants to be. I have no doubt there are illegal things that have been done that he could charge her for re: the classification of emails. But in other cases, people have been willing to let a certain amount of mishandling of classification info slide. The simple fact is that some areas of the law are strictly enforced and others are not. For instance, people abuse the rules about religious nonprofits and hardly anyone ever gets punished, because the government doesn't want to be seen as prosecuting religion.

I believe he also would have a slam dunk convincting her for obstruction of justice and destruction of evidence, since we already know of three instances where more of her work emails came out that she didn't turn over, and media reports indicate there's more of that coming. Bloomberg News reported the FBI has recovered Clinton's 31,000 deleted emails and were sorting them into work and non-work, which suggests a lot of work ones got deleted. But again, sometimes people get prosecuted on that, and sometimes they don't.

Prosecutors have a lot of leeway over what they decide to do. It's been noted that in previous cases Comey has been a real stickler. For instance, he prosecuted one financial fraud case based on one line in one email. The truth is, nobody knows what he's going to do.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
47. He'll do as much as thinks he can get away with. He's already done plenty.
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:43 PM
May 2016

He's a partisan on a witch hunt and his agency is not supposed to interfere in elections but historically of course they do. The criminality of his interference is a question for lawyers but certainly his violation of whatever "protect and serve" he swore to is grounds for dismissal. I don't think he's Obama's friend but Barack is meticulous in these matters and would never engage in a public food fight especially in such a dangerous one. But theres a precedent and I don't doubt that he'll pull the plug if Hillary asks him to, and I think she will.

paulthompson

(2,398 posts)
48. Comey
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:56 PM
May 2016

I think you're jumping the gun on calling Comey "a partisan on a witch hunt" when he hasn't announced anything yet. But if that's the approach you're going to take, I think that'll be a hard sell. Remember that Obama appointed him after he'd been out of government for about eight years. And he's been praised by both Democrats and Republicans for having great integrity and impartiality. Here's the timeline entry on that:

June 21, 2013: President Obama nominates James Comey to be the next director of the FBI; Comey starts a ten-year term. While announcing the nomination, Obama comments, "To know Jim Comey is also to know his fierce independence and his deep integrity. ... He doesn't care about politics, he only cares about getting the job done. At key moments, when it's mattered most, he stood up for what he believed was right. He was prepared to give up a job he loved rather than be part of something he felt was fundamentally wrong." Comey had been the deputy attorney general during the Bush administration. Obama's comment about giving up a job is reference to a 2004 incident where Comey (and others) threatened to resign unless President Bush canceled a surveillance program before its legal authorization expired. Bush gave in and canceled the program. (The White House, 6/21/2013) Comey is approved by the Senate later in June and starts his ten-year term as FBI director on September 4, 2013. (Federal Bureau of Investigation, 9/4/2013) Comey will later be in charge of the FBI when it investigates Clinton's email scandal.


I cut that short. Obama went on and on praising Comey and his integrity and independence from political considerations.

I agree that Comey <could> let partisan politics sway him. That's basic human nature, to have biases. But he has a sterling reputation of being independent and impartial, so that would be hard to prove. If Comey does recommend Clinton's indictment (still an unknown at this point), the whole country might end up debating his motives and background.

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
54. OpenSecrets.Org: "Comey's Conservative Chops"
Tue May 3, 2016, 10:23 PM
May 2016
by David Steinbach on May 31, 2013

But Comey is even more thoroughly a Republican than many observers — even those steeped in the partisan ways of the nation’s capital — may realize.

{snip}

In fact, the apparent nominee-to-be has contributed to Obama’s opponents in each of the past two elections. In August 2008, Comey sent $2,300 to the GOP presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain (Ariz.). A few years later, Comey did his part to try to prevent Obama’s re-election, maxing out to Republican Mitt Romney with $5,000 in donations. Comey also gave $2,500 during that cycle to Susan Brooks (Ind.), a Republican with whom Comey had worked at DOJ. Brooks went on to win a House seat.

Comey spearheaded the litigation efforts of Connecticut-based Bridgewater Associates as general counsel from 2010 to early 2013. Bridgewater employees contributed a total of $177,551 in the 2012 election cycle to various candidates and committees — 81 percent of which went to Republican causes.

As senior vice president and general counsel at Lockheed Martin from 2005-2010, Comey was a top executive at one of CRP’s Heavy Hitters — one of the biggest contributors to federal elections. In 2012 alone, the organization devoted more than $15 million to lobbying efforts.


http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2013/05/fbi-director-nominee-comeys-conserv/

I remember the nomination. I also remember his testimony before a December 9 Senate Judiciary hearing on the San Bernardino shootings and he is every inch a partisan:

http://www.c-span.org/video/?401606-1/fbi-director-james-comey-oversight-hearing-testimony

Octafish

(55,745 posts)
33. GOOGLE Frank Giustra...
Tue May 3, 2016, 09:48 AM
May 2016

From his association with a former president, Frank got a great deal in Kazakhstan:

After Mining Deal, Financier Donated to Clinton

By JO BECKER and DON VAN NATTA Jr.
The New York Times, JAN. 31, 2008

EXCERPT...

Upon landing on the first stop of a three-country philanthropic tour, the two men were whisked off to share a sumptuous midnight banquet with Kazakhstan’s president, Nursultan A. Nazarbayev, whose 19-year stranglehold on the country has all but quashed political dissent.

Mr. Nazarbayev walked away from the table with a propaganda coup, after Mr. Clinton expressed enthusiastic support for the Kazakh leader’s bid to head an international organization that monitors elections and supports democracy. Mr. Clinton’s public declaration undercut both American foreign policy and sharp criticism of Kazakhstan’s poor human rights record by, among others, Mr. Clinton’s wife, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York.

Within two days, corporate records show that Mr. Giustra also came up a winner when his company signed preliminary agreements giving it the right to buy into three uranium projects controlled by Kazakhstan’s state-owned uranium agency, Kazatomprom.

The monster deal stunned the mining industry, turning an unknown shell company into one of the world’s largest uranium producers in a transaction ultimately worth tens of millions of dollars to Mr. Giustra, analysts said.

SNIP...

Mr. Giustra foresaw a bull market in gold and began investing in mines in Argentina, Australia and Mexico. He turned a $20 million shell company into a powerhouse that, after a $2.4 billion merger with Goldcorp Inc., became Canada’s second-largest gold company.

CONTINUED...

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/31/us/politics/31donor.html


Very much reminds me of the time from his association with a future president, George got a great deal in Bahrain.



Harken Energy And Insider Trading

by Stephen Pizzo
Mother Jones, September / October 1992

EXCERPT...

Harken Energy was formed in l973 by two oilmen who would benefit from a successful covert effort to destabilize Australia's Labor Party government (which had attempted to shut out foreign oil exploration). A decade later, Harken was sold to a new investment group headed by New York attorney Alan G. Quasha, a partner in the firm of Quasha, Wessely & Schneider. Quasha's father, a powerful attorney in the Philippines, had been a staunch supporter of then-president Ferdinand Marcos. William Quasha had also given legal advice to two top officials of the notorious Nugan Hand Bank in Australia, a CIA operation.

After the sale of Harken Energy in 1983, Alan Quasha became a director and chairman of the board. Under Quasha, Harken suddenly absorbed Junior's struggling Spectrum 7 in 1986. The merger immediately opened a financial horn of plenty and reversed Junior's fortunes. But like his brother Jeb, Junior seemed unconcerned about the characters who were becoming his benefactors. Harken's $25 million stock offering in 1987, for example, was underwritten by a Little Rock, Arkansas, brokerage house, Stephens, Inc., which placed the Harken stock offering with the London subsidiary of Union Bank -- a bank that had surfaced in the scandal that resulted in the downfall of the Australian Labor government in 1976 and, later, in the Nugan Hand Bank scandal. (It was also Union Bank, according to congressional hearings on international money laundering, that helped the now-notorious Bank of Credit and Commerce International skirt Panamanian money-laundering laws by flying cash out of the country in private jets, and that was used by Ferdinand Marcos to stash 325 tons of Philippine gold around the world.)

SNIP...

Suddenly, in January 1990, Harken Energy became the talk of the Texas oil industry. The company with no offshore-oil-drilling experience beat out a more-established international conglomerate, Amoco, in bagging the exclusive contract to drill in a promising new offshore oil field for the Persian Gulf nation of Bahrain. The deal had been arranged for Harken by two former Stephens, Inc., brokers. A company insider claims the president's son did not initiate the deal -- but feels that his presence in the firm helped with the Bahrainis. "Hell, that's why he's on the damn board," the insider says. "...You say, 'By the way, the president's son sits on our board.' You use that. There's nothing wrong with that."

Junior has told acquaintances conflicting stories about his own involvement in the deal. He first claimed that he had "recused" himself from the deal; "George said he left the room when Bahrain was being discussed 'because we can't even have the appearance of having anything to do with the government.' He was into a big rant about how unfair it was to be the president's son. He said, 'I was so scrupulous I was never in the room when it was discussed.'"

Junior alternately claimed, to reporters for the Wall Street Journal and D Magazine, that he had opposed the arrangement. But the company insider says, to the contrary, that Junior was excited about the Bahrain deal. "Like any member of the board, he was thrilled," the associate says. "His attitude was, 'Holy shit, what a great deal!'"

CONTINUED...

http://www.georgewalkerbush.net/harkenenergyandinsidertrading.htm



Personally, I have nothing against the guy. It's his connections that remind me of those who get ahead by knowing the right people. That's why I mean by keeping Wall Street and private business out of Washington and the public's business. What a coincidence.

And that's where PaulThompson's timeline comes in: When Corporate McPravda spew half-truths and misinformatjion 24/7/366 -- PaulThompson's work shows us the "who, what, when, where, why and how much."
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