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MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
Tue May 3, 2016, 02:42 PM May 2016

And meanwhile, in Indiana, people are walking into polling places

and voting for the candidate they prefer to become the nominee of the Democratic Party. Some, of course, are voting in the Republican primary, too, but they're really irrelevant to DU.

Polls close at either 6PM EDT or 6PM CDT, depending on what part of the state voters are in. For a change, we'll probably find out who won earlier tonight than in some primaries.

I expect the results to be close to a tie, which means that Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders will get approximately the same number of delegates from the 83 to be allocated from this election. If it's close, it's not going to change much of anything about the primary season, really. It won't materially affect Clinton's 300 or so lead in pledged delegates.

I really can't imagine a large margin resulting from this election. Polls have Clinton ahead, but within the margin of error. That spells a near-tie to me. So, Indiana's results aren't going to be that interesting, I'm sure.

And yet, the primaries go on. Everyone will get their chance to vote, right through June 8, when the District of Columbia holds its primary elections. Hillary will win some and Bernie will win some. All will be fairly close or won't have enough delegates in play to really affect the end result.

There are California and New Jersey, of course, on June 7, but they're looking fairly close, too, with Clinton currently having the edge in both.

I see no dramatic changes coming in the pledged delegate margin, frankly. Advantage: Hillary Clinton. Barring some surprising wins by Sanders, the conclusion to draw is pretty clear.

This match is almost over.

That's my opinion. Yours might differ.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»And meanwhile, in Indiana...