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Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:38 PM May 2016

Let's spell it out for Bernie fans: HRC has won 12.2 miln votes, Trump: 10.1 miln, Bernie: 9.1 miln

Now, these are the vote totals for the primaries and caucuses, so it should be evident that this includes none of Bernie voters in the Hillary Clinton total. Thus, stay with me now Bernie fans, Hillary's vote total includes no independents who voted for Bernie or who just stayed home.

So, you've got Clinton with 12,272,900 votes so far.
.... and Donnie Trump with 10,116,714 votes so far.

That's percentage difference of 9.6%.


Note that Clinton's vote total exceeds Trump's by over 2 million votes ..... without any votes that may be from independents who voted for Bernie or who just didn't make it to the polls.

WE still have some more states to go, in particular California. But if the trend continues it looks like Clinton will get more votes than Trump when the primary's are all over. So one might make a prediction that in a head to head with Trump, Clinton would beat him without any of those people who voted for Bernie. Although, I would never say that most of those who voted for Bernie would refuse to vote for Clinton out of childish vindictiveness. I still think most people who are real Bernie supporters are grown-ups and would behave accordingly in the General Election.



60 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Let's spell it out for Bernie fans: HRC has won 12.2 miln votes, Trump: 10.1 miln, Bernie: 9.1 miln (Original Post) Bill USA May 2016 OP
Well that's pretty embarrassing. Third place? That's the "bronze" medal in Olympic parlance, right? NurseJackie May 2016 #1
IT's a delusional way to filter it too Ferd Berfel May 2016 #10
I certainly understand why you'd feel that way. NurseJackie May 2016 #17
reply #7 Ferd Berfel May 2016 #19
Exactly. Doesn't count Independents who would have voted for Bernie and... Roland99 May 2016 #48
I'm proud to stand with Sanders, his issue positions, and his independently funded campaign. jonestonesusa May 2016 #43
There were way more republican candidates than Dems this year. Ash_F May 2016 #2
40% of Republicans polled said they would not support trump if he was the GOP candidate Bill USA May 2016 #15
What's your point? You're winning the election. Yipdeefuckindoodah. Cheese Sandwich May 2016 #3
At least you can admit Bernie is losing. Cali_Democrat May 2016 #4
He is, but these numbers mean nothing...Please go here. Jackie Wilson Said May 2016 #14
Hillary draws... Mike Nelson May 2016 #5
What does it spell? Bernie is still better for president. immoderate May 2016 #6
Maybe next time then, Immoderate. Hortensis May 2016 #39
THe problem is that your numbers reflect CLOSED primaries Ferd Berfel May 2016 #7
Post removed Post removed May 2016 #24
So you're saying a bunch of those Bernie voters are going to lean Trump anigbrowl May 2016 #32
Better Idea: Let's put Bill USA on ignore. Full ignore. CentralCoaster May 2016 #8
It isn't really fair to campare her and Bernie with Trump doc03 May 2016 #9
Think about how much good that money could have done. onehandle May 2016 #11
Shit like this is no different than hounding SNAP recipients for buying candy. frylock May 2016 #41
When you can figure out... tonedevil May 2016 #12
Let's break down the electoral college for you GummyBearz May 2016 #13
Clinton's strength has been in the more populous states. Bill USA May 2016 #21
So enjoy your fucking victory already. frylock May 2016 #42
So what about the impending indidement? JonathanRackham May 2016 #16
What is an "indidement"? hamsterjill May 2016 #18
indictment JonathanRackham May 2016 #47
I understand!!! hamsterjill May 2016 #50
Exactly! Sanders keeps on talking about polls, polls, polls...well in the one "poll" that matters, lunamagica May 2016 #20
To be fair... Joe the Revelator May 2016 #22
consider this: 40% of polled Republicans said they won't support Trump Bill USA May 2016 #23
This is unnecessary. JoePhilly May 2016 #25
Good God in Butter! Botany May 2016 #26
So are you advocating for the abolition of the delegates? nt silvershadow May 2016 #27
I hope someone can find the numbers for the last few elections comparing randr May 2016 #28
It's too bad BS can't win legitimately... dubyadiprecession May 2016 #29
But...but... workinclasszero May 2016 #30
Let's spell it out more clearly azurnoir May 2016 #31
40% of polled Republicans say they won't support Trump - does that spell it out for you? Bill USA May 2016 #34
you mean the claims made by WeasleZippers ? that BTW are not substantiated in the article azurnoir May 2016 #35
What's scary is that... LenaBaby61 May 2016 #33
I have a question for you, Bill USA! CobaltBlue May 2016 #36
personally, I think you have misread the OP... Recoverin_Republican May 2016 #44
Let's spell it out for Bernie fans: HRC has won 12.2 miln votes, Trump: 10.1 miln, Bernie: 9.1 miln jmousso75 May 2016 #37
The race (s) is over. It's Ms. Clinton and Mr. Trump bigwillq May 2016 #38
Look at the numbers of all those who didn't vote for her artislife May 2016 #40
Trump is.... LenaBaby61 May 2016 #54
Another reason the two-party system is an anacronism. clg311 May 2016 #45
K&R mcar May 2016 #46
You know that this is an unrealistic analysis, don't you? RoccoR5955 May 2016 #49
Great article TM99 May 2016 #53
True Dat! n/t RoccoR5955 May 2016 #59
the spreadsheet was put together by Fairvote.com - unless I am wrong, they're not part ofthe Clinton Recoverin_Republican May 2016 #58
So you are saying that voters in caucuses and voters in primaries are the same? RoccoR5955 May 2016 #60
I choose to spell it Beowulf May 2016 #51
Don't caucuses not report raw vote totals? oberliner May 2016 #52
But do your numbers include all independent voters? Urchin May 2016 #55
And yet she has no path to the presidency. basselope May 2016 #56
Need 65-70 million votes to win the GE Dems to Win May 2016 #57

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
1. Well that's pretty embarrassing. Third place? That's the "bronze" medal in Olympic parlance, right?
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:42 PM
May 2016

On the bright side, he's doing better than Kasich ... so there's that.



NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
17. I certainly understand why you'd feel that way.
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:01 PM
May 2016

How would you describe it to make it appear that Bernie's doing better than Hillary?

I suppose you could say something like "In the race for the Democratic nomination, Hillary is in NEXT-TO-LAST place!"

Hey! That sounds pretty good, doesn't it? (I mean, you know, on the face of it... without really thinking about what it literally means, it SOUNDS good, eh?)

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
48. Exactly. Doesn't count Independents who would have voted for Bernie and...
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:20 PM
May 2016

doesn't include caucus states

jonestonesusa

(880 posts)
43. I'm proud to stand with Sanders, his issue positions, and his independently funded campaign.
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:07 PM
May 2016

I'm proud of his national effort to inspire people, especially young people, to work for positive change.

I've never earned 9 million votes through representing my ideas before audiences all over the country as the culmination of a long and distinguished public career. Have you?

I respect people who step up and work tirelessly and publicly for change, beyond internet grandstanding. Sanders has done that, and along with millions of other voters, I admire him for the effort.

Ash_F

(5,861 posts)
2. There were way more republican candidates than Dems this year.
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:43 PM
May 2016

How many R votes have there been total?

Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
15. 40% of Republicans polled said they would not support trump if he was the GOP candidate
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:57 PM
May 2016

I gave you a link to the spreadsheet in the OP.


 

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)
3. What's your point? You're winning the election. Yipdeefuckindoodah.
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:44 PM
May 2016

You're still wrong about most of the major issues facing our country.


edit: Not you personally OP. I just mean Hillary vs. Bernie on the issues.

Jackie Wilson Said

(4,176 posts)
14. He is, but these numbers mean nothing...Please go here.
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:57 PM
May 2016
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=7800368

Watch this Van Jones video.

I support whoever the candidate is in November, but I fear we are thinking we have it made and we dont.

Please give this video to everybody you know.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
39. Maybe next time then, Immoderate.
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:44 PM
May 2016

He'll still be in the Senate, and if he doesn't ruin his reputation with the electorate by trying to drag the party into the mud, he should remain a leading voice for progressivism. His kind, of course.

Ferd Berfel

(3,687 posts)
7. THe problem is that your numbers reflect CLOSED primaries
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:51 PM
May 2016

the GE will include the Independents. You know, the ones that vote for Bernie, the ones that DWS says she doesn't care about. The ones that won't be voting for CLinton...

Unless you're planning on election 'problems' in November that eliminate the Independents - she looses.

Response to Ferd Berfel (Reply #7)

 

anigbrowl

(13,889 posts)
32. So you're saying a bunch of those Bernie voters are going to lean Trump
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:00 PM
May 2016

Because people enjoy sticking forks in their eyes and voting for candidates who represent the exact opposite of the candidate they previously supported.

doc03

(35,346 posts)
9. It isn't really fair to campare her and Bernie with Trump
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:53 PM
May 2016

Republican votes were split among 17 people.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
11. Think about how much good that money could have done.
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:55 PM
May 2016

Instead of lining the pockets of media conglomerates and ad agencies.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
41. Shit like this is no different than hounding SNAP recipients for buying candy.
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:52 PM
May 2016

Why don't you spend your money as you see fit and mind your own fucking business?

 

tonedevil

(3,022 posts)
12. When you can figure out...
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:55 PM
May 2016

that the people who are in favor of a specific political candidate are supporters not fans you can sit at the adult table. Until then have fun squishing your spaghetti through your filthy little hands.

Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
21. Clinton's strength has been in the more populous states.
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:08 PM
May 2016

40% of polled Republcans say they won't support Trump.

JonathanRackham

(1,604 posts)
16. So what about the impending indidement?
Tue May 3, 2016, 04:59 PM
May 2016

The FBI has to shit or git. That is an issue sitting on the minds of many Bernie supporters. Perhaps if she named a VP that might entice some.

lunamagica

(9,967 posts)
20. Exactly! Sanders keeps on talking about polls, polls, polls...well in the one "poll" that matters,
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:08 PM
May 2016

Hillary is winning, and he is LOSING to Trump.

So his claims are beyond ridiculous!

 

Joe the Revelator

(14,915 posts)
22. To be fair...
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:09 PM
May 2016

you can't compare Hillary's showing in a two person race with The Donald's in a clown car.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
25. This is unnecessary.
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:22 PM
May 2016

There is no reason to post OPs that intentionally antagonize Bernie supporters.

If you want to antagonize Bernie supporters who post insane rants, or create "new math" ... do so. Many of them are begging for it.

But there is no reason to be intentionally be mean to all Bernie supporters in an OP like this.

The loud, ranting, folks ... sure ... take them on. But there is no reason for Hillary supporters to create the fight. She's already won. Its over.

Botany

(70,516 posts)
26. Good God in Butter!
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:25 PM
May 2016

What is wrong w/you?

Why are you trying to be d-bag? HRC is gonna win the nomination and
now is the time to make nice.

randr

(12,412 posts)
28. I hope someone can find the numbers for the last few elections comparing
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:27 PM
May 2016

primary numbers to the final general election numbers. I suspect they do not reflect as clear a picture as the raw data of our current condition. It is heartwarming and a great relief to think that these balances will hold through the GE but I fear that is a fantasy.
A snap shot of any moment in history only reminds me of the blind men and the elephant tale.

dubyadiprecession

(5,714 posts)
29. It's too bad BS can't win legitimately...
Tue May 3, 2016, 05:27 PM
May 2016

Trying to disenfranchising the majority of Democratic party voters that didn't vote for him, is pathetic.

Bill USA

(6,436 posts)
34. 40% of polled Republicans say they won't support Trump - does that spell it out for you?
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:17 PM
May 2016


25 million x .6 = 15.0 million. Does that spell it out for ya?


azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
35. you mean the claims made by WeasleZippers ? that BTW are not substantiated in the article
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:28 PM
May 2016

I don't like how the numbers come out but they are what they are a Trump or Cruz presidency is scary

http://www.weaselzippers.us/268826-poll-40-of-republicans-will-not-vote-for-trump-in-november-19-would-rather-vote-for-clinton/

well at least I understand why you didn't include a link

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
33. What's scary is that...
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:00 PM
May 2016

Trump got that many votes, given the kind of platform he's running on. Additionally, he really doesn't do anything but spread hate and stoke the flames of racism. What he's running on makes little to no sense.

 

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)
36. I have a question for you, Bill USA!
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:33 PM
May 2016

Hello, Bill USA!

In your opening post, you write the following:

So one might make a prediction that in a head to head with Trump, Clinton would beat him without any of those people who voted for Bernie.


Are you saying that everyone who participated voting in the 2016 Democratic presidential primaries, and voted for Bernie Sanders, should refrain from voting for a general-election nominee Hillary Clinton?
44. personally, I think you have misread the OP...
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:11 PM
May 2016

from the OP (my own emphasis):

WE still have some more states to go, in particular California. But if the trend continues it looks like Clinton will get more votes than Trump when the primary's are all over. So one might make a prediction that in a head to head with Trump, Clinton would beat him without any of those people who voted for Bernie. I would never say that most of those who voted for Bernie would refuse to vote for Clinton out of childish vindictiveness. I still think most people who are real Bernie supporters are grown-ups and would behave accordingly in the General Election.


to me that does not sound like he's telling anybody what they should do. .. Just my take on it.


 

jmousso75

(71 posts)
37. Let's spell it out for Bernie fans: HRC has won 12.2 miln votes, Trump: 10.1 miln, Bernie: 9.1 miln
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:37 PM
May 2016

First of all, we are not idiots.

Secondly, I guess Hillary won't need any of those 9.1 million votes to get elected. She won't get mine.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
40. Look at the numbers of all those who didn't vote for her
Tue May 3, 2016, 06:48 PM
May 2016

Math.

Don't expect a lot of crossover. She is not liked by many.

 

clg311

(119 posts)
45. Another reason the two-party system is an anacronism.
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:15 PM
May 2016

Independent voters have a limited voice and Sergeant Schulz want's to keep it that way.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
49. You know that this is an unrealistic analysis, don't you?
Tue May 3, 2016, 07:28 PM
May 2016

Technically, the count is accurate, but

In reality the claim that Clinton is leading the votes is another Hillary distortion, a reflection of the dishonesty that leads to her being highly distrusted by most voters. But none of the mainstream media have called her on this distortion.

For example, in Washington state, where there are, according to the 2015 census numbers, about 7.17 million people, here are the numbers, Sanders won 19,159 votes for 72.7%. Clinton won 7,140 votes for 27.1%. Based on those numbers, Bernie Sanders gets a 12,000 voter advantage in Hillary's way of counting. Really? 12,000 voters are all the credit Bernie gets for winning a state with over seven million people? (actually, over 250,000 participated in the caucuses. Still those numbers don't reflect the size of the state's population.)

If you do the math on all the caucus states, Bernie's wins could easily represent populations that exceed Hillary's 2.5 million votes, not even including the primary state votes he won. It is insulting to the people of Washington to suggest that they be counted based on the 26,000 who voted in the caucuses.
Because Minnesota is a caucus state, Bernie only gets an advantage of 45,000 when it should be hundreds of thousands. The same is true in Kansas, where he only gets credit for 14,000 advantage, when it should be at least 80,000. Colorado would give him a 23,000 advantage based on caucuses, but he should get at least a 120,000 advantage based on population.

This applies to the following caucus states that Bernie won, Washington, Utah, Kansas, Minnesota, Colorado, Nebraska, Maine, Idaho, Alaska, and Hawaii, representing about 32 million people.
Bernie won many of these by 60, 70, even 80%. Of course some are primarily conservative, which has an effect on the numbers. Let's say that Democratic leaning voters represented 45%, which would be 14.4 million. If Bernie won with an average of 60 to 40% that would be a 20% difference, or 2.9 million. Of course voter turnout has to be figured in.

Let's compare Massachusetts with Minnesota. MA has about 6.7 million people. Minnesota has about 20% less, with 5.5 million. Hillary won MA by a 1.4% margin. Bernie won MN by a 23.4% margin. Hillary gets 17,000 margin for her miniscule margin win. Bernie, with a margin thats gets 44,000. A proportional accounting, for a state that large would give him close to 750,000, or 700,000 more. The same kind of math applies to all the caucus states mentioned above.

The truth is that using popular vote numbers is a deceptive way to talk about comparing campaigns. An honest candidate would not attempt to do so. Clinton embraces it.


From: http://www.opednews.com/articles/Hillary-s-Disingenuous-Cla-by-Rob-Kall-2016-Presidential-Primary-Candidates_Hillary-Clinton-160401-967.html
 

TM99

(8,352 posts)
53. Great article
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:02 PM
May 2016

and it really shuts down these yahoo's!

It is 'math' until the real 'math' is revealed and then it is bluster, bullshit, and insults.

58. the spreadsheet was put together by Fairvote.com - unless I am wrong, they're not part ofthe Clinton
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:24 PM
May 2016

campaign. From what I can tell, the numbers mentioned in the OP are from the spreadsheet to which a link was provided.

Now, if you use the link that was provided in the OP and looked at the spreadsheet you would see that for the Washington case you cited, the spreadsheet shows:

Clinton getting 7,136 votes
Sanders getting 19,135 votes .... FairVote indicates on the spreadsheet that the Spreadsheet was "Updated by FairVote, April 27, 2016".

That looks pretty close to the figures quoted by you from OPednews. Actually, the numbers mentioned in the OPEdNews article were from the RealClear Politics site. IS OpEdnews saying these are the numbers Hillary's campaign came up with?? I'm confused, is Hillary responsible for numbers computed by RealClear Politics?


Real Clear politics offers these numbers: Clinton 8,924,821, Sanders 6,397, 980




Actually, it appears that OpEdnews is doing something quite different than just counting votes. they are extrapolating the vote proportions to the whole population of the state(?!)

from the article you referenced (my own emphasis):
If you do the math on all the caucus states, Bernie's wins could easily represent populations that exceed Hillary's 2.5 million votes


... "population"?? Not registered voters? Not voters registered Democrats?
They are comparing population to votes cast in the primaries?????

It seems if there is a question as to methodology, Opednews has some explaining to do if they are using population numbers for estimating votes cast in an election!

Anyway, as I noted above, the numbers on the spreadsheet (that the OP provides a link to) are gathered by FairVote.com and note that, unless I'm wrong, there is no extrapolating being done there. They appear to be just recording and adding up votes cast...

from the spreadsheet: the heading over the columns with the vote totals: "TOTAL VOTES CAST FOR ALL CANDIDATES"

Either I am all mixed up or the numbers are just vote totals on the spreadsheet. And it appears that the numbers quoted by OpEdnews from RealClear Politics are vote totals too.

Actually, when I checked REalClear Politics vote totals, they have been updated and now show Clinton at: 12,268,316 and Sanders: 9,110,739 .. for a difference of ....3,157,577.


 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
60. So you are saying that voters in caucuses and voters in primaries are the same?
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:54 PM
May 2016

Outrageous!
2 different methods, one requires fewer actual voters.
I would imagine that the fairer way to measure this would be to extrapolate the number of people represented, than the total number of voters.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
52. Don't caucuses not report raw vote totals?
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:00 PM
May 2016

I thought they only reported county delegates, not actual votes.

 

Dems to Win

(2,161 posts)
57. Need 65-70 million votes to win the GE
Tue May 3, 2016, 08:20 PM
May 2016

Clinton got 18 million votes in 2008, assume she'll do the same this time. That still tells us nothing, really, about her ability to get 70 million votes in the fall.

It's really poor logic to look at the primary numbers and say that Hillary can beat Trump without any help from Bernie supporters.

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