2016 Postmortem

reformist2

(9,841 posts) Tue May 3, 2016, 08:17 PM May 2016

Benchmark Politics calls Indiana for Bernie Sanders.

7:10 PM CT

We are officially calling Indiana for Bernie Sanders. Actual margin call to come much later, once we have more of Lake. We can make this call because we have Allen in right now. Sanders is objectively beating benchmarks in all major population centers.

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Benchmark Politics calls Indiana for Bernie Sanders. (Original Post) reformist2 May 2016 OP

... R. Daneel Olivaw May 2016 #1

If true - I'm planning my next vacation in the Hoosier State! Peregrine Took May 2016 #2

Am happy to hear it. OwlinAZ May 2016 #3

But the media has been calling it all week for Hillary. Cobalt Violet May 2016 #4

They are shameless. They have pretended that Hillary was ahead before every single primary reformist2 May 2016 #5

The polls put her ahead but Nate Silver has said that the demographics (few black voters) pnwmom May 2016 #6

I thought Nate Silver just said the other day that Hillary had a 92% chance of winning Indiana. reformist2 May 2016 #8

That is what he had been guessing based on the polls, but there is also this: pnwmom May 2016 #10

Go, Bernie... GO!! AzDar May 2016 #7

next stop: the White House 6chars May 2016 #9

NYT 840high May 2016 #11

R. Daneel Olivaw

(12,606 posts)

1. ...

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:19 PM

May 2016

Peregrine Took

(7,415 posts)

2. If true - I'm planning my next vacation in the Hoosier State!

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:20 PM

May 2016

No more trips to Wisconsin (Walker) or North Carolina (McCrory) - but Indiana where I come.

OwlinAZ

(410 posts)

3. Am happy to hear it.

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:20 PM

May 2016

Cobalt Violet

(9,905 posts)

4. But the media has been calling it all week for Hillary.

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:22 PM

May 2016

Non stop about how the front runners ahead blah blah blah blah blah.

reformist2

(9,841 posts)

5. They are shameless. They have pretended that Hillary was ahead before every single primary

Reply to Cobalt Violet (Reply #4)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:26 PM

May 2016

except NH and VT.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)

6. The polls put her ahead but Nate Silver has said that the demographics (few black voters)

Reply to reformist2 (Reply #5)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:28 PM

May 2016

and open primary favored a win for him.

OTOH, they will split the delegates and the outcome won't change their standing in the race. Bernie would still need to win 67% of the remaining pledged delegates everywhere to get to a majority -- and that won't happen.

reformist2

(9,841 posts)

8. I thought Nate Silver just said the other day that Hillary had a 92% chance of winning Indiana.

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #6)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:32 PM

May 2016

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)

10. That is what he had been guessing based on the polls, but there is also this:

Reply to reformist2 (Reply #8)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:35 PM

May 2016

Read the final paragraph here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511892222

AzDar

(14,023 posts)

7. Go, Bernie... GO!!

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:29 PM

May 2016

6chars

(3,967 posts)

9. next stop: the White House

Reply to reformist2 (Original post)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:34 PM

May 2016

Washington, DC

840high

(17,196 posts)

11. NYT

Reply to 6chars (Reply #9)

Tue May 3, 2016, 08:56 PM

May 2016

Democratic Primary

Sanders leads by 6 points, with 61% reporting.
Candidates Vote Pct.
Bernie Sanders 219,320 53.1%
Hillary Clinton 194,086 46.9

413,406 votes, 61% reporting (3,271 of 5,374 precincts)

Reply to this discussion