2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumStop worrying about the rust belt
Last edited Fri May 6, 2016, 03:54 AM - Edit history (1)
I see everyone is going crazy about the rust belt and working class whites.
I offer this map for submission to prove the Dem nominee can win with just minority-heavy states.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/5X8Le
On Edit: My post has nothing to do with who wins the Dem nomination. Just trying to show the power that minorities might wield in the upcoming election and that we don't have to panic over losing white working class voters. I hope in some way my map is correct so that MAYBE minorities might start to get their concerns taken seriously.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)is almost a majority-minority state. 55% white to 45% non-white.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Hillary won't get the votes Obama did...well short in fact.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)with if HRC or Sanders wins the nomination. I could say that Sanders will not get the votes Obama did...well short in fact considering his weakness with AA voters.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)In fact, that post was correct. As I pointed out to you, Obama barely eked out a win in Florida in 2012, with strong support from Youth and minorities, and a 50/50 split in Independants. Hillary will do very poorly with youth and independants, and she probably won't get the turnout among AAs that Obama did.
Sanders fares better than Hillary. He does as well or better with youth as Obama, far exceeds him with Independants. He won't get AA votes like Obama, but if they turn out in Kerry-type numbers that might be enough.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)but 26% of Florida's population right now is Hispanic. I highly doubt she or Bernie would lose Florida.
Ash_F
(5,861 posts)Over 100k more.
I think you really need to to look at what states had higher R turnout to gage threats.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)"Flint"
w4rma
(31,700 posts)Just tired of the "OMG, we are going to lose because of white voters" posts.
w4rma
(31,700 posts)lancer78
(1,495 posts)I hope in some way my map is correct, so that minority voices and concerns are finally heard by both parties.
w4rma
(31,700 posts)What you really care about is 'free' trade and expanding corporate power and influence over the rest of us.
I have a bunch of Hispanic friends and customers who have been shit on by Republican politicians, nothing would give me greater joy then seeing Trump get 65% of the white vote yet still lose.
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)That is, unless Bernie's running.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Just like it can't win a Democratic primary season
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)is like an exercise in fiction. Or futility.