2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts) Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:17 AM Oct 2012

O Is At 63.9% On Intrade

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

Tomorrow at this time he will be at 70.0%

Good riddance to bad rubbish, Willard Romney. You oleaginous, obstreperous, obfuscating oligarch. I never liked you and your kind anyway.

8 replies

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O Is At 63.9% On Intrade (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP

That's an increase over yesterday. Vegas has odds on Obama as well. n/t EmeraldCityGrl Oct 2012 #1

Collective wisdom betting real money. Loudly Oct 2012 #2

That Collective Wisdom Is A Function Of Looking At (All) The Polls DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #3

And being required to bet real money. Loudly Oct 2012 #4

Exactly/nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5

The president is still climbing steadily in trade markets... jcgoldie Oct 2012 #6

"Tomorrow at this time he will be at 70.0%" TroyD Oct 2012 #7

I like your vocabulary fujiyama Oct 2012 #8

EmeraldCityGrl

(4,310 posts)

1. That's an increase over yesterday. Vegas has odds on Obama as well. n/t

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:27 AM

Oct 2012

Loudly

(2,436 posts)

2. Collective wisdom betting real money.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:38 AM

Oct 2012

Why do the traditional pollsters have it so much closer?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

3. That Collective Wisdom Is A Function Of Looking At (All) The Polls

Reply to Loudly (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:40 AM

Oct 2012

And not looking at any cherry picked one.

Loudly

(2,436 posts)

4. And being required to bet real money.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:43 AM

Oct 2012

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)

5. Exactly/nt

Reply to Loudly (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:47 AM

Oct 2012

jcgoldie

(11,646 posts)

6. The president is still climbing steadily in trade markets...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:38 AM

Oct 2012

Over 65% this morning in intrade for the first time since the Denver debate and also over 70% on betfair.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

7. "Tomorrow at this time he will be at 70.0%"

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 10:45 AM

Oct 2012

How do we know this?

Intrade seems very skittish to me. I'm not sure if we'll see it hit 70% yet.

fujiyama

(15,185 posts)

8. I like your vocabulary

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 07:40 PM

Oct 2012

and btw Intrade's at 69, so you're prediction may well be true...

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