Election Forecast Summaries: 10/31 (morning)

Happy Halloween. I generally don't update this in the morning, but PEC was down for an hour and came back up with some great numbers, and I felt like sharing.

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

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Votamatic: O 332 (unch)

University of Illinois U-C: O 291.6 (unch); p(RE)=94.9% (unch)

Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 206, T 52 (R-29, T+29)

Huffington Post: O 253, R 206, T 79 (unch)

FiveThirtyEight: O 299 (unch); p(RE)=77.4% (unch)

Princeton: O 318 (+13); p(RE)=95%, 99% (+2%, +1%)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.66% (unch)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,400!