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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 11:28 AM Oct 2012

1984 Reagan Campaign Manager Ed Rollins lays out the obvious

1984 Reagan Campaign Manager Ed Rollins lays out the obvious:

Christian Heinze ?@CPHeinze
Ed Rollins on Romney: "If you don't win Ohio, you're not going to win Pennsylvania, you're not going to win Michigan or Minnesota." #FNC
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1984 Reagan Campaign Manager Ed Rollins lays out the obvious (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP
Teachers and autoworkers are the swing voters who will vote for Obama in Ohio Kolesar Oct 2012 #1
Here's A Little Fact DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #2
Um Robbins Oct 2012 #3
Gary Johnson is helping there now with 4% of the vote flamingdem Oct 2012 #4
I Noted That PA And NY Diverged Once In The Past Twenty Presidential Elections DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5
Yep! Obama is going to win! n/t courseofhistory Oct 2012 #6

Kolesar

(31,182 posts)
1. Teachers and autoworkers are the swing voters who will vote for Obama in Ohio
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 11:32 AM
Oct 2012

There is a lot of ill will about Republigovernor Kasich banning the public workers unions and having it reversed by the vote on Issue 2 last year. Further, there are huge numbers of Ohioans with an attachment to the domestic auto producers.

I don't know if that dynamic exists in PA and the other states.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
2. Here's A Little Fact
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 11:36 AM
Oct 2012

NY and PA have voted the same way in every presidential election in the last eighty years except once. What are the chances of NY going red?

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
3. Um
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 11:41 AM
Oct 2012

back In 1988 Dukakis won New York and Bush won PA.So that means a republican could win PA and dem win New York.

The problem for Republicans except for possibly NH The norhteast Is solid democratic when Democrats turn out to vote.And even In
NH It took nadar to allow Bush to win there In 2000.Granted Perot might have helped Clinton there In 1992 but since the 1990's Norhteast has been going Democatic.

flamingdem

(39,324 posts)
4. Gary Johnson is helping there now with 4% of the vote
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 11:43 AM
Oct 2012

yay! It's a libertarian state so we can assume he's taking votes from Rmoney

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)
5. I Noted That PA And NY Diverged Once In The Past Twenty Presidential Elections
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 11:45 AM
Oct 2012

The point Ed Rollins was making is that states bear some resemblance to one another. A candidate is not winning California while losing Hawaii nor is he winning New York while losing Massachusetts.

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