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2016 Postmortem

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courseofhistory

(801 posts) Wed Oct 31, 2012, 12:31 PM Oct 2012

Obama Soars in Princeton Election Consortium's Projections

Updated at 10:05 EST on October 31st.

Projected electoral votes: Obama 318 Romney 220.

Popular vote meta-margin: 2.60%

Probability of Obama Re-election: 95% (random drift), 99% (Bayesian prediction)


http://election.princeton.edu/

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Obama Soars in Princeton Election Consortium's Projections (Original Post) courseofhistory Oct 2012 OP
Looks like the PEC site is down... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #1
Please let this happen I am sick of Romney and his Circus. gordianot Oct 2012 #2
Prof. Wang is not holding back! speedoo Oct 2012 #3
he has a link to an election night spreadsheet tracker central scrutinizer Oct 2012 #4

central scrutinizer

(11,662 posts)
4. he has a link to an election night spreadsheet tracker
Reply to courseofhistory (Original post)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:16 PM
Oct 2012

that re-calculates probabilities as states are called. Looks pretty nifty.

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