I just think R$ will take FL one way or another. I would love to be wrong about this.

I just want enough votes to essentially make meaningless any bullshit re-counts in Ohio.

The race is clearly in play at the moment so any advantage could tip it either way.

Early Voting looks very good for Obama

Hispanic vote is very strong even with Cuban effect taken into account

Medicare worries re: Ryan and other Republicans will take its toll on traditional advantage of senior votes for Republicans. Romney cannot stand up to the Congressional Republicans; Obama will.

Hurricane bump. Florida voters will appreciate how Obama has handled the hurricane.

I don't care if its 270 or 271 or 300 or 332. Just as long as he gets enough electoral votes. However it would be nice to see twit get steamrolled.

I am using the same spreadsheet that I used to accurately predict the 2004 election. I didn't use it in 2008 because it was such a landslide.

Obama gets - CO, IA, NH, NV, OH, and WI
Romney gets - FL, NC, NE2, and VA

Depending on polls that come out between now and Tuesday, CO, FL, and VA could easily flip the other direction.

Obama will get FL, NC & VA also

If you look at the state predictions at the link, you can see trends towards Obama.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251194496

My spreadsheets show FL and VA as virtual ties. Romney has a slight advantage in NC, but we have banked so many early votes. The Republicans have improved their early vote tallies from four years ago, but most of those are shifts from election day. Some of our early voters might not have voted on election day.

Last edited Thu Nov 1, 2012, 12:40 AM - Edit history (1)

Depending on how we do in Virginia (13) and Colorado (9). I do not personally believe we'll be able to get either NC or FL this time.