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Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 06:37 PM Oct 2012

Election Forecast Summaries: 10/31 (afternoon)

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

[font color="blue"]
Votamatic: O 332 (unch)

University of Illinois U-C: O 294.4 (+2.8); p(RE)=97.9% (+3%)

Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 206, T 52 (unch)

Huffington Post: O 259, R 206, T 73 (O+6, T-6)

FiveThirtyEight: O 299 (unch); p(RE)=77.4% (unch)

Princeton: O 318 (unch); p(RE)=95%, 99% (unch)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.69% (+0.03%)[/font]
[font color="red"]
...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,400!

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