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Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
Tue May 24, 2016, 12:05 PM May 2016

The choice

In all the bitterness of the waning primary days, one fact needs to be kept in mind: we are stronger together. (And no, Brock is not paying me to say that. I wish - I could use the money to pay for that patio I've been dreaming of, haha!)

The Democratic Party, like The Republican Party, is a coalition of diverse interests. Now, in all democracies you get coalition politics. In countries with multiple parties, people tend to vote according to ideology, and then afterwards you often find parties with similar interests forming coalitions in order to be able to get the majority and thereby form the government. The American system is slightly different: because it is a winner take all system, the coalitions form prior to voting, and there really can be only two viable coalitions.

The Republicans consist of a largely white and male coalition of money interests, libertarians, social conservatives, and angry people. Let's call them Coalition R. The R coalition is currently quite fragile, but it is boosted by the Anger vote, and they are already in the process of healing primary breaches and coalescing behind their Candidate, Mr. T the Angry Orange Orangutang.

The Democratic Party consists of a coalition of social and economic progressives, social and economic moderates, intellectuals, women, people of color, and unions: let's call it Coalition D. The D coalition is far more diverse, ethnically and ideologically speaking, and therefore known for being disorganized and often fighting among themselves. Over the course of the last year one candidate within the D coalition has built a sub-coalition (let's call it Coalition H) of the most traditional Democratic strongholds: people of Color, women, and older Democrats. The other candidate, formerly from outside the coalition, has built an almost equally strong sub-coalition (lets call it Coalition B) which consists of progressives, white males, and independents. (Of course, neither's coalition is limited to these groups: there are people of color supporting B, and young people supporting H, for example - we're just talking about which groups tend to lean towards which candidate). If you look at how the primaries played out, then demographics were more predictive than anything else, for the most part (some states, like Hawaii, being the exception, but then it is an exceptional state).

Now, the question is whether sub-coalition B and sub-coalition H, which represent the moderately liberal to progressive side of the political spectrum, can form a viable coalition D together, in order to beat the retrogressive Coalition R. This being a winner-takes-all system, there can be only two viable coalitions. If H and B can't band together, then R wins. Simple as that.

Since sub-coalition H is about to take the nomination on the D side, sub-coalition B has to face the question: do we band together with H in order to overcome the R's, or do we let the country go to hell in a handbasket? That is the real choice in American politics. If you're a progressive (and I am) then you know that the only way to move the country forward is to be part of the more progressive coalition, even if you don't like everyone in it, and even if the candidate at the top of the helm is not your number one choice.

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The choice (Original Post) Nonhlanhla May 2016 OP
It's the death throes. I find it quite amusing. nt LexVegas May 2016 #1
So well said. Undisputable logic. brush May 2016 #2

brush

(53,787 posts)
2. So well said. Undisputable logic.
Tue May 24, 2016, 12:16 PM
May 2016

Most people in both Dem coalitions are sensible and will vote Dem to insure Trump doesn't win.

It's the Sanders dead-enders that probably won't come around, but they're only about 25% of their coalition.

We can still win against the carnival barker with a combined coalition of Latino Americans, sensible progressive whites who don't want Trump appointing the next 3 SCOTUS justices, African Americans, Asian Americans, women, gays, Native Americans, sensible left-leaning and moderate independents who also don't want Trump appointing the next 3 SCOTUS justices — why that sounds a lot like the Obama Coalition that won in '08 and '12.

We're golden!

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