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2016 Postmortem
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Oh, looky here! Nate Silver update .............. (Original Post)
Tennessee Gal
Nov 2012
OP
Nate said that the forecast would get more volatile as the election draws closer...
regnaD kciN
Nov 2012
#6
I just saw him on Rachel's show and he looked like he hadn't slept or shaved in days.
SunSeeker
Nov 2012
#4
renate
(13,776 posts)1. It's gone up by more than 1% in just a few hours!
Obama at 304.8 EV!
regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)6. Nate said that the forecast would get more volatile as the election draws closer...
Personally, I would expect multi-point swings up and down over each of the next three days.
iloveObama12
(421 posts)2. Damn! How Many Times A Day Does Silver Update His Predictions...
SunSeeker
(51,694 posts)4. I just saw him on Rachel's show and he looked like he hadn't slept or shaved in days.
Keep crunching those numbers, Wonder Nerd!
Bub-bye Mitt and Ann...
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)8. He does look exhausted. And overwhelmed at his new celeb status.
Nate was more under the radar in 2008. Now the nutball right wingers attack him constantly. Hope he gets some rest soon.
Tribetime
(4,702 posts)7. Ohio now at 52% to be the deciding state Virginia next at 12%
VMA131Marine
(4,149 posts)9. Doesn't yet include the latest NBC/Marist polls of OH and FL
OH - Obama +6
FL - Obama +2
Should improve Obama's percentages even more.
Canuckistanian
(42,290 posts)10. OH +6?
TroyD
(4,551 posts)11. He has now updated it for a 3rd time tonight
And included those new polls.
Electoral vote
Obama = 305.3
Romney = 232.7
----
Chance of Winning
Obama = 83.7%
Romney = 16.3%
----
Popular vote
Obama = 50.6%
Romney = 48.4%
--
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
mnhtnbb
(31,402 posts)12. Oh, wow! Nate FINALLY has Romney's chances in NC declining to pink
I can't wait for him to get punched with an Obama win in NC on election night.