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DCBob

(24,689 posts)
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:11 PM Nov 2012

The Rove "logic".

Rove and his little whiteboard analysis has RW media all excited about Ohio again. Here's the logic or rather illogic..

"As of Tuesday, 530,813 Ohio Democrats had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot. That's down 181,275 from four years ago. But 448,357 Ohio Republicans had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot, up 75,858 from the last presidential election. That 257,133-vote swing almost wipes out Mr. Obama's 2008 Ohio victory margin of 262,224. "

Thats assuming the vote on the day of the election will be the same as 2008. Clearly it wont be if more R's have voted early and less D's have voted early. I think the only thing you can discern from those numbers is that low info Republicans have figured out how to vote early and that many Democrats plan to wait until election day to vote for whatever reason. The polls all suggest a solid win for the President in Ohio. Early vote or late vote.. they all count the same. Rove will be eating crow once again on Tuesday eve.

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The Rove "logic". (Original Post) DCBob Nov 2012 OP
No, wait, I think I see how this works.. Permanut Nov 2012 #1
The polls of early voters had Obama with a BootinUp Nov 2012 #2
He admits Obama has a lead in EV its just not as big as in 2008. DCBob Nov 2012 #3
Almost doesn't count Lightsource777 Nov 2012 #4
People do no register by party in Ohio UTLonghorn Nov 2012 #5
Looking at Karl's college transcripts Tutonic Nov 2012 #6
"Rove" and "logic" never belong in the same context. HopeHoops Nov 2012 #7

Permanut

(5,637 posts)
1. No, wait, I think I see how this works..
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:14 PM
Nov 2012

If I apply the same logic to Oregon, it works like this:

In 2008, there were 208,165 salmon that were counted passing through the Bonneville Dam fish counting station.

In 2012, so far, there have been 184,659; therefore, Romney will win Oregon.

At least I think that's how it goes.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
3. He admits Obama has a lead in EV its just not as big as in 2008.
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:23 PM
Nov 2012

which means Romney will win... according to Turd Blossum logic.

Lightsource777

(78 posts)
4. Almost doesn't count
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:25 PM
Nov 2012

"it almost wipes out the advantage" doesn't count. And it also assumes Obama won't gain more of a margin for the election day vote.

UTLonghorn

(24 posts)
5. People do no register by party in Ohio
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:33 PM
Nov 2012

so you can't determine how many Democrats or Republicans have cast ballots thus far. Basically, Rove pulled these numbers out of his ass.

Tutonic

(2,522 posts)
6. Looking at Karl's college transcripts
Sat Nov 3, 2012, 12:37 PM
Nov 2012

He failed math and spelling. Couldn't get his numbers straight.

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