I think Bernie has a good chance of winning CA... though it will be awfully hard to win it as big as he really needs it to be if he wants a serious shot at persuading super delegates (short of additional Hillary bombshells).

And arguably 70+%, as New Jersey will be won by Clinton. 44 is a long way from 70.

They don't even try to hide the bias any more. Their lead-in was, "Hillary Clinton maintains her lead in California but the race is tightening." They sounded very somber.

I hate the establishment media. We have corporate censorship in this country.

And the crosstabs are off in this poll anyway. Clinton leads among whites by 6% but only among Hispanics by 2% which makes no sense.

At 46% non-white, Sanders isn't going to win here. That shovel is California and Hillary is about to swing it hard.

See my post below for the math.

And I take all polling with Everest sized grain of salt

290 White, 134 Latino, 125 Other, 549 Total

Whites: 47/41 Hillary +6
Latinos: 52/43 Hillary +9

"Other" would have to be heavily Sanders to get to 46/44 overall, at least 60/40 or higher. The poll doesn't provide a breakdown, but there's no way Sanders is beating Clinton 60/40 with African Americans and Asians, who make up most of California's non-white/non-Latino 20%.

The crosstabs also don't match up. Household income, for example, matches, but the totals for college/noncollege show Hillary +5. Errors like this exist in many of the totals. They vary from the +2 indicated in the total to +7 or higher.

538 is basically treating it as an outlier, giving it less than 20% the weighting of the SurveyUSA poll from the same timeframe, which shows Hillary up 57/39.

Link to poll data: http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/other/Crosstabs_LikelyVoters0516.pdf

I also notice that PPIC has had the tightest margins between these candidates, consistently.

SurveyUSA released a poll today and it's 57-39 Hillary-Bernie.

Clinton may well lose 36 - 54 come June. Oh wait: that doesn't yet take into account the usual upsurge we see Sanders make in the last week or so. 36 - 64 might happen. Which would bury her like Sanders can (one day in November) bury Trump.