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2016 Postmortem

reflection

(6,286 posts) Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:09 PM Nov 2012

I still think we win

but I wish the RAND poll was playing nice.

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election#election-forecast

Both the forecast model and the intention to vote model are befuddling me.

The 'predicted winner' graph still looks great though.

2 replies

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I still think we win (Original Post) reflection Nov 2012 OP

That is a seven tbennett76 Nov 2012 #1

Thanks for that. reflection Nov 2012 #2

tbennett76

(223 posts)

1. That is a seven

Reply to reflection (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:11 PM

Nov 2012

day tracker so really excellent days were falling off. That poll will finish in the five point range. Last night a plus 12 day fell off.

reflection

(6,286 posts)

2. Thanks for that.

Reply to tbennett76 (Reply #1)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 10:12 PM

Nov 2012

I'm such a punk. All these awesome polls everywhere, and one little hiccup like this still sends a chill through me.

I know Romney supporters would KILL to be in our position right now.

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