2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton is now ahead of Donald Trump in revised Rasmussen poll..
Hillary Clinton is now ahead of Donald Trump in revised Rasmussen poll, but will anyone report it?
By Bill Palmer | May 28, 2016 |
For the past week, cable news has been nearly obsessed with the May 18th Rasmussen poll which placed Donald Trump five points ahead of Hillary Clinton in early nationwide general election polling. The media largely failed to mention that this was an outlier poll standing in contrast with the majority of national polls, which instead showed Clinton slightly ahead of Trump. One false narrative after another was constructed as to why Hillary was suddenly falling behind when that hadnt actually happened. Now that narrative is in even more trouble, as this weeks newly revised Rasmussen poll now has Clinton ahead.
So what changed? Thats not entirely clear. The official statement from Rasmussen Reports acknowledges the six point swing in a six day period, but doesnt attempt to explain the shift. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus three points, meaning the six point differential can just barely be explained away based on statistics rather than sentiment.
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/hillary-clinton-pulls-ahead-of-donald-trump-in-rasmussen-poll/24898/
White House Watch: Clinton 40%, Trump 39%
Tal Vez
(660 posts)Henhouse
(646 posts)If you saw all the people crowing about it, in here, last week....
Tal Vez
(660 posts)There were Republican super PACs that would pay big money for polls tilted toward Romney. Then they used those polls to raise money from ignorant donors.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)Eep when Bernie beats Trump by a mile.