Election Forecast Summaries: 11/3 (evening)

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

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Election Projection: O 290 (unch)

University of Illinois U-C: O 302.8 (+2.4); p(RE)=99.6% (unch)

Electoral-vote.com: O 281, R 206, T 51 (unch)

Huffington Post: O 277, R 191, T 70 (O+22, R+0, T-22)

TPM/PollTracker: O 303, R 191, T 44 (O+18, R-29, T+11)

FiveThirtyEight: O 305.3 (+0.5); p(RE)=83.7% (+1%)

Princeton: O 323 (+4); p(RE)=98%, 99.8% (+1, +0.2%)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=87.47% (+0.42%)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,498!