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Nate Silver's Update (Original Post) mary195149 Nov 2012 OP
Romney appears to be collapsing Cali_Democrat Nov 2012 #1
Grampy McSame and Dirty Mittens... SoapBox Nov 2012 #5
Nice part of article... Kurovski Nov 2012 #7
Awesome! GallopingGhost Nov 2012 #2
Isn't that Yesterday's Now-Cast? TroyD Nov 2012 #3
Hmmm....the Nov. 6th forecast was just 84.4, then it switched back. He's probably still updating. Cali_Democrat Nov 2012 #4
A lot of new data today, I guess TroyD Nov 2012 #6
time change, I guess DLnyc Nov 2012 #8
Obama = 85.1%; 306.9 EV, 50.6% PV TroyD Nov 2012 #10
Um, does that mean 306. 5 electoral votes? I can sleep a little bit better tonight. freshwest Nov 2012 #9
Nate Silver Update: 1:27 AM ET on Nov. 4 TroyD Nov 2012 #11

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)
5. Grampy McSame and Dirty Mittens...
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:50 AM
Nov 2012

Not that I would ever want one of these goof balls in office...but...

What the hell happens to them? They start vomiting garbage and then just implode?

You would think that they would "learn".

BUT, thank gawd they never do!

Kurovski

(34,655 posts)
7. Nice part of article...
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:59 AM
Nov 2012

"Yes, of course: most of the arguments that the polls are necessarily biased against Mr. Romney reflect little more than wishful thinking.

Nevertheless, these arguments are potentially more intellectually coherent than the ones that propose that the leader in the race is “too close to call.” It isn’t. If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can’t acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public."

DLnyc

(2,479 posts)
8. time change, I guess
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:14 AM
Nov 2012

Currently 1:06 am Nov 4 in NY, but update was 1:27 am Nov 4 in NY (before clocks were set back one hour from 2 to 1).

Obama 85.1% to win E.C.

Also, Florida seems to be getting more iffy for mitty (down to 53.8% chance of winning).

Looks promising, PROVIDED we still GOTV major major major!

freshwest

(53,661 posts)
9. Um, does that mean 306. 5 electoral votes? I can sleep a little bit better tonight.
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:17 AM
Nov 2012

I'd still LOVE to see Obama get 400 electoral votes...

That would just scream, 'MANDATE!'

GOTV!!!

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
11. Nate Silver Update: 1:27 AM ET on Nov. 4
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:33 AM
Nov 2012


CHANCE OF WINNING

Obama = 85.1%

Romney = 14.9%

----

ELECTORAL VOTE

Obama = 306.9

Romney = 231.1

----

POPULAR VOTE

Obama = 50.6%

Romney = 48.3%
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