2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver's Update
Up again, at 306.5
[link:http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/|
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)It couldn't happen to a nicer guy.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Not that I would ever want one of these goof balls in office...but...
What the hell happens to them? They start vomiting garbage and then just implode?
You would think that they would "learn".
BUT, thank gawd they never do!
Kurovski
(34,655 posts)"Yes, of course: most of the arguments that the polls are necessarily biased against Mr. Romney reflect little more than wishful thinking.
Nevertheless, these arguments are potentially more intellectually coherent than the ones that propose that the leader in the race is too close to call. It isnt. If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you cant acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public."
GallopingGhost
(2,404 posts)Wonder how high it will go before election day?
TroyD
(4,551 posts)I don't see an update for tonight yet.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)The poor boy must still be up in New York tabulating away.
DLnyc
(2,479 posts)Currently 1:06 am Nov 4 in NY, but update was 1:27 am Nov 4 in NY (before clocks were set back one hour from 2 to 1).
Obama 85.1% to win E.C.
Also, Florida seems to be getting more iffy for mitty (down to 53.8% chance of winning).
Looks promising, PROVIDED we still GOTV major major major!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Updated 1:27 AM ET on Nov. 4
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
freshwest
(53,661 posts)I'd still LOVE to see Obama get 400 electoral votes...
That would just scream, 'MANDATE!'
GOTV!!!
TroyD
(4,551 posts)CHANCE OF WINNING
Obama = 85.1%
Romney = 14.9%
----
ELECTORAL VOTE
Obama = 306.9
Romney = 231.1
----
POPULAR VOTE
Obama = 50.6%
Romney = 48.3%