2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNBC News ‘unskews’ its own poll in response to right-wing criticism.
From TPM...
NBC News, anticipating backlash over polls released Saturday that showed President Obama ahead in two crucial swing states, attempted to head off conservative criticism that the surveys sampled too many Democrats by preemptively unskewing its own numbers.
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So as part of a story online about the polls on Saturday, NBC News senior political editor Mark Murray included a section essentially imagining if the findings of his organizations own poll were altered in a way that showed the Democratic sample in Ohio cut in half. In that case, Murray wrote, Obamas lead would shrink to three points.
We anticipated that there would be criticism of a D+9 sample, and asked our pollsters to assume as an exercise what the race would be simply if you halved that Democratic Party ID advantage, Murray wrote. We decided to publish that information in my story (towards the end, mind you). But make no mistake: The numbers are the numbers, and we stand by them.
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Well, what you do, you dont pick the number, Miringoff said at the time. Its based on the interviews with the people you do. So its not like youre punching in a 10 point party spread. Its based on the interviews and who remains in the pool. You dont want a three credit lesson right now in survey research, Im sure.
more: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/11/nbc-news-polls-sample-unskewed.php?ref=fpnewsfeed
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Republicans sure have a hard time with anything that involves science and research.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)Romney is not ahead in Ohio in any way.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Can wait for all this be over on Tuesday!
Laurian
(2,593 posts)this whole election cycle. Don't they realize that the conservative movement is going the way of the dinosaur? Is it just the corporate profit motive that dictates their conservative ass kissing?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)I guess its all about money.