2016 Postmortem

MarianJack

(10,237 posts) Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:14 AM Nov 2012

Make your fearless forecast for Tuesday!

For the arbitrary sake of this poll, under 1% is a nailbiter, 1% but up to 4% is close, 4% but under 10% is a comfortable margin and 10% or more is a landslide.

I think that it'll be President Obama comfortably. That's my 2 cents and quite possibly overpriced at that!

PEACE!

50 votes, 0 passes \| Time left: Time expired
	willard landslide (dick morris is a GENIUS)
	0 (0%)
	willard comfortably
	1 (2%)
	willard close
	1 (2%)
	willard in a nailbiter
	0 (0%)
	it goes to the house & aenate and we get willard/Biden
	0 (0%)
	President Obama in a nailbiter
	3 (6%)
	President Obama close
	7 (14%)
	President Obama comfortably
	34 (68%)
	President Obama in a landslide
	4 (8%)
	I'm going to be really pissed if they pre-empt my favorite shows for election returns!
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

45 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Make your fearless forecast for Tuesday! (Original Post) MarianJack Nov 2012 OP

Close nationally. Comfortably swing. Rmoney will win neither electoral, nor popular. nt onehandle Nov 2012 #1

Sounds good! MarianJack Nov 2012 #10

347-191 DCBob Nov 2012 #2

Sounds BEST! MarianJack Nov 2012 #11

303-235 nt Comrade_McKenzie Nov 2012 #3

That is exactly what I think. Sky Masterson Nov 2012 #7

I think that the Prez will take Florida... MarianJack Nov 2012 #12

DU is historically a terrible predictor Welcome_hubby Nov 2012 #4

Many here also predicted that President Obama would be the nominee... MarianJack Nov 2012 #13

Obama in a landslide before the electronic riggers begin their work... Scuba Nov 2012 #5

I think we'll know before midnight on Tuesday. MarianJack Nov 2012 #14

Hope I'm wrong. Scuba Nov 2012 #25

No offense intended, but... MarianJack Nov 2012 #28

I predict that I will be doing GOTV work til the cows come home Tuesday and I also predict struggle4progress Nov 2012 #6

I'll be there! MarianJack Nov 2012 #15

National vote Obama 51% Romney 49% aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 #8

I think that the Prez will get 52-53%... MarianJack Nov 2012 #18

HURRY: ***** Official Pre-Election Electoral College Vote = Predictions Thread ***** Coyotl Nov 2012 #9

O 323-215 dem1977 Nov 2012 #16

I think so,... MarianJack Nov 2012 #20

2 to 3% nationally and around 300 EVs for Obama mvd Nov 2012 #17

I think about 5% margin and around 330 EVs. MarianJack Nov 2012 #21

I think it is possible mvd Nov 2012 #23

Good Idea! MarianJack Nov 2012 #29

Obama takes Florida, and Virginia Faith9326 Nov 2012 #19

Maybe NC and I think CO, too. MarianJack Nov 2012 #22

I said it before & I'll say it again: Obama Wins In A LANDSLIDE johnlucas Nov 2012 #24

In the words of my stepmother,... MarianJack Nov 2012 #32

Comfortably in the EV, Nailbiter in the PV MadBadger Nov 2012 #26

While I think the Prez will win the PV by about 4-5%,... MarianJack Nov 2012 #31

there it is. grantcart Nov 2012 #27

Looks good, grantcart! MarianJack Nov 2012 #30

If you're within 1000 votes either way I buy you a pint of Guinness! blue-kite Nov 2012 #34

If I am within 10,000 points either way I am going to claim that I got it down to the last person grantcart Nov 2012 #36

I'll remember... very good memory for detail. So a pint is on the line! blue-kite Nov 2012 #42

forutunately we have no time lock on editing anymore lol grantcart Nov 2012 #44

303 - 235... takes all swing but NC and FL... Good show O and B! blue-kite Nov 2012 #33

Yes, a good show! MarianJack Nov 2012 #35

My Prediction Robbins Nov 2012 #37

This also sounds good,... MarianJack Nov 2012 #39

The crime syndicate pulls out all the stops and Mitten's wins a close one... augie-va Nov 2012 #38

So you voted for willard? MarianJack Nov 2012 #40

no augie-va Nov 2012 #41

Gotcha. MarianJack Nov 2012 #43

An Eletion day self-kick! MarianJack Nov 2012 #45

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

1. Close nationally. Comfortably swing. Rmoney will win neither electoral, nor popular. nt

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:28 AM

Nov 2012

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

10. Sounds good!

Reply to onehandle (Reply #1)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:20 PM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

2. 347-191

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:30 AM

Nov 2012

Obama runs the table on the battleground states.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

11. Sounds BEST!

Reply to DCBob (Reply #2)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:20 PM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

Comrade_McKenzie

(2,526 posts)

3. 303-235 nt

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:31 AM

Nov 2012

Win all battlegrounds but NC and FL.

Sky Masterson

(5,240 posts)

7. That is exactly what I think.

Reply to Comrade_McKenzie (Reply #3)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 09:03 AM

Nov 2012

Florida will be cheated away.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

12. I think that the Prez will take Florida...

Reply to Comrade_McKenzie (Reply #3)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:22 PM

Nov 2012

...and maybe North Carolina, too.

I think that we both hope I'm right.

PEACE!

Welcome_hubby

(312 posts)

4. DU is historically a terrible predictor

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:37 AM

Nov 2012

I am told that most thought Walker would lose the recall in WI.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

13. Many here also predicted that President Obama would be the nominee...

Reply to Welcome_hubby (Reply #4)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:24 PM

Nov 2012

...when the MSM was proclaiming Hillary's inevitability.

PEACE!

Scuba

(53,475 posts)

5. Obama in a landslide before the electronic riggers begin their work...

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:43 AM

Nov 2012

... Obama in a nail-biter sometime around late December.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

14. I think we'll know before midnight on Tuesday.

Reply to Scuba (Reply #5)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:25 PM

Nov 2012

Obama Biden re-elected!

PEACE!

Scuba

(53,475 posts)

25. Hope I'm wrong.

Reply to MarianJack (Reply #14)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 09:19 PM

Nov 2012

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

28. No offense intended, but...

Reply to Scuba (Reply #25)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:10 AM

Nov 2012

...I hope you're wrong, too.

PEACE!

struggle4progress

(118,295 posts)

6. I predict that I will be doing GOTV work til the cows come home Tuesday and I also predict

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:49 AM

Nov 2012

you should too!

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

15. I'll be there!

Reply to struggle4progress (Reply #6)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:25 PM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)

8. National vote Obama 51% Romney 49%

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 09:12 AM

Nov 2012

Obama carries the Kerry blue states +

Ohio
Iowa
New Mexico
Nevada

Romney carries the McCain red states +

North Carolina
Florida
Nebraska (congressional district)
Indiana

I can't make a call:

Colorado
Virginia

Obama 281
Romney 248

With Colorado and Virginia taking us into potentially into Wednesday morning.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

18. I think that the Prez will get 52-53%...

Reply to aaaaaa5a (Reply #8)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:27 PM

Nov 2012

...and also get Florida, Virginia and Colorado, too.

PEACE!

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)

9. HURRY: ***** Official Pre-Election Electoral College Vote = Predictions Thread *****

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 09:13 AM

Nov 2012

Before it is too late to predict. Sorry, no big money pool for the winner

***** Official Pre-Election Electoral College Vote = Predictions Thread *****
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021644060

Your favorite cartoon added will be appreciated.

dem1977

(18 posts)

16. O 323-215

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:26 PM

Nov 2012

FL and VA remain blue....

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

20. I think so,...

Reply to dem1977 (Reply #16)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:28 PM

Nov 2012

...plus Colorado.

PEACE!

mvd

(65,174 posts)

17. 2 to 3% nationally and around 300 EVs for Obama

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:26 PM

Nov 2012

I voted comfortable Obama win. I thought it would be a landslide, but overestimated the voting public's political smarts.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

21. I think about 5% margin and around 330 EVs.

Reply to mvd (Reply #17)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:29 PM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

mvd

(65,174 posts)

23. I think it is possible

Reply to MarianJack (Reply #21)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:31 PM

Nov 2012

I went a little cautiously so I don't get expectations too high.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

29. Good Idea!

Reply to mvd (Reply #23)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:11 AM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

Faith9326

(304 posts)

19. Obama takes Florida, and Virginia

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:27 PM

Nov 2012

Still not sure about NC, but I think he's going to win those two(and of course the states he's already leading in).

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

22. Maybe NC and I think CO, too.

Reply to Faith9326 (Reply #19)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:29 PM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

johnlucas

(1,250 posts)

24. I said it before & I'll say it again: Obama Wins In A LANDSLIDE

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:32 PM

Nov 2012

It's all right here.

ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE

Landslide nothing but Landslide.
John Lucas

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

32. In the words of my stepmother,...

Reply to johnlucas (Reply #24)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:16 AM

Nov 2012

..."Your mouth to God's ear!"

PEACE!

MadBadger

(24,089 posts)

26. Comfortably in the EV, Nailbiter in the PV

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 09:20 PM

Nov 2012

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

31. While I think the Prez will win the PV by about 4-5%,...

Reply to MadBadger (Reply #26)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:15 AM

Nov 2012

...if the unthinkable happens and he loses the PV by a hair, I'd love to watch the republicans/baggers twist themselves into pretzels trying to explain that President Obama isn't legitimate but that george w turdhead was.

PEACE!

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

27. there it is.

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 09:20 PM

Nov 2012

Obama 72,929,742 52.9%

Romney 63,530,903 46.7%

Electoral Vote

Obama 343

Romney 193

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

30. Looks good, grantcart!

Reply to grantcart (Reply #27)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:12 AM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

blue-kite

(432 posts)

34. If you're within 1000 votes either way I buy you a pint of Guinness!

Reply to grantcart (Reply #27)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:19 AM

Nov 2012

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

36. If I am within 10,000 points either way I am going to claim that I got it down to the last person

Reply to blue-kite (Reply #34)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:06 AM

Nov 2012

and brag without ceasing.

I figure I have nothing to lose being this specific. If I luck out and get close I can brag, if I am way off who is going to remember?

blue-kite

(432 posts)

42. I'll remember... very good memory for detail. So a pint is on the line!

Reply to grantcart (Reply #36)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:52 AM

Nov 2012

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

44. forutunately we have no time lock on editing anymore lol

Reply to blue-kite (Reply #42)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:41 AM

Nov 2012

blue-kite

(432 posts)

33. 303 - 235... takes all swing but NC and FL... Good show O and B!

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:18 AM

Nov 2012

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

35. Yes, a good show!

Reply to blue-kite (Reply #33)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:20 AM

Nov 2012

I'm still holding out hope for NC % FL!

PEACE!

Robbins

(5,066 posts)

37. My Prediction

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:20 AM

Nov 2012

Obama-Kerry States plus Gore States of Iowa and New Mexico+Nevada,Colorado,Ohio,and Virginia

Romney-Mccain States+Indiana and Nebraska congressional district

Nailbiter-could go eather way+Florida and North Carolina

Obama will have at least 303 electral votes-It could go higher If he could take Florida or NC or Both

Obama will get 51 percent of popular vote to Romney getting 47 or 48.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

39. This also sounds good,...

Reply to Robbins (Reply #37)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:39 AM

Nov 2012

...but I'll hope for higher.

PEACE!

augie-va

(7 posts)

38. The crime syndicate pulls out all the stops and Mitten's wins a close one...

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:28 AM

Nov 2012

The majordomo's of the Republican party are high end prevaricator's. They also commit fraud and other sundry felony with no compunction and have graced and disgraced us with Joe McCarthy, covert bombing, Watergate, Iran/Contra, the 00' and 04' election fraud's and the invasion of Iraq on false pretense...and like Al said in 'Scent Of A Woman' "I'm just gettin' warmed up"

I'm reminded of Lee Atwater's confessional on his way to the graveyard as well as Ron Suskind's article in the New York Times Magazine, October 17, 2004 in where he got a quote from a Bush operative (later identified as Karl Rove) that was and remains chillingly dystopian; Rove saying essentially the Bush administration created it's own version of the truth and to hell with what you think.
Political framing cuts both ways but the thug's on the right are pouring Crown Royal to the left's Ripple and it's my belief that with their constituency shrinking -the decline in religious affiliation, the advancement of science, etc., the Republican syndicate knows if they don't get this they may not get another. They didn't always suck at government but the last twenty years have seen them take suck to another level and the only way out is to cheat. And make no mistake, they don't suck at that, which is I voted for (in this election) the guy with the ability to make an offhand 10,000$ bet and dismiss 47% of the American public as teat sucker's.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

40. So you voted for willard?

Reply to augie-va (Reply #38)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:42 AM

Nov 2012

Why are you here?

augie-va

(7 posts)

41. no

Reply to MarianJack (Reply #40)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:51 AM

Nov 2012

I vote for my grandson's hamster before I vote for Willard 'Mitt' Romney. To clarify: "this election" - a euphemism for this thread poll. Sorry about that.

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

43. Gotcha.

Reply to augie-va (Reply #41)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:14 AM

Nov 2012

I'd compare willard to a vat of moose piss, but I wouldn't want to insult the moose. Hell, I wouldn't even want to insult the piss!

PEACE!

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)

45. An Eletion day self-kick!

Reply to MarianJack (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:23 AM

Nov 2012

PEACE!

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