2016 Postmortem

outsideworld

(601 posts) Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:25 PM Nov 2012

PPP's Arizona polls was a bit of a let down

Mitt romney and jef flake are both ahead by 8-6 points.

I guess i was hoping for a suprise obama lead but maybe that was a stretch , still hoping for a suprise huge latino turn out that could put carmona over the top.

10 replies

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PPP's Arizona polls was a bit of a let down (Original Post) outsideworld Nov 2012 OP

we'll see. Robeysays Nov 2012 #1

I'm pretty sure they don't poll in Spanish, they're underestimating Obama and Carmona tarheelsunc Nov 2012 #2

Yes, this is why polls were so off in 2010 for Reid's race ShadowLiberal Nov 2012 #8

I'm out here now. No way this goes blue. smorkingapple Nov 2012 #3

PPP is not God. Keep fighting in AZ. hrmjustin Nov 2012 #4

What were the crosstabs on the Hispanic vote? RomneyLies Nov 2012 #5

Consider it the last victory for the white power vote. nt sufrommich Nov 2012 #6

You are right outsideworld Nov 2012 #9

Tough to pick that one up, campaign didn't push there. pointsoflight Nov 2012 #7

On the positive side, Romney is running 1-2 points behind McCain in AZ TroyD Nov 2012 #10

Robeysays

(673 posts)

1. we'll see.

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:33 PM

Nov 2012

I'm hoping for the Latino vote to come through too.

tarheelsunc

(2,117 posts)

2. I'm pretty sure they don't poll in Spanish, they're underestimating Obama and Carmona

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:35 PM

Nov 2012

ShadowLiberal

(2,237 posts)

8. Yes, this is why polls were so off in 2010 for Reid's race

Reply to tarheelsunc (Reply #2)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 04:59 PM

Nov 2012

smorkingapple

(827 posts)

3. I'm out here now. No way this goes blue.

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:56 PM

Nov 2012

In our lifetimes it will just not this year.

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)

4. PPP is not God. Keep fighting in AZ.

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 02:58 PM

Nov 2012

RomneyLies

(3,333 posts)

5. What were the crosstabs on the Hispanic vote?

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:00 PM

Nov 2012

If they are underestimating the Hispanic vote like most of the pollsters have been, it could be much closer.

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)

6. Consider it the last victory for the white power vote. nt

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:00 PM

Nov 2012

outsideworld

(601 posts)

9. You are right

Reply to sufrommich (Reply #6)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:46 AM

Nov 2012

pointsoflight

(1,372 posts)

7. Tough to pick that one up, campaign didn't push there.

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:26 PM

Nov 2012

No campaign stops, limited ads, etc. Had to shore up the swing states.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

10. On the positive side, Romney is running 1-2 points behind McCain in AZ

Reply to outsideworld (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:49 AM

Nov 2012

The negative is that it looks like Carmona may not make it. He's running a strong 2nd in AZ, which is more than most Democrats for Senate there would be able to do, but if he's going to be saved from the Republican lean of the state, he needs a larger than expected turnout from Latino voters.

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