Election Forecast Summaries: 11/4 (afternoon)

"Election Projection" has been removed from this list since, like Votamatic, it seems to have fallen completely static. Their final projection was O 290 EVs.

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

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University of Illinois U-C: O 302.8 (unch); p(RE)=99.6% (unch)

Electoral-vote.com: O 281, R 206, T 51 (unch)

Huffington Post: O 277, R 191, T 70 (unch)

TPM/PollTracker: O 303, R 191, T 44 (unch)

FiveThirtyEight: O 306.9 (+1.6); p(RE)=85.1% (+1.4%)

Princeton: O 319 (-4); p(RE)=98.2%, 99.9% (+0.2%, +0.1%)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=87.47% (unch)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,558!