2016 Postmortem

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts) Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:00 PM Nov 2012

You-Gov Final Wisconsin poll Obama leads by 4

Democratic President Barack Obama has moved out to a marginal lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Wisconsin, 50% Obama to 46% Romney, in a YouGov poll of 1,225 likely voters statewide.

In Wisconsin (Oct 31-Nov 3):
The vote is close among likely voters who are Independents, 45% Romney-44% Obama.
Obama enjoys a solid 65%-33% lead in Milwaukee County and a similar 64%-31% lead in the southwestern part of the Badger state. Romney easily wins the southeast excluding Milwaukee County by 56%-40% and Romney wins the northwestern corner of the state, 54%-41%. The contest is in the northeast, where Romney holds a marginal 49%-46% lead over Obama.

In the race for Senate, Democratic U.S. Representative Tammy Baldwin clings to a nominal 48%-47% lead among likely voters over Republican former Governor Tommy Thompson.

The poll was conducted online October 31-November 3, 2012

http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/11/04/wisconsin/

3 replies

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You-Gov Final Wisconsin poll Obama leads by 4 (Original Post) WI_DEM Nov 2012 OP

I'd feel better if the numbers out of Milwaukee and Madison milwaukeelib33 Nov 2012 #1

I think we'll be fine, the good news is that Obama is doing better than Tom Barrett in other parts WI_DEM Nov 2012 #2

I know we'll be fine milwaukeelib33 Nov 2012 #3

milwaukeelib33

(140 posts)

1. I'd feel better if the numbers out of Milwaukee and Madison

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:23 PM

Nov 2012

Crack 70%. That way we could worry a whole lot less about what happens in Fox Valley/ NE WI. The Journal Sentinel did a comparison map between 2008 and the recall election pointing out that mid-to-low 60's in Dane and Milwaukee was a substantial downturn and a significant factor in Wanker holding on.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)

2. I think we'll be fine, the good news is that Obama is doing better than Tom Barrett in other parts

Reply to milwaukeelib33 (Reply #1)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:25 PM

Nov 2012

of the state. His only strongholds in the recall were really Milwaukee and Madison.

milwaukeelib33

(140 posts)

3. I know we'll be fine

Reply to WI_DEM (Reply #2)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:54 PM

Nov 2012

I just find it inexcusable that the apathy shown in June may still be lingering. There is no reason, none, that Milwaukee should't be in the low 70's and Dane near mid 70's. We shouldn't have to depend on NW WI and SW WI to have to make up for lingering apathy that may effect turnout.

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