2016 Postmortem

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts) Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:02 PM Nov 2012

You-Gov Final Pennsylvania Poll Obama +8

Democratic President Barack Obama continues to hold a solid lead in Pennsylvania over Republican challenger Mitt Romney, 52% Obama to 44% Romney, in a YouGov poll of 1,273 likely voters statewide.

In Pennsylvania (Oct 31-Nov 3):
Romney is heavily favored among likely voter Independents 54%-41% over Obama.
Obama is the consensus choice in Philadelphia, enjoying an 80%-19% lead there among likely voters, and the President also holds a solid advantage in the Philadelphia suburbs (57% Obama-39% Romney), as well as in the west (52%-44%). Romney has a 51%-45% advantage over Obama in Northeast Pennsylvania, and Romney runs strongest in central Pennsylvania, 57% Romney-39% Obama.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. holds a 50%-42% lead over Republican Senate challenger Tom Smith.

The poll was conducted online October 31-November 3, 2012.

http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/11/04/pennsylvania/

11 replies

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You-Gov Final Pennsylvania Poll Obama +8 (Original Post) WI_DEM Nov 2012 OP

That's gotta hurt the Republican Dreamers alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #1

They released a bunch of state polls today TexasCPA Nov 2012 #2

That Ohio poll is downright scary 49-46 and doc03 Nov 2012 #5

3 points lead is consistent with other polls for Obama. LisaL Nov 2012 #7

The Republicans are motivated like I have never seen before doc03 Nov 2012 #8

So what are people doing today standing in line in Cuyahoga county? LisaL Nov 2012 #9

That's Cleveland, that's probably the most Democratic doc03 Nov 2012 #10

You-Gov is one of the better polling firms krawhitham Nov 2012 #3

I am a third generation PA Democrat! drlindaphd Nov 2012 #4

Good news about Casey. Patiod Nov 2012 #11

Let Romney spend time and money there. LisaL Nov 2012 #6

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

1. That's gotta hurt the Republican Dreamers

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:03 PM

Nov 2012

TexasCPA

(527 posts)

2. They released a bunch of state polls today

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:04 PM

Nov 2012

http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/politics/

doc03

(35,345 posts)

5. That Ohio poll is downright scary 49-46 and

Reply to TexasCPA (Reply #2)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:14 PM

Nov 2012

Romney has huge advantage with independents, I've been saying all along Ohio will go for Romney and I still do.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

7. 3 points lead is consistent with other polls for Obama.

Reply to doc03 (Reply #5)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:15 PM

Nov 2012

Geez. And since people in OH do not register by party, I am not even sure what independents you are talking about.

doc03

(35,345 posts)

8. The Republicans are motivated like I have never seen before

Reply to LisaL (Reply #7)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:17 PM

Nov 2012

and I don't see it on our side at all.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

9. So what are people doing today standing in line in Cuyahoga county?

Reply to doc03 (Reply #8)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:18 PM

Nov 2012

doc03

(35,345 posts)

10. That's Cleveland, that's probably the most Democratic

Reply to LisaL (Reply #9)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:23 PM

Nov 2012

leaning county in Ohio. I will gladly eat crow Wednesday if I am wrong.

krawhitham

(4,644 posts)

3. You-Gov is one of the better polling firms

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:05 PM

Nov 2012

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/22/calculating-house-effects-of-polling-firms/

drlindaphd

(86 posts)

4. I am a third generation PA Democrat!

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:13 PM

Nov 2012

Before that my family was living in Europe. My children and their cousins are the fourth generation,now voting, and the fifth is growing up. PA is a Democratic state. My father was one of the political workers who helped make it that way back in the 1930's.

Please, please, Vote for President Obama and all of the other Democrats. We must save our country!

Patiod

(11,816 posts)

11. Good news about Casey.

Reply to drlindaphd (Reply #4)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:44 PM

Nov 2012

We already have the former President of "The Club for Growth".

We don't need a damned Tea Party stalwart in there, too.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

6. Let Romney spend time and money there.

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:14 PM

Nov 2012

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