2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGOTV in Florida (FL), 11/04/12 Dems surge to 3.8 pts
With 4,309,586 votes cast in early voting, with 51.0% likely voters reporting.
Democratic lead
>133,000 votes
Statewide early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 1,835,884 or 42.6 percent (Dems to Reps only 51.9%)
Republican -- 1,702,286 or 39.5 percent (Dems to Reps only 48.1%)
Others -- 771,416 or 17.9 percent
GMU.EDU 2012 Election Statistics
Miami Harold
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GOTV my fellow Democrats. Swing the congressional balance of power to Obama. Victory 2012
flamingdem
(39,313 posts)I appreciate some of his reporting, especially lately about Rep. David Rivera BUT I noticed his Repuke talking points and saw this comment on that post on his blog:
Re: Mike Comment
I have been reading Marc Caputo's blog for the past few days, and verify your comment. His articles reporting on the status of early voting has been consistently anti-Obama, with snarky digs about how unenthusiastic the Dem vote is, and how Latinos in Dade are going overwhelmingly for Romney, and how Romney will win the state handily. All this while reporting about PB, Broward & Dade polling centers clogged with Dem voters, waiting in lines for 3, 4, 5 hrs. I don't know what his story is, but notice that the vast majority of comments to his blog are from right wing nuts, Repubs, Romneybots, Obama haters all proclaiming that what Marc is reporting verifies their fantasy that Mitt's going to win FL with 300,00+, 500,000, etc.
Marc never talks about the percentages -- either of people voting -- or of Dems voting, Repubs voting, indeps voting. BTW -- Marc's reference to the Miami Herald's poll of Dem crossovers to Romney is a case in point. That poll is way out of play with almost all of the other polls taken during the past 2 mos in FL. Romney is getting about 8% of Dem vote, Obama is getting about 7% of the Repub vote according to all of these other polls. And that Dem to Romney crossover is mainly in the NE part of the state near Geogia. The Dem crossover vote in the South, where the huge wave of Dem votes have been cast in early voting, is more in the 3-4% range, while the Repub crossover to Obama in South FL remains in the 6-7% range.
I saw Marc Caputo on TV the other day, and was equally unimpressed. His knowledge seems to be based on whatever info the Miami Heralf feeds him. Too bad -- when Obama wins the state by somewhere betw 75K and 100K votes, he will have alot of egg on his face. And all of the various right wing nut jobs & Repubs that comment on his blog can go back to their homes and continue to hate Obama for the next four yrs, while the US moves forward.
e
Read more here: http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/11/43-million-florida-early-ballots-in-dems-extend-lead-over-gop-to-133000-pre-election-day-votes-.html#storylink=cpy