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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:53 PM Nov 2012

Gallup says Obama closed deficit in 'swing states' now tied with Romney

Remember they are putting their full national poll out tomorrow:



4:08PM EST November 4. 2012 - WASHINGTON -- Voters in the nation's key battlegrounds have become as enthusiastic and engaged in the 2012 presidential election as they were in the historic contest four years ago, and they finally have made up their minds about President Obama and Mitt Romney.

It's a tie: 48%-48%.

The even split among likely voters in the USA TODAY/Gallup Poll of Swing States reflects gains in the campaign's final weeks by Obama, who has closed a 4-percentage-point deficit from early October in the wake of a disappointing first presidential debate. Most of the interviews were completed before Hurricane Sandy hit, and the president's disaster response may have bolstered his standing a bit since then.

MORE: Electoral Vote Tracker

The 11th and final Swing States Poll, a USA TODAY series that began a year ago, finds voters increasingly excited about the election and settled in their support. They say they have a clear idea what each candidate would do if elected — though that has caused some alarm. Most express concern that a President Romney would return to failed GOP policies and that a re-elected Obama would rely too much on Big Government.

As Election Day approaches, Obama leads 50%-46% among registered voters. That's the first time since Romney clinched the Republican nomination last spring that either candidate has reached the 50% threshold and the biggest margin during that time.

Obama has improved his standing in the past few weeks by regaining support among women in the swing states. The gender gap — that is, the disparity between the way men and women vote — stands at historically high levels after narrowing in the early October. Obama now leads among women by 16 points; Romney leads among men by 10.



Romney leads among white men by a yawning 27 points; the two candidates divide white women evenly. The former Massachusetts governor leads among independent voters by a single point.


http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2012/11/04/obama-romney-swing-states-poll-/1680827/

20 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Gallup says Obama closed deficit in 'swing states' now tied with Romney (Original Post) WI_DEM Nov 2012 OP
HAHAHAHAHAHA! Oh Gallup... fugop Nov 2012 #1
good news. mgcgulfcoast Nov 2012 #2
Oh Gallup. Please don't make me laugh at you. Jennicut Nov 2012 #3
LOL. LOL. And another LOL. LisaL Nov 2012 #4
Oh, well, yeah. True. Very predictable. nt OhZone Nov 2012 #5
Tee Hee DarthDem Nov 2012 #6
Looks like Gallup has learned to do the Rasmussen Swing n/t Azathoth Nov 2012 #7
Gallup galloped back to reality. reflection Nov 2012 #8
And they believe people buy this? NHDEMFORLIFE Nov 2012 #9
National polls don't mean jack shit. ANd.. no doubt Gallup's "likely voters" progressivebydesign Nov 2012 #10
Gallup's reputation has been destroyed budkin Nov 2012 #11
Who cares what that schmuck organization says anymore. speedoo Nov 2012 #12
Lol the horses are lining up outsideworld Nov 2012 #13
The Chickens Have Come Home To Roost iloveObama12 Nov 2012 #14
Trying to cover their ass. nt geek tragedy Nov 2012 #15
Obama up with women by 16, down with men by 10. How can it be tied? VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #16
It can't blazeKing Nov 2012 #19
If they have it tied in the swing states... regnaD kciN Nov 2012 #17
So their National Gallup poll tonight is 48-48? TroyD Nov 2012 #18
No there article clearly states swing states--as does the headline. WI_DEM Nov 2012 #20

LisaL

(44,973 posts)
4. LOL. LOL. And another LOL.
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 07:01 PM
Nov 2012

Many people here called it long ago that this is just what gallup will do.

DarthDem

(5,255 posts)
6. Tee Hee
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 07:20 PM
Nov 2012

I rec'd only because so many of us called this. Oh, Gallup. How can I miss you if you don't go away?

And note that this is apparently not their final national "poll," now excitedly expected by no one before they crap that out tomorrow. I imagine Mittens will "have" a small lead in that one because Newport just won't be able to bring himself to show a tie for the socialist black guy.

What tools!

NHDEMFORLIFE

(489 posts)
9. And they believe people buy this?
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 07:22 PM
Nov 2012

Stooges. The marketplace, now flooded with better polling firms, should put them out of our misery.

 

blazeKing

(329 posts)
19. It can't
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:30 PM
Nov 2012

That's just not possible with women voting in a greater percent than men which happens every election.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
17. If they have it tied in the swing states...
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:07 PM
Nov 2012

...there's no way they can have it less that R+2 or +3 in their final tracker. In other words, they're not going to pull a Ras and, instead, are going all-in with a call for Rmoney. Meaning that they're either come out of Tuesday looking like geniuses who were the only ones to get the race right, or the laughingstock of the polling industry. (Although, I suppose, they could hedge their bets by giving Obama the lead among RVs -- and then explain the result as "higher-than-expected turnout." )

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
18. So their National Gallup poll tonight is 48-48?
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 08:14 PM
Nov 2012

Does that mean RCP will finally get rid of that week-old Romney +5 poll?

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