Ralston Predicts Obama will take Nevada

"The Nevada political scribe, who nailed the 2010 Senate race in his election-eve prediction, calls the state for Obama and forecasts a less-certain win for Sen. Dean Heller:

"I know the Romney folks and some RNC operatives believe they can still win, despite trailing by nearly 50,000 votes in early voting. But they need everything to break right – President Obama hemorrhages Democrats and independents vote in huge numbers for Romney, two things I do not see happening. It would be very difficult for Obama to lose Nevada, especially because I think

more than two-thirds of the vote is in, so whatever turnout advantage the GOP has on Tuesday won’t be enough. Obama, 50 percent; Romney, 46 percent; others and “none of the above,” 4 percent. ...

"Two years ago, I was pretty sure Reid was going to win, despite what the public polls said. This year, I have been pretty sure Heller would win, and the public polls have backed that up. But a few weeks ago, the cockiness of Team Heller seemed to dissipate as his advisers realized Romney was a drag and Obama might drag Rep. Shelley Berkley to victory.

"Obama cleaned up in early voting in Nevada, netting 70,000 votes in Clark County and as Ralston says, nearly 50,000 overall. I wrote yesterday about why the state leans to Obama and how it reflects his approach to building a national electoral majority."

http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/11/ralston-predicts-obama-will-take-nevada-148362.html