2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGallup: Obama up by 16 with women, down by 10 with men in Swing States, yet Race TIED
Huh, unless they expect a huge lopsided turnout of men this year, how can this be?
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2012/11/04/obama-romney-swing-states-poll-/1680827/
FVZA_Colonel
(4,096 posts)It's all they have left.
TexasCPA
(527 posts)52% of voters are female.
yourout
(7,533 posts)It may very well be 2 to 1 for Obama.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)quaker bill
(8,224 posts)However, while I could be wrong, I expect most of the transgender community will be in the Obama camp. Of course I expect they are not detecting this in a phone interview, as most of the members of the transgender community I have met have a clear answer to the Male/Female question. Perhaps they just don't know math, or expect the women to be in binders.
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)hoosierlib
(710 posts)In 2008, women made up 53% of all voters and men 47%. If that same split is true on Tuesday, we win 51.9% to 48.1%. Even it was even turnout, it would be 51.5% to 48.5%. Men would need to out number women 62% to 38% for Romney to win...not going to happen.
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)reflection
(6,286 posts)They are not going quietly into that good night.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Because I think this Gallup poll technically counts as a swing state poll, rather than a National poll.
RCP will only change the Gallup number once tomorrow's official NATIONAL poll comes out.
My theory, anyway.