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Nate Silver update! (Original Post) Tennessee Gal Nov 2012 OP
Up yet again. Hissyspit Nov 2012 #1
He's very brave Polldancer2012 Nov 2012 #2
He is one of the more conservative odds maker Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #3
Or maybe Nate has other mad skills we Cha Nov 2012 #4
He Tends To Be... Very Correct... He Believes In Math... WillyT Nov 2012 #5
he plugs in the numbers and they say what they say scheming daemons Nov 2012 #6
This site is one of the best I think for courseofhistory Nov 2012 #7
Great site! Good iPhone formatting, too. longship Nov 2012 #8
Thats awesome Polldancer2012 Nov 2012 #9
 

Polldancer2012

(88 posts)
2. He's very brave
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 10:36 PM
Nov 2012

He could have played it safe all the way and called it 53/47 or smthg. But at 85%... If he's wrong he goes off to pursue a career as a bartender/part time Pilates instructor.
Nyt must have assured him they've got his back.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
3. He is one of the more conservative odds maker
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 10:38 PM
Nov 2012

Many of the websites like his, which run the numbers and come up with odds, have Obama at 95%+. Some even have him as high as 99%. Nate Silver's 85.5% is one of the lowest odds we see for Obama.

 

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)
6. he plugs in the numbers and they say what they say
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 10:47 PM
Nov 2012

Obama leads in every swing state polling except NC and FL.

He leads or is tied in every national poll.

85.5% chance of a win might actually be conservative

courseofhistory

(801 posts)
7. This site is one of the best I think for
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 10:52 PM
Nov 2012

keeping track on election night as the state winner is announced. All you have to do is click on the state icon at the upper part of the page as Obama wins them and then the total EV for that state is added to the total.

[img][/img]

http://apps.npr.org/swing-state-scorecard/

longship

(40,416 posts)
8. Great site! Good iPhone formatting, too.
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 11:47 PM
Nov 2012

Bookmarked for Tuesday.

Wish there was one for Senate and House.

R&

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