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2016 Postmortem

pnwmom

(109,000 posts) Sat Jun 4, 2016, 10:58 PM Jun 2016

Predictwise gives Hillary a 97% chance in the primary, and 72% in the general.

predictwise.com

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Predictwise gives Hillary a 97% chance in the primary, and 72% in the general. (Original Post) pnwmom Jun 2016 OP

Clearly the folks betting on the primary and general election need to be educated by DUers Cali_Democrat Jun 2016 #1

Hillary will lead us. Trust Buster Jun 2016 #2

Technically, 72% in the general is that the Dem will win, not that HRC will win. thesquanderer Jun 2016 #3

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)

1. Clearly the folks betting on the primary and general election need to be educated by DUers

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Sat Jun 4, 2016, 10:59 PM

Jun 2016

...and the High Sparrow himself.

Trust Buster

(7,299 posts)

2. Hillary will lead us.

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Sat Jun 4, 2016, 11:01 PM

Jun 2016

thesquanderer

(11,995 posts)

3. Technically, 72% in the general is that the Dem will win, not that HRC will win.

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Sun Jun 5, 2016, 08:33 AM

Jun 2016

Since they are also giving Bernie a 3% to 4% chance of winning the nom, that is part of the 72% figure. (In fact, an increase a couple of days ago in the odds of the Dem getting the general actually corresponded with an increase in the odds (small as they are) of Bernie getting the nomination.)

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