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Logical

(22,457 posts)
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:12 PM Nov 2012

Election Night Cheat Sheet - Nate's Numbers for the swing states with his projections

I have a column for the states that Nate lists as "Likely" and column that shows each of Nate's state projection percentages.

And on the lower grid I show the base Electoral Votes and then have one column with Nate's totals for his "Likely" wins and one for the states where the projection is greater than 80%.

Notice Romney only has one swing state where he is > 50%, Florida, and only a 56% chance.

So if you only count the states for Obama that Nate projects as greater than 80%, we still have 277 EVs. And that does not even count Virginia at 73%, New Hampshire at 80% or Colorado at 70%. Add those states and we have 303 EVs.

So in other words, we should be feeling pretty good!

I also added the Poll Closing time (Central Time) for each swing state for your election night reference.





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Election Night Cheat Sheet - Nate's Numbers for the swing states with his projections (Original Post) Logical Nov 2012 OP
nice... thanks hlthe2b Nov 2012 #1
If Obama wins Virginia, turn the lights out Renew Deal Nov 2012 #2
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