2016 Postmortem

underpants

(182,826 posts) Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:51 PM Nov 2012

Let's have your prediction - I have Obama 293

with Florida it will be 322

47 replies

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Let's have your prediction - I have Obama 293 (Original Post) underpants Nov 2012 OP

347 rzemanfl Nov 2012 #1

285 begin_within Nov 2012 #2

348 erik satie Nov 2012 #3

Plus trois morceaux en forme de poire BeyondGeography Nov 2012 #13

I feel the same way, his music changed me. I consider it a soundtrack to my life. erik satie Nov 2012 #24

349 putitinD Nov 2012 #4

303 Alleycat Nov 2012 #5

yep. TheCowsCameHome Nov 2012 #7

Yes, 303. IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ Nov 2012 #9

I'm still hopeful on NC. FL will be a surprise. Alleycat Nov 2012 #12

Honestly I'm on pins and needles about OH IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ Nov 2012 #17

I am being reserved on giving FLA to Romney underpants Nov 2012 #19

Ditto. N/t winga222 Nov 2012 #11

Yes 303 Applan Nov 2012 #33

^ yep. mzmolly Nov 2012 #38

310 chillfactor Nov 2012 #6

Don't know the EC count, but Obama will win CO, FL, and VA, but lose NC. Alekei_Firebird Nov 2012 #8

AND PA!!!!!! Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2012 #23

Not a battleground state, except in Romneyland! Alekei_Firebird Nov 2012 #28

The corporate media has been calling PA a swing state for many years. I don't know why. It's crazy. Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2012 #31

290 VWolf Nov 2012 #10

303 budkin Nov 2012 #14

Obama: 333 Tx4obama Nov 2012 #15

332 jcgoldie Nov 2012 #16

343 Faith9326 Nov 2012 #18

281. BlueDemKev Nov 2012 #20

303 is the floor. Up to 44 more possible. pointsoflight Nov 2012 #21

343 grantcart Nov 2012 #22

O 303 R 235 TexasCPA Nov 2012 #25

318 morningfog Nov 2012 #26

294 SLCLiberal Nov 2012 #27

271....They will steal Ohio and Wisconsin for sure Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2012 #29

My truthN08 Nov 2012 #30

Obama 317 kurt_cagle Nov 2012 #32

between 290 and 332. Spider Jerusalem Nov 2012 #34

325 EV, 53% popular vote panAmerican Nov 2012 #35

Obama at 290 or 303 gopiscrap Nov 2012 #36

303 Daniel537 Nov 2012 #37

269-269 Ter Nov 2012 #39

NH and R.I. are solidly Obama. And he's not losing NV either. joshcryer Nov 2012 #40

There are several possibilities to a tie Ter Nov 2012 #42

It'd be fascinating to see, I admit. joshcryer Nov 2012 #43

303 Obama craigmatic Nov 2012 #41

Obama - 332; Romney - 206 nt Comrade_McKenzie Nov 2012 #44

272 minimum Jon Ace Nov 2012 #45

O-321 damnedifIknow Nov 2012 #46

328 to 210 NightWatcher Nov 2012 #47

rzemanfl

(29,565 posts)

1. 347

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:52 PM

Nov 2012

begin_within

(21,551 posts)

2. 285

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:53 PM

Nov 2012

erik satie

(81 posts)

3. 348

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:53 PM

Nov 2012

BeyondGeography

(39,374 posts)

13. Plus trois morceaux en forme de poire

Reply to erik satie (Reply #3)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:57 PM

Nov 2012

Love Satie. Couldn't contemplate life without him.

Welcome to DU.

Per the OP: 332 EV's.

erik satie

(81 posts)

24. I feel the same way, his music changed me. I consider it a soundtrack to my life.

Reply to BeyondGeography (Reply #13)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:02 PM

Nov 2012

putitinD

(1,551 posts)

4. 349

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:53 PM

Nov 2012

Alleycat

(1,117 posts)

5. 303

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:54 PM

Nov 2012

TheCowsCameHome

(40,168 posts)

7. yep.

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:55 PM

Nov 2012

303

IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ

(452 posts)

9. Yes, 303.

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:55 PM

Nov 2012

Rethug suppression tactics cost us FL. We lose NC, but we win every other swing state.

Alleycat

(1,117 posts)

12. I'm still hopeful on NC. FL will be a surprise.

Reply to IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ (Reply #9)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:57 PM

Nov 2012

IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ

(452 posts)

17. Honestly I'm on pins and needles about OH

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #12)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:59 PM

Nov 2012

I know we are ahead. The only possible loss scenario is if people get dejected and leave the long lines. That cannot happen. Do people in those lines know what the Rethugs are doing? Fucking assholes are the new KKK.

underpants

(182,826 posts)

19. I am being reserved on giving FLA to Romney

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #12)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:00 PM

Nov 2012

Obama has been surging there in the last month. They have hidden Ryan but now they can't.

I give Colorado to Romney and 1 in NH.

winga222

(323 posts)

11. Ditto. N/t

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:56 PM

Nov 2012

Applan

(693 posts)

33. Yes 303

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:15 PM

Nov 2012

mzmolly

(50,996 posts)

38. ^ yep.

Reply to Alleycat (Reply #5)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:45 PM

Nov 2012

285 if "they" steal Ohio.

chillfactor

(7,576 posts)

6. 310

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:54 PM

Nov 2012

anything over 300 is a true bonus for the President.....

Alekei_Firebird

(320 posts)

8. Don't know the EC count, but Obama will win CO, FL, and VA, but lose NC.

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:55 PM

Nov 2012

Obviously, he'll take IA, WI, OH, NV, etc.

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)

23. AND PA!!!!!!

Reply to Alekei_Firebird (Reply #8)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:02 PM

Nov 2012

Alekei_Firebird

(320 posts)

28. Not a battleground state, except in Romneyland!

Reply to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #23)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:05 PM

Nov 2012

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)

31. The corporate media has been calling PA a swing state for many years. I don't know why. It's crazy.

Reply to Alekei_Firebird (Reply #28)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:09 PM

Nov 2012

VWolf

(3,944 posts)

10. 290

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:55 PM

Nov 2012

budkin

(6,703 posts)

14. 303

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:57 PM

Nov 2012

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)

15. Obama: 333

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:57 PM

Nov 2012

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)

16. 332

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:58 PM

Nov 2012

Faith9326

(304 posts)

18. 343

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:00 PM

Nov 2012

With Obama taking Arizona(but not NC).

Pretty bold prediction, but I went with my instinct.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)

20. 281.

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:00 PM

Nov 2012

Add Virginia, it will be 294, and add Colorado it'll be 303.

I do not believe that we'll carry either NC or FL (but I could be wrong!)

pointsoflight

(1,372 posts)

21. 303 is the floor. Up to 44 more possible.

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:00 PM

Nov 2012

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

22. 343

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:01 PM

Nov 2012

Obama 72,929,742 52.9%

Romney 63,530,903 46.7%

Electoral Vote

Obama 343

Romney 193

TexasCPA

(527 posts)

25. O 303 R 235

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:03 PM

Nov 2012

From Strongest to Weakest:

Strong Obama (183): DC, VT, HI, NY, DE, RI, MD, MA, IL, CA, WA, NJ, CT, ME, NM
Weak Obama (17): MN, OR
Soft Obama (71): ME2, MI, PA, WI, NV, OH
Leans Obama (32): IA, NH, CO, VA
Total Obama: 303

Strong Romney (134): UT, WY, ID, AR, AK, AL, TN, MS, TX, ND, OK, WV, KY, NE, MT, MO, LA
Weak Romney (46): IN, KS, SD, GA, SC, NE2
Soft Romney (11): AZ
Leans Romney (44): NC, FL
Total Romney: 235

Popular Vote - Obama 50.5%, Romney 48.1%

Obama will get between 271 and 347.
Romney will get between 191 and 267.

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

26. 318

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:03 PM

Nov 2012

SLCLiberal

(102 posts)

27. 294

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:04 PM

Nov 2012

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)

29. 271....They will steal Ohio and Wisconsin for sure

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:06 PM

Nov 2012

truthN08

(275 posts)

30. My

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:08 PM

Nov 2012

Gut tells me 303. I will be happy as long as he gets to 270. Anything over that is gravy.

kurt_cagle

(534 posts)

32. Obama 317

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:11 PM

Nov 2012

I think it is possible for Obama to take NC. Florida could be a toss-up.

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)

34. between 290 and 332.

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:15 PM

Nov 2012

Depending on whether Florida and Virginia go for Obama. Virginia looks more likely, which would make it 303. (There is no combination of states Obama can win that would result in 293 votes, or 322, btw.)