2016 Postmortem

Silent3

(15,220 posts) Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:09 PM Nov 2012

Nate Silver's 538 prediction up to 91.4% for Obama, 314.4 EVs

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

22 replies

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Nate Silver's 538 prediction up to 91.4% for Obama, 314.4 EVs (Original Post) Silent3 Nov 2012 OP

Truly a beautiful thing TDale313 Nov 2012 #1

Florida flipped MidwestTransplant Nov 2012 #2

Rah, rah, ah, ah, ah Roma, roma, ma Baitball Blogger Nov 2012 #9

I missed that! Silent3 Nov 2012 #14

that is a new high water mark awake Nov 2012 #3

BOOM! speedoo Nov 2012 #4

Ohhh, Nate better be right!1!1!1!!!! morningfog Nov 2012 #5

WOOHOO! octoberlib Nov 2012 #6

And Sam Wang puts Obama at 303 EVs and 98% chance of winning. RedSpartan Nov 2012 #7

THAT'S GallopingGhost Nov 2012 #8

WOW!!!! K&R&T. n/t jenmito Nov 2012 #10

YES> barbtries Nov 2012 #11

K&R amborin Nov 2012 #12

I will love to see FL turning blue MyNameIsKhan Nov 2012 #13

Hot Damn! dinger130 Nov 2012 #15

Damn! Woohoo! Vote people vote!!! nt helpisontheway Nov 2012 #16

That is great! Presidentcokedupfratboy Nov 2012 #17

Obama has been sneaking up to his previous high for days Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #18

Fu** yea jnew1021 Nov 2012 #19

And if the election was today, its 91.5%! DrToast Nov 2012 #20

Ohio now rated as "Safe Obama" Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #21

Now 92.2 lol jnew1021 Nov 2012 #22

TDale313

(7,820 posts)

1. Truly a beautiful thing

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:10 PM

Nov 2012

MidwestTransplant

(8,015 posts)

2. Florida flipped

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:11 PM

Nov 2012

Baitball Blogger

(46,735 posts)

9. Rah, rah, ah, ah, ah Roma, roma, ma

Reply to MidwestTransplant (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:17 PM

Nov 2012

Silent3

(15,220 posts)

14. I missed that!

Reply to MidwestTransplant (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:20 PM

Nov 2012

I looked for Florida and didn't see that at first. I had to force a browser refresh to get that change to show up!

awake

(3,226 posts)

3. that is a new high water mark

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:11 PM

Nov 2012

speedoo

(11,229 posts)

4. BOOM!

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:12 PM

Nov 2012

Can we have some coat tails, please!

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

5. Ohhh, Nate better be right!1!1!1!!!!

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:12 PM

Nov 2012

His reputation is one the line!11!111

*sarcasm*

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)

6. WOOHOO!

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:13 PM

Nov 2012

RedSpartan

(1,693 posts)

7. And Sam Wang puts Obama at 303 EVs and 98% chance of winning.

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:13 PM

Nov 2012

http://election.princeton.edu/

I like these odds headed into election day.

GallopingGhost

(2,404 posts)

8. THAT'S

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:14 PM

Nov 2012

what I like to see!!!!

jenmito

(37,326 posts)

10. WOW!!!! K&R&T. n/t

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:17 PM

Nov 2012

barbtries

(28,798 posts)

11. YES>

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:18 PM

Nov 2012

sigh. breathe.

amborin

(16,631 posts)

12. K&R

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:18 PM

Nov 2012

MyNameIsKhan

(2,205 posts)

13. I will love to see FL turning blue

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:19 PM

Nov 2012

But I am also positive NC will go blue.

I know Nate has more state fundamentals than I know but based on raw data (early votes), we will win.

dinger130

(199 posts)

15. Hot Damn!

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:20 PM

Nov 2012

All I want is a good nights sleep. This will do it!

My daughter lives in the panhandle of Florida and says she is surrounded by Romney signs and Clint Eastwood empty chairs in the middle of people's front yard. She has been worried sick.

helpisontheway

(5,008 posts)

16. Damn! Woohoo! Vote people vote!!! nt

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:33 PM

Nov 2012

Presidentcokedupfratboy

(1,054 posts)

17. That is great!

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:42 PM

Nov 2012

Let's GOTV!!!!!

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)

18. Obama has been sneaking up to his previous high for days

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:45 PM

Nov 2012

And then just shot past it!

jnew1021

(3 posts)

19. Fu** yea

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:48 PM

Nov 2012

I cannot wait to watch as pundits on Faux Skews implode

DrToast

(6,414 posts)

20. And if the election was today, its 91.5%!

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:02 PM

Nov 2012

Just kidding

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)

21. Ohio now rated as "Safe Obama"

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:03 PM

Nov 2012

But i'm sure romney is going to win

jnew1021

(3 posts)

22. Now 92.2 lol

Reply to Silent3 (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:52 PM

Nov 2012

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